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This content will become publicly available on September 30, 2026

Title: Phenological shifts in plants and pollinators over a century disrupt interaction persistence
Mutualistic interactions between plants and pollinators play an important role in supporting biodiversity and ecosystem stability. However, these interactions are increasingly threatened by climate change, which can alter the phenology of species and cause temporal mismatches between interacting partners. Leveraging historical and contemporary datasets collected more than a century apart, we investigated phenological shifts in plants and pollinators and the impact of changes in temporal overlap of the interaction partners on the persistence of their interactions. We found that generally, the onset of flowering and insect activity started earlier and has lasted longer in the present. We also found that greater temporal overlap of plant and pollinator species predicted a higher probability of persistence of their interaction between time periods. Our results document phenological shifts over a century, and emphasize the importance of maintaining phenological matching for the persistence of plant-pollinator interactions. This illustrates the value of historical data sets for understanding long-term ecological dynamics in the face of accelerating environmental change.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2102974
PAR ID:
10630281
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ;
Publisher / Repository:
The American Naturalist
Date Published:
Journal Name:
The American naturalist
ISSN:
0003-0147
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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