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ABSTRACT The rising threat of marine heatwaves has led to numerous predictions that coral reefs, especially those near the Equator, will be severely degraded by the end of the current century. Yet, environmental conditions near the Equator may regionally moderate coral bleaching by reducing thermal stress during marine heatwaves. We deployed a Bayesian spatio‐temporal model over Earth to examine which environmental conditions may characterize marine‐heatwave refugia for coral reefs by testing the relationship between the severity of coral bleaching and a suite of temperature, hydrodynamic, topographic, atmospheric, and biological variables. The model considered the severity of coral bleaching as the proportion of bleached hard corals during 30,266 coral‐reef surveys conducted at 8728 sites, at depths of up to 20 m, and located between 35° north and south of the Equator across 81 countries, from 2002 to 2020. Except for the eastern Pacific Ocean, the severity of coral bleaching during marine heatwaves was lower on equatorial reefs than on higher‐latitude reefs, suggesting that marine‐heatwave refugia for corals have been concentrated in the equatorial Coral Triangle region. Indeed, equatorial reefs in the Coral Triangle were, on average, exposed to the weakest marine heatwaves, potentially because they were shielded from extreme insolation by frequent cloud coverage in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Coral bleaching may also be moderated during marine heatwaves on reefs that experience high wave energy, high current velocity, high cloud frequency, or turbidity. Coral bleaching was also less severe on reefs that historically endured frequent heatwaves than on reefs that were naïve to thermal stress. Based on modern and historical responses of coral reefs to acute thermal stress, we hypothesize that many equatorial reefs will continue to serve as marine‐heatwave refugia for corals.
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Locally Adapted Coral Species Withstand a 2-Week Hypoxic Event
One approach to improve long-term coral restoration success utilizes naturally stress-tolerant corals from the wild. While the focus has primarily been on thermal stress, low oxygen is a growing threat to coral reefs and restoration efforts should also consider hypoxia tolerance. Here we determine if Siderastrea siderea and Agaricia tenuifolia populations from a reef with a historical record of low oxygen exhibit evidence of local adaptation to hypoxic events, compared to populations from a reference reef. We employed a laboratory-based reciprocal transplant experiment mimicking a severe 14-night hypoxic event and monitored bleaching responses, photo-physiology, metabolic rates, and survival of all four populations during, and for two weeks following the event. In both species, we found the populations from the hypoxic reef either fully persisted or recovered within 3 days of the event. In contrast, the conspecific naïve populations from the well-oxygenated reference reef experienced bleaching and death. This showcases the vulnerability of naïve corals exposed to low oxygen but also suggests that corals from the hypoxic reef locally adapted to survive severe episodic hypoxia. Other reefs with past episodic low oxygen may also be home to corals with adaptation signatures to hypoxia and may be useful for restoration efforts.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2048955
- PAR ID:
- 10573444
- Editor(s):
- NA
- Publisher / Repository:
- MDPI publisher
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Oceans
- Volume:
- 6
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2673-1924
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 5
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans6010005
