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Abstract The exchange between estuaries and the coastal ocean is a key dynamical driver impacting nutrient and phytoplankton concentrations and regulating estuarine residence time, hypoxia, and acidification. Estuarine exchange flows can be particularly challenging to monitor because many systems have strong vertical and lateral velocity shear and sharp gradients in water properties that vary over space and time, requiring high‐resolution measurements in order to accurately constrain the flux. The total exchange flow (TEF) method provides detailed information about the salinity structure of the exchange, but requires observations (or model resolution) that resolve the time and spatial co‐variability of salinity and currents. The goal of this analysis is to provide recommendations for measuring TEF with the most efficient spatial sampling resolution. Results from three realistic hydrodynamic models were investigated. These model domains included three estuary types: a bay (San Diego Bay), a salt‐wedge (Columbia River), and a fjord (Salish Sea). Model fields were sampled using three different mooring strategies, varying the number of mooring locations (lateral resolution) and sample depths (vertical resolution) with each method. The exchange volume transport was more sensitive than salinity to the sampling resolution. Most (>90%) of the exchange flow magnitude was captured by three to four moorings evenly distributed across the estuarine channel with a minimum threshold of 1–5 sample depths, which varied depending on the vertical stratification. These results can improve our ability to observe and monitor the exchange and transport of water masses efficiently with limited resources.
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This content will become publicly available on July 14, 2026
A new high-resolution hydrodynamic model for the coastal Beaufort Sea in the Arctic Ocean: model construction and evaluation
The aquatic environment of the coastal Arctic is rapidly changing, and understanding how this change will affect the coastal ocean is critical across sectors. To address this, a three-dimensional (3-D) hydrodynamic model was constructed, spanning the coastal Beaufort Sea from −153° to −142° W, explicitly including river delta channels and lagoons, and extending to the continental shelf. The Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) was used to predict ocean physical properties from January 2018 to September 2022, including dynamic sea ice and landfast ice. Model calibration and validation were conducted using a variety of data sources, includingin situhydrodynamic data from oceanographic cruises and moorings. Overall, the model captured interannual temperature variation at Prudhoe Bay from 2018 to 2022 with a model efficiency (MEF) score > 0 (better than the average) for all years (MEF = 0.59, 0.63, 0.23, 0.46, and 0.55). The seasonal temperatures in 2018 and 2019 at bottom-mounted moorings were also well captured (R2= 0.80–0.90), and sea surface height (SSH) was compared to hourly observations at Prudhoe Bay, with both the low-frequency (R2= 0.42) and diurnal (R2= 0.71) variations validated over the model period. Modeled salinity and water current velocity had mixed results compared to the observations: seasonal trends in salinity were generally captured well, but hypersaline lagoon conditions in the winter were not replicated. Measured bottom water velocity proved difficult to recreate within the model for any given point in time from 2018 to 2019. Covariance analyses of the surface wind velocity, SSH, and current velocity indicated that wind forcing significantly correlated to errors in local SSH predictions. Current velocity covaried substantially less with SSH and wind velocity, with large differences across the three moorings: this suggests that local factors such as bathymetry and shielding by islands are likely important. Future work building on this system will include analyses of the drivers of landfast ice and sea ice breakup; the potential for erosion via waves, large storms, and elevated surface temperatures; and the linkage to an ecosystem model that represents processes from carbon cycling to higher trophic levels.
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- PAR ID:
- 10618388
- Publisher / Repository:
- Frontiers in Marine Science
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Frontiers in Marine Science
- Volume:
- 12
- ISSN:
- 2296-7745
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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