Abstract. Antarctic ice shelves buttress the flow of the ice sheet but are vulnerable to increased basal melting from contact with a warming ocean and increased mass loss from calving due to changing flow patterns. Channels and similar features at the bases of ice shelves have been linked to enhanced basal melting and observed to intersect the grounding zone, where the greatest melt rates are often observed. The ice shelf of Thwaites Glacier is especially vulnerable to basal melt and grounding zone retreat because the glacier has a retrograde bed leading to a deep trough below the grounded ice sheet. We use digital surface models from 2010–2022 to investigate the evolution of its ice-shelf channels, grounding zone position, and the interactions between them. We find that the highest sustained rates of grounding zone retreat (up to 0.7 km yr−1) are associated with high basal melt rates (up to ∼250 m yr−1) and are found where ice-shelf channels intersect the grounding zone, especially atop steep local retrograde slopes where subglacial channel discharge is expected. We find no areas with sustained grounding zone advance, although some secular retreat was distal from ice-shelf channels. Pinpointing other locations with similar risk factors could focus assessments of vulnerability to grounding zone retreat.
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The effect of melt-channel geometry on ice-shelf flow
Abstract Basal channels are incised troughs formed by elevated melt beneath ice shelves. Channels often coincide with shear margins, suggesting feedbacks between channel formation and shear. However, the effect of channel position and shape on ice-shelf flow has not been systematically explored. We use a model to show that, as expected, channels concentrate deformation and increase ice-shelf flow speeds, in some cases by over 100% at the ice-shelf center and over 80% at the grounding line. The resulting increase in shear can cause stresses around the channels to exceed the threshold for failure, suggesting that rifting, calving and retreat might result. However, channels have different effects depending on their width, depth and position on an ice shelf. Channels in areas where ice shelves are spreading freely have little effect on ice flow, and even channels in confined regions of the shelf do not necessarily alter flow significantly. Nevertheless, if located in areas of vulnerability, particularly in the shear margins near the grounding line, melt channels may alter flow in a way that could lead to catastrophic ice-shelf breakup by mechanically separating shelves from their embayments.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1738934
- PAR ID:
- 10659469
- Publisher / Repository:
- International Glaciological Society
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Glaciology
- Volume:
- 71
- ISSN:
- 0022-1430
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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