The late Paleocene and early Eocene (LPEE) are characterized by long-term (million years, Myr) global warming and by transient, abrupt (kiloyears, kyr) warming events, termed hyperthermals. Although both have been attributed to greenhouse (CO2) forcing, the longer-term trend in climate was likely influenced by additional forcing factors (i.e., tectonics) and the extent to which warming was driven by atmospheric CO2remains unclear. Here, we use a suite of new and existing observations from planktic foraminifera collected at Pacific Ocean Drilling Program Sites 1209 and 1210 and inversion of a multiproxy Bayesian hierarchical model to quantify sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric CO2over a 6-Myr interval. Our reconstructions span the initiation of long-term LPEE warming (~58 Ma), and the two largest Paleogene hyperthermals, the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ~56 Ma) and Eocene Thermal Maximum 2 (ETM-2, ~54 Ma). Our results show strong coupling between CO2and temperature over the long- (LPEE) and short-term (PETM and ETM-2) but differing Pacific climate sensitivities over the two timescales. Combined CO2and carbon isotope trends imply the carbon source driving CO2increase was likely methanogenic, organic, or mixed for the PETM and organic for ETM-2, whereas a source with higher δ13C values (e.g., volcanic degassing) is associated with the long-term LPEE. Reconstructed emissions for the PETM (5,800 Gt C) and ETM-2 (3,800 Gt C) are comparable in mass to future emission scenarios, reinforcing the value of these events as analogs of anthropogenic change.
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Tropical Atlantic Temperature and Hydrologic Change During the Paleocene‐Eocene Thermal Maximum
Abstract The Paleocene‐Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ∼56 million years ago) is among the best‐studied climatic warming events in Earth history and is often compared to projected anthropogenic climate change. The PETM is characterized by a rapid negative carbon isotope excursion and global temperature increase of 4–5°C, accompanied by changes in spatial patterns of evaporation and precipitation in the global hydrologic cycle. Recent climate model reconstructions suggest a regionally complex and non‐linear response of one important aspect of global hydrology: enhanced moisture flux from the low‐latitude ocean. In this study, we use the elemental and stable isotope geochemistry of surface‐dwelling planktic foraminifera from a low‐latitude Atlantic deep‐sea sedimentary record (IODP Site 1258) to quantify changes in sea‐surface temperature (SST) and salinity. Foraminiferal Mg/Ca and δ18O values are interpreted with a Bayesian forward proxy system model to reconstruct how SST and salinity changed over the PETM at this site. These temperature and salinity reconstructions are then compared to recent climate model simulations of Eocene warming. Our reconstructions indicate °C of warming, in excellent agreement with estimates from other tropical locations and modeled PETM warmth. The regional change in salinity is not as straightforward, demonstrating a slight decrease at extremepCO2forcing (a reversal of the modeled sense of change under moderatepCO2forcing) in both model and proxy reconstructions. The cause of this non‐linear response is unclear but may relate to increased South American continental runoff or shifts in the Inter‐Tropical Convergence Zone.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2202983
- PAR ID:
- 10655516
- Publisher / Repository:
- Paleoceanography & Paleoclimatology
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology
- Volume:
- 40
- Issue:
- 4
- ISSN:
- 2572-4517
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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