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Abstract Following a previous study examining the influence of an upper-tropospheric cold low (CL) on the track of a nearby tropical cyclone (TC), this study investigates the impacts of a CL on TC intensity. The results suggest that the relative position and separation distance between the CL and the TC are the key factors affecting TC intensity. When located outside the CL’s radius of maximum winds (RMW) but within its circulation, TCs initially in the northwest quadrant of the CL intensify faster than those in the other quadrants. Theβeffect causes the CL to move northwestward toward the TC and enhances eddy angular momentum flux convergence. Meanwhile, the upper-level TC outflow erodes the CL and reduces the associated vertical wind shear, promoting TC intensification. In contrast, for TCs initially located southeast of the CL, the attraction of the Fujiwhara effect between the two entities counteracts the CL’sβdrift and helps to maintain their separation distance. Moreover, Rossby wave energy dispersion induces an anticyclone southeast of the CL, which transports lower-θeair toward the TC and hinders the TC development. Furthermore, TCs within the CL’s RMW reach a similar intensity due to their PV superposition, irrespective of their relative positions to the CL. For TCs located outside the CL circulation, the CL’s impacts are largely negligible for TCs located northwest of the CL, but TCs located southeast of the CL may still be affected by the CL-induced anticyclone. Significance StatementThis study examines the influence of an upper-tropospheric cold low on tropical cyclone intensity. The results illustrate that the relative position and separation distance between the cold low and tropical cyclone are crucial factors in determining tropical cyclone intensity. Tropical cyclones initially northwest of a cold low intensify faster than those to the southeast when located outside the cold low’s radius of maximum winds but still within its circulation. The main mechanisms are how theβsteering and interactions between the two entities act together. The midlevel intrusion of cold, dry air and Rossby energy dispersion also contribute to their complex interaction. These insights provide a guide for forecasting the tropical cyclone intensity when influenced by a nearby upper-level cold low.
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This content will become publicly available on June 1, 2026
Convective Cold Pools and Tropical Cyclones
Abstract Convective cold pools (CPs) are inherent to mesoscale convective systems and have been identified in tropical cyclone (TC) eyewalls and rainbands. However, their distribution within TCs and their impacts on the TC enthalpy balance are not well understood. This gap is due to the scarcity of high-frequency observations over the ocean. By comparing 1-min data from Saildrone uncrewed surface vehicles to 10-min ocean moored buoy data, we demonstrate that the latter can detect CPs effectively. The analysis of the combined mooring-Saildrone dataset, associated with 241 TCs in the North Atlantic over the period 1998–2023, reveals that the frequencies of occurrence of CPs in the motion-right and shear-left quadrants are 50% and 30% higher than in the motion-left and shear-right quadrants, respectively. This indicates that there is enhanced convection in the motion-right and shear-left quadrants, and TC motion is more important than vertical wind shear in organizing CPs. Although, on average, CPs occur only about 6% of the time in TCs, their contribution to tropospheric latent heat release from their uplifting effect could be comparable to the total surface enthalpy flux in TCs under non-CP conditions. In addition, we found that CP gust fronts can boost surface sensible and latent heat fluxes by 65% and 11%, respectively, which can help low-enthalpy downdraft boundary air recover more quickly, increasing the readiness of the boundary layer for new convection under TC conditions. These findings suggest that properly resolving CP dynamics in TC models could improve the accuracy of TC intensity forecasts. Significance StatementConvective cold pools are bursts of cool, dry air near the surface, often originating from thunderstorms. As they travel, they uplift surface moist air to higher altitudes, which helps form new thunderstorms. As thunderstorms are an integral part of tropical cyclones, the purpose of this study is to investigate the distribution of cold pools inside tropical cyclones and how much they impact tropical cyclone energy. We found that cold pools are more common on the right side of tropical cyclone paths, suggesting stronger thunderstorms in that part of the storm. Despite a low frequency of occurrence of 6%, the amount of energy contributed by cold pools’ uplifting effect in a hurricane can match the total energy released by that hurricane.
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- PAR ID:
- 10630142
- Publisher / Repository:
- American Meteological Society
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Monthly Weather Review
- Volume:
- 153
- Issue:
- 6
- ISSN:
- 0027-0644
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1065 to 1083
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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