The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) impacts temperatures, ecosystems, and the carbon cycle. However, AMOC effects on Earth's carbon cycle remains poorly understood, in part because contributions of different physical and biological mechanisms that impact carbon storage in the ocean are not typically diagnosed in climate models. Here, we explore modeled effects of AMOC shutdowns on ocean Dissolved Inorganic Carbon (DIC) by applying a new decomposition that explicitly calculates preformed and regenerated DIC components and separates physical and biological contributions. An extensive evaluation in transient simulations finds that the method is accurate, especially for basin‐wide changes, whereas errors can be significant at global and local scales. In contrast, estimates of respired carbon based on Apparent Oxygen Utilization lead to large errors and are generally not reliable. In response to a shutdown of the AMOC under Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) background climate, ocean carbon increases and then decreases, leading to opposite changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2). DIC changes are dominated by opposing changes in biological carbon storage. Whereas regenerated components increase in the Atlantic and dominate the initial increase in global ocean DIC until model year 1000, preformed components decrease in the other ocean basins and dominate the long‐term DIC decrease until year 4000. Biological disequilibrium is an important contribution to preformed carbon changes. Biological saturation carbon decreases in the Pacific, Indian, and Southern Oceans due to a decrease in surface alkalinity. The spatial patterns of the DIC components and their changes in response to an AMOC collapse are presented.
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This content will become publicly available on December 1, 2026
Impact of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Collapse on Carbon‐13 Components in the Ocean
Abstract Changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) are believed to have affected the cycling of carbon isotopes in both the ocean and the atmosphere. However, understanding how AMOC changes of Dissolved Inorganic Carbon (DIC) distributions in the ocean is limited, since models do not typically decompose the various processes that affect . Here, a new decomposition is applied to idealized simulations of an AMOC collapse, both for glacial and preindustrial conditions. The decomposition explicitly calculates the preformed and regenerated components of and separates between physical and biological effects. An AMOC collapse leads to a large and rapid decrease in in the North Atlantic, which is due to, in about equal parts, accumulation of remineralized organic matter and changes in preformed , both in glacial and preindustrial simulations. In the Pacific, Indian, and Southern Oceans increases by a smaller magnitude. This increase is dominated by changes in preformed in the glacial simulation and remineralized in the preindustrial simulation. An extensive evaluation of the decomposition shows that its errors are small in most cases, especially for large basin‐wide changes, whereas for small, local or global changes errors can be substantial. In contrast, approximations of the remineralized component based on Apparent Oxygen Utilization have large errors in most cases and are generally unreliable because they include contributions from oxygen disequilibrium.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1924215
- PAR ID:
- 10650656
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles
- Volume:
- 39
- Issue:
- 12
- ISSN:
- 0886-6236
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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