skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


This content will become publicly available on November 14, 2026

Title: Method selection and temporal scale greatly influence ecological inferences on estimated animal behavioral states
Abstract BackgroundAnimal movement data are increasingly used to make ecological inferences, as well as to inform conservation and management actions. While advanced statistical methods to estimate behavioral states from these datasets have become widely available, the large number to choose from may make it difficult for practitioners to decide which method best addresses their needs. To guide decisions, we compared the behavioral state estimates and inferences from three methods (movement persistence models [MPM], hidden Markov models [HMM], and mixed-membership method for movement [M4]) when analyzing animal telemetry data. Tracks of post-breeding adult male green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas) were treated as an empirical example for this method comparison. The effect of temporal scale on behavioral state estimates was also investigated (at 1, 4, and 8 h time steps). ResultsThe HMM and M4 models produced relatively similar behavioral state estimates (compared to the MPM) and estimated anywhere from three to five states depending on the time interval of the tracks and the method used. Likewise, for all three methods, sampling movement at coarser time scales smoothed estimates of behavioral transitions. Additionally, the selection of movement metrics for analysis by the HMM and M4 also appeared to be a critical decision regarding state estimation and interpretation. At the longest time step (8 h), all three models were able to distinguish area-restricted search (ARS) behavior from migratory behavior, with greater nuance estimated by the HMM and M4 methods. By comparison, the MPM was the only model that was able to identify fine-scale behavioral patterns when analyzing the shortest time step (1 h). Moreover, the analysis of tracks with short time steps via MPM identified likely periods of resting during long-distance migration, which had only previously been hypothesized in green turtles. ConclusionsWhile there is no single best method to estimate behavioral states, our findings demonstrate that results can vary widely among different statistical methods and that model assumptions should be thoroughly checked during the model fitting process to reduce any potential biases. Thus, practitioners should carefully consider which methods best address their needs while also accounting for the inherent properties of their telemetry dataset.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2126583
PAR ID:
10648562
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
Springer Nature
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Animal Biotelemetry
Volume:
13
Issue:
1
ISSN:
2050-3385
Page Range / eLocation ID:
39
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract Understanding animal movement often relies upon telemetry and biologging devices. These data are frequently used to estimate latent behavioural states to help understand why animals move across the landscape. While there are a variety of methods that make behavioural inferences from biotelemetry data, some features of these methods (e.g. analysis of a single data stream, use of parametric distributions) may limit their generality to reliably discriminate among behavioural states.To address some of the limitations of existing behavioural state estimation models, we introduce a nonparametric Bayesian framework called the mixed‐membership method for movement (M4), which is available within the open‐sourcebayesmoveR package. This framework can analyse multiple data streams (e.g. step length, turning angle, acceleration) without relying on parametric distributions, which may capture complex behaviours more successfully than current methods. We tested our Bayesian framework using simulated trajectories and compared model performance against two segmentation methods (behavioural change point analysis (BCPA) and segclust2d), one machine learning method [expectation‐maximization binary clustering (EMbC)] and one type of state‐space model [hidden Markov model (HMM)]. We also illustrated this Bayesian framework using movements of juvenile snail kitesRostrhamus sociabilisin Florida, USA.The Bayesian framework estimated breakpoints more accurately than the other segmentation methods for tracks of different lengths. Likewise, the Bayesian framework provided more accurate estimates of behaviour than the other state estimation methods when simulations were generated from less frequently considered distributions (e.g. truncated normal, beta, uniform). Three behavioural states were estimated from snail kite movements, which were labelled as ‘encamped’, ‘area‐restricted search’ and ‘transit’. Changes in these behaviours over time were associated with known dispersal events from the nest site, as well as movements to and from possible breeding locations.Our nonparametric Bayesian framework estimated behavioural states with comparable or superior accuracy compared to the other methods when step lengths and turning angles of simulations were generated from less frequently considered distributions. Since the most appropriate parametric distributions may not be obvious a priori, methods (such as M4) that are agnostic to the underlying distributions can provide powerful alternatives to address questions in movement ecology. 
    more » « less
  2. IntroductionAn understanding of animal behavior is critical to determine their ecological role and to inform conservation efforts. However, observing hidden behaviors can be challenging, especially for animals that spend most of their time underwater. Animal-borne devices are valuable tools to estimate hidden behavioral states. MethodsWe investigated the fine-scale behavior of internesting hawksbill turtles using the mixed-membership method for movement (M4) which integrated dive variables with spatial components and estimated latent behavioral states. ResultsFive latent behavioral states were identified: 1) pre-nesting, 2) transit, 3) quiescence, and 4) area restricted search within and 5) near the residence of turtles. The last three states associated with a residency period, showed lower activity levels. Notably, when compared to other behaviors the pre-nesting exhibited shallower and remarkably long dives of up to 292 minutes. We noted high fidelity to residence core areas and nesting beaches, within and between nesting seasons, with residence areas decreasing within a season. DiscussionThe latent behaviors identified provide the most detailed breakdown of turtle movement behaviors during the internesting period to date, providing valuable insights into their ecology and behavior. This information can inform marine turtle conservation and management efforts since utilization distributions of individual behavioral states can be used to determine spatially-explicit susceptibility of turtles to various threats based on their behavior. The analyses of utilization distribution revealed a minimal overlap with existing marine protected areas (0.4%), and we show how a new proposal would expand protection to 30%. In short, this study provides valuable guidance for conservation and management of internesting marine turtles at a fine spatiotemporal resolution and can be used to enhance national action plans for endangered species, including the expansion of existing Marine Protected Areas. By flexibly incorporating biologically informative parameters, this approach can be used to study behavior outside of the hawksbill breeding season or even beyond this species. 
    more » « less
  3. Abstract Conservation of migratory species exhibiting wide‐ranging and multidimensional behaviors is challenged by management efforts that only utilize horizontal movements or produce static spatial–temporal products. For the deep‐diving, critically endangered eastern Pacific leatherback turtle, tools that predict where turtles have high risks of fisheries interactions are urgently needed to prevent further population decline. We incorporated horizontal–vertical movement model results with spatial–temporal kernel density estimates and threat data (gear‐specific fishing) to develop monthly maps of spatial risk. Specifically, we applied multistate hidden Markov models to a biotelemetry data set (n = 28 leatherback tracks, 2004–2007). Tracks with dive information were used to characterize turtle behavior as belonging to 1 of 3 states (transiting, residential with mixed diving, and residential with deep diving). Recent fishing effort data from Global Fishing Watch were integrated with predicted behaviors and monthly space‐use estimates to create maps of relative risk of turtle–fisheries interactions. Drifting (pelagic) longline fishing gear had the highest average monthly fishing effort in the study region, and risk indices showed this gear to also have the greatest potential for high‐risk interactions with turtles in a residential, deep‐diving behavioral state. Monthly relative risk surfaces for all gears and behaviors were added to South Pacific TurtleWatch (SPTW) (https://www.upwell.org/sptw), a dynamic management tool for this leatherback population. These modifications will refine SPTW's capability to provide important predictions of potential high‐risk bycatch areas for turtles undertaking specific behaviors. Our results demonstrate how multidimensional movement data, spatial–temporal density estimates, and threat data can be used to create a unique conservation tool. These methods serve as a framework for incorporating behavior into similar tools for other aquatic, aerial, and terrestrial taxa with multidimensional movement behaviors. 
    more » « less
  4. Population abundance data are often used to define species’ conservation status. Abundance of marine turtles is typically estimated using nesting beach monitoring data such as nest counts and clutch frequency (CF, i.e., the number of nests female turtles lay within a nesting season). However, studies have shown that CF determined solely from nesting beach monitoring data can be underestimated, leading to inaccurate abundance estimates. To obtain reliable estimates of CF for hawksbill turtles in northeastern Brazil (6.273356° S, 35.036271° W), the region with the highest nesting density in the South Atlantic, data from beach monitoring and satellite telemetry were combined from 2014 to 2019. Beach monitoring data indicated the date of first nesting event, while state-space modeling of satellite telemetry data indicated the departure date of turtles, allowing calculations of residence length at breeding site and CF estimates based on internesting intervals. Females were estimated to nest up to six times within the nesting season with CF estimates between 4.5 and 4.8 clutches per female. CF estimates were used to determine the number of nesting females at the study site based in two approaches: considering and not considering transient turtles. Our approach and findings highlight that transients heavily influence CF estimates and need for reconsideration of how this key parameter is commonly determined for marine turtle populations and the use of beach monitoring data and satellite telemetry for estimations of CF 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract AimBiogeographers have used three primary data types to examine shifts in tree ranges in response to past climate change: fossil pollen, genetic data and contemporary occurrences. Although recent efforts have explored formal integration of these types of data, we have limited understanding of how integration affects estimates of range shift rates and their uncertainty. We compared estimates of biotic velocity (i.e. rate of species' range shifts) using each data type independently to estimates obtained using integrated models. LocationEastern North America. TaxonFraxinus pennsylvanicaMarshall (green ash). MethodsUsing fossil pollen, genomic data and modern occurrence data, we estimated biotic velocities directly from 24 species distribution models (SDMs) and 200 pollen surfaces created with a novel Bayesian spatio‐temporal model. We compared biotic velocity from these analyses to estimates based on coupled demographic‐coalescent simulations and Approximate Bayesian Computation that combined fossil pollen and SDMs with population genomic data collected across theF. pennsylvanicarange. ResultsPatterns and magnitude of biotic velocity over time varied by the method used to estimate past range dynamics. Estimates based on fossil pollen yielded the highest rates of range movement. Overall, integrating genetic data with other data types in our simulation‐based framework reduced apparent uncertainty in biotic velocity estimates and resulted in greater similarity in estimates between SDM‐ and pollen‐integrated analyses. Main ConclusionsBy reducing uncertainty in our assessments of range shifts, integration of data types improves our understanding of the past distribution of species. Based on these results, we propose further steps to reach the integration of these three lines of biogeographical evidence into a unified analytical framework. 
    more » « less