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1. Modeling Northern Hemispheric Ice Sheet Dynamics, Sea Level Change, and Solid Earth Deformation Through the Last Glacial Cycle

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JF006040  

   Han, Holly Kyeore; Gomez, Natalya; Pollard, David; DeConto, Robert (April 2021, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface)

   Abstract Retreat or advance of an ice sheet perturbs the Earth's solid surface, rotational vector, and the gravitational field, which in turn feeds back onto the evolution of the ice sheet over a range of timescales. Throughout the last glacial cycle, ice sheets over the Northern Hemisphere have gone through multiple growth and retreat phases, but the dynamics during these phases are not well understood. In this study, we apply a coupled ice sheet‐glacial isostatic adjustment model to simulate the Northern Hemisphere Ice Sheets over the last glacial cycle. We focus on understanding the influence of solid Earth deformation and gravitational field perturbations associated with surface (ice and water) loading changes on the dynamics of terrestrial and marine‐based ice sheets during different phases of the glacial cycle. Our results show that solid Earth deformation enhances glaciation during growth phases and melting during retreat phases in terrestrial regions through ice‐elevation feedback, and gravitational field perturbations have a stabilizing influence on marine‐based ice sheets in regions such as Hudson Bay in North America and Barents and Kara Seas in Eurasia during retreat phases through sea‐level feedback. Our results also indicate that solid Earth deformation influences the relative sensitivity of the North American and Eurasian ice sheets to climate and thus the timing and magnitude of their fluctuations throughout the last glacial cycle. 

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2. Expedition 379 Scientific Prospectus: Amundsen Sea West Antarctic Ice Sheet History

   https://doi.org/10.14379/iodp.sp.379.2017  

   Gohl, K.; Wellner, J.S.; Klaus, A. (December 2017, Scientific prospectus)

   null (Ed.)

   The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is largely marine based and thus highly sensitive to both climatic and oceanographic changes. Therefore, the WAIS has likely had a very dynamic history over the last several million years. A complete collapse of the WAIS would result in a global sea level rise of 3.3–4.3 m, yet the world’s scientific community is not able to predict its future behavior. Moreover, knowledge about past behavior of the WAIS is poor, in particular during geological times with climatic conditions similar to those expected for the near and distant future. Reconstructions and quantifications of partial or complete WAIS collapses in the past are urgently needed for constraining and testing ice sheet models that aim to predict future WAIS behavior and the potential contribution of the WAIS to global sea level rise. Large uncertainties exist regarding the chronology, extent, rates, and spatial and temporal variability of past advances and retreats of the WAIS across the continental shelves. These uncertainties largely result from the fundamental lack of data from drill cores recovered proximal to the WAIS. The continental shelf and rise of the Amundsen Sea are prime targets for drilling because the records are expected to yield archives of pure WAIS dynamics unaffected by other ice sheets and the WAIS sector draining into the Amundsen Sea Embayment (ASE) currently experiences the largest ice loss in Antarctica (Paolo et al., 2015). We propose a series of drill sites for the ASE shelf where seismic data reveal seaward-dipping sedimentary sequences that span from the preglacial depositional phase to the most recent glacial periods. Our strategy is to drill a transect from the oldest sequences close to the bedrock/basin boundary at the middle–inner shelf transition to the youngest sequences on the outer shelf in the eastern ASE. If the eastern ASE is inaccessible due to sea ice cover, a similar transect of sites can be drilled on the western ASE. The core transect will provide a detailed history of the glacial cycles in the Amundsen Sea region and allow comparison to the glacial history from the Ross Sea sector. In addition, deep-water sites on the continental rise of the Amundsen Sea are selected for recovering continuous records of glacially transported sediments and detailed archives of climatic and oceanographic changes throughout glacial–interglacial cycles. We will apply a broad suite of analytical techniques, including multiproxy analyses, to address our objectives of reconstructing the onset of glaciation in the greenhouse to icehouse transition, processes of dynamic ice sheet behavior during the Neogene and Quaternary, and ocean conditions associated with the glacial cycles. The five principal objectives of Expedition 379 are as follows: 1. To reconstruct the glacial history of West Antarctica from the Paleogene to recent times and the dynamic behavior of the WAIS during the Neogene and Quaternary, especially possible partial or full WAIS collapses, and the WAIS contribution to past sea level changes. Emphasis is placed in particular on studying the response of the WAIS at times when the pCO2 in Earth’s atmosphere exceeded 400 ppm and atmospheric and oceanic temperatures were higher than at present. 2. To correlate the WAIS-proximal records of ice sheet dynamics in the Amundsen Sea with global records of ice volume changes and proxy records for air and seawater temperatures. 3. To study the relationship between incursions of warm Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) onto the continental shelf of the Amundsen Sea Embayment and the stability of marine-based ice sheet margins under warm water conditions. 4. To reconstruct the processes of major WAIS advances onto the middle and outer shelf that are likely to have occurred since the middle Miocene and compare their timing and processes to those of other Antarctic continental shelves. 5. To identify the timing of the first ice sheet expansion onto the continental shelf of the ASE and its possible relationship to the uplift of Marie Byrd Land. 

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3. A paleo-perspective on West Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-22450-3  

   Bart, Philip J.; Kratochvil, Matthew (October 2022, Scientific Reports)

   Abstract Geological records of ice sheet collapse can provide perspective on the ongoing retreat of grounded and floating ice. An abrupt retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) that occurred during the early deglaciation is well recorded on the eastern Ross Sea continental shelf. There, an ice shelf breakup at 12.3 ± 0.6 cal. (calibrated) kyr BP caused accelerated ice-mass loss from the Bindschadler Ice Stream (BIS). The accelerated mass loss led to a significant negative mass balance that re-organized WAIS flow across the central and eastern Ross Sea. By ~ 11.5 ± 0.3 cal kyr BP, dynamic thinning of grounded ice triggered a retreat that opened a ~ 200-km grounding-line embayment on the Whales Deep Basin (WDB) middle continental shelf. Here, we reconstruct the pattern, duration and rate of retreat from a backstepping succession of small-scale grounding-zone ridges that formed on the embayment’s eastern flank. We used two end-member paleo-sediment fluxes, i.e., accumulation rates, to convert the cumulative sediment volumes of the ridge field to elapsed time for measured distances of grounding-line retreat. The end-members fluxes correspond to deposition rates for buttressed and unbuttressed ice stream flow. Both scenarios require sustained rapid retreat that exceeded several centuries. Grounding-line retreat is estimated to have averaged between ~ 100 ± 32 and ~ 700 ± 79 ma⁻¹. The evidence favors the latter scenario because iceberg furrows that cross cut the ridges in deep water require weakly buttressed flow as the embayment opened. In comparison with the modern grounding-zone dynamics, this paleo-perspective provides confidence in model projections that a large-scale sustained contraction of grounded ice is underway in several Pacific-Ocean sectors of the WAIS. 

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4. Repeated major inland retreat of Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers (West Antarctica) during the Pliocene

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2508341122  

   Horikawa, Keiji; Iwai, Masao; Hillenbrand, Claus-Dieter; Siddoway, Christine S; Halberstadt, Anna Ruth; Cowan, Ellen A; Penkrot, Michelle L; Gohl, Karsten; Wellner, Julia S; Asahara, Yoshihiro; et al (December 2025, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   The stability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), crucial for predicting future sea-level rise, is threatened by ocean-forced melting in the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. While some geological records and ice-sheet models suggest WAIS retreat during past warm periods, reliable data constraining the extent of retreat are lacking. Detrital Nd, Sr, and Pb isotope data of sediments recently drilled at International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Site U1532 on the Amundsen Sea continental rise manifest repeated alternations in sediment provenance during glacial–interglacial cycles of the Pliocene (5.33 to 2.58 Mya), a time warmer than present. The variations reflect large fluctuations in WAIS extent on the Antarctic continent. A unique high Pb/low ε_Ndsignature of sediments found at the onset of glacial intervals (3.88, 3.6, and 3.33 Ma) is attributed to the supply of detritus sourced from plutonic rocks located in the West Antarctic interior. Its isotopic signature at Site U1532 indicates major inland retreat of the WAIS during the preceding interglacials. During peak interglacials, the ice margin had retreated inland, and icebergs rafted and deposited inland-sourced detritus over 500 km across the Amundsen Sea shelf. Subsequent readvance of grounded ice then “bulldozed” these inland-derived fine-grained sediments from the shelf down to the continental slope and rise, resulting in a high Pb/low ε_Ndpeak in the rise sediments. Our continuous Pliocene records provide conclusive evidence for at least five major inland retreat events of the WAIS, highlighting the significant vulnerability of the WAIS to ongoing warming. 

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5. Amundsen Sea West Antarctic Ice Sheet History

   https://doi.org/10.14379/iodp.proc.379.2021  

   Gohl, K.; Wellner, J.S.; Klaus, A. (February 2021, Proceedings of the International Ocean Discovery Program)

   The Amundsen Sea sector of Antarctica has long been considered the most vulnerable part of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) because of the great water depth at the grounding line, a subglacial bed seafloor deepening toward the interior of the continent, and the absence of substantial ice shelves. Glaciers in this configuration are thought to be susceptible to rapid or runaway retreat. Ice flowing into the Amundsen Sea Embayment is undergoing the most rapid changes of any sector of the Antarctic ice sheets outside the Antarctic Peninsula, including substantial grounding-line retreat over recent decades, as observed from satellite data. Recent models suggest that a threshold leading to the collapse of WAIS in this sector may have been already crossed and that much of the ice sheet could be lost even under relatively moderate greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Drill cores from the Amundsen Sea provide tests of several key questions about controls on ice sheet stability. The cores offer a direct offshore record of glacial history in a sector that is exclusively influenced by ice draining the WAIS, which allows clear comparisons between the WAIS history and low-latitude climate records. Today, relatively warm (modified) Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) is impinging onto the Amundsen Sea shelf and causing melting under ice shelves and at the grounding line of the WAIS in most places. Reconstructions of past CDW intrusions can assess the ties between warm water upwelling and large-scale changes in past grounding-line positions. Carrying out these reconstructions offshore from the drainage basin that currently has the most substantial negative mass balance of ice anywhere in Antarctica is thus of prime interest to future predictions. The scientific objectives for this expedition are built on hypotheses about WAIS dynamics and related paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic conditions. The main objectives are: 1. To test the hypothesis that WAIS collapses occurred during the Neogene and Quaternary and, if so, when and under which environmental conditions; 2. To obtain ice-proximal records of ice sheet dynamics in the Amundsen Sea that correlate with global records of ice-volume changes and proxy records for atmospheric and ocean temperatures; 3. To study the stability of a marine-based WAIS margin and how warm deepwater incursions control its position on the shelf; 4. To find evidence for the earliest major grounded WAIS advances onto the middle and outer shelf; 5. To test the hypothesis that the first major WAIS growth was related to the uplift of the Marie Byrd Land dome. International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 379 completed two very successful drill sites on the continental rise of the Amundsen Sea. Site U1532 is located on a large sediment drift, now called the Resolution Drift, and it penetrated to 794 m with 90% recovery. We collected almost-continuous cores from recent age through the Pleistocene and Pliocene and into the upper Miocene. At Site U1533, we drilled 383 m (70% recovery) into the more condensed sequence at the lower flank of the same sediment drift. The cores of both sites contain unique records that will enable study of the cyclicity of ice sheet advance and retreat processes as well as ocean-bottom water circulation and water mass changes. In particular, Site U1532 revealed a sequence of Pliocene sediments with an excellent paleomagnetic record for high-resolution climate change studies of the previously sparsely sampled Pacific sector of the West Antarctic margin. Despite the drilling success at these sites, the overall expedition experienced three unexpected difficulties that affected many of the scientific objectives: 1. The extensive sea ice on the continental shelf prevented us from drilling any of the proposed shelf sites. 2. The drill sites on the continental rise were in the path of numerous icebergs of various sizes that frequently forced us to pause drilling or leave the hole entirely as they approached the ship. The overall downtime caused by approaching icebergs was 50% of our time spent on site. 3. A medical evacuation cut the expedition short by 1 week. Recovery of core on the continental rise at Sites U1532 and U1533 cannot be used to indicate the extent of grounded ice on the shelf or, thus, of its retreat directly. However, the sediments contained in these cores offer a range of clues about past WAIS extent and retreat. At Sites U1532 and U1533, coarse-grained sediments interpreted to be ice-rafted debris (IRD) were identified throughout all recovered time periods. A dominant feature of the cores is recorded by lithofacies cyclicity, which is interpreted to represent relatively warmer periods variably characterized by sediments with higher microfossil abundance, greater bioturbation, and higher IRD concentrations alternating with colder periods characterized by dominantly gray laminated terrigenous muds. Initial comparison of these cycles to published late Quaternary records from the region suggests that the units interpreted to be records of warmer time intervals in the core tie to global interglacial periods and the units interpreted to be deposits of colder periods tie to global glacial periods. Cores from the two drill sites recovered sediments of dominantly terrigenous origin intercalated or mixed with pelagic or hemipelagic deposits. In particular, Site U1533, which is located near a deep-sea channel originating from the continental slope, contains graded silts, sands, and gravels transported downslope from the shelf to the rise. The channel is likely the pathway of these sediments transported by turbidity currents and other gravitational downslope processes. The association of lithologic facies at both sites predominantly reflects the interplay of downslope and contouritic sediment supply with occasional input of more pelagic sediment. Despite the lack of cores from the shelf, our records from the continental rise reveal the timing of glacial advances across the shelf and thus the existence of a continent-wide ice sheet in West Antarctica during longer time periods since at least the late Miocene. Cores from both sites contain abundant coarse-grained sediments and clasts of plutonic origin transported either by downslope processes or by ice rafting. If detailed provenance studies confirm our preliminary assessment that the origin of these samples is from the plutonic bedrock of Marie Byrd Land, their thermochronological record will potentially reveal timing and rates of denudation and erosion linked to crustal uplift. The chronostratigraphy of both sites enables the generation of a seismic sequence stratigraphy for the entire Amundsen Sea continental rise, spanning the area offshore from the Amundsen Sea Embayment westward along the Marie Byrd Land margin to the easternmost Ross Sea through a connecting network of seismic lines. 

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