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Title: Historical Trends in Ocean Heat, Carbon, Salinity, and Oxygen Simulations: Impact of a Changing Ocean Transport
Examination of historical simulations from CMIP6 models shows substantial pre‐industrial to present‐day changes in ocean heat (ΔH), salinity (ΔS), oxygen (ΔO2), dissolved inorganic carbon (ΔDIC), chlorofluorocarbon‐12 (ΔCFC12), and sulfur hexafluoride (ΔSF6). The spatial structure of the changes and the consistency among models differ among tracers: ΔDIC, ΔCFC12, and ΔSF6all are largest near the surface, are positive throughout the thermocline with weak changes below, and there is good agreement among the models. In contrast, the largest ΔH, ΔS, and ΔO2are not necessarily at the surface, their sign varies within the thermocline, and there are large differences among models. These differences between the two groups of tracers are linked to climate‐driven changes in the ocean transport, with this tracer “redistribution” playing a significant role in changes in ΔH, ΔS, and ΔO2but not the other tracers. The spatial structure, and differences between models, of changes in age tracers are consistent with ΔH, ΔS, and ΔO2, supporting the hypothesis that redistribution plays a major role for these tracers. Further, the impact of the vertical displacement of isopycnals (heave) plays a major role in the differing impact of redistribution between the two groups, with this process causing insignificant changes to ΔDIC, ΔCFC12, and ΔSF6due to their weak spatial gradients. A similar multi‐tracer analysis of observations could provide insights into the relative role of the addition and redistribution of tracers in the ocean.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2243842
PAR ID:
10633228
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
American Geophyscial Union
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Volume:
129
Issue:
10
ISSN:
2169-9275
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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