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Large proglacial lakes could have been a significant methane source during the last deglaciation. Today, proglacial lakes are small and mostly limited in the northern hemisphere to the margins of ice sheets in Greenland, Alaska, and Canada, but much larger proglacial lakes collectively flooded millions of square kilometers in the northern hemisphere over the last deglacial period. We synthesize new and existing methane flux measurements from modern proglacial lakes in Alaska and Greenland and use these data together with reconstructed lake area and bathymetry, new paleorecords of sediment organic geochemistry, carbon accumulation, and other proxies to broadly constrain the possible deglacial methane dynamics of a single large North American proglacial lake, Lake Agassiz. While large influxes of glaciogenic material contributed to rapid organic carbon burial during initial lakes phases, limited bioavailability of this carbon is suggested by its likely subglacial origin and prior microbial processing. Water depths of >20 m across 37–90% of the lake area facilitating significant oxidation of methane within the water column further limited emissions. Later phases of lake lowering and subsequent re-expansion into shallow aquatic and subaerial environments provided the most significant opportunity for methane production according to our estimates. We found that Lake Agassiz was likely a small source [0.4–2.7 Tg yr−1 mean (0.1–9.9 Tg yr−1 95% CI)] of methane during the last deglaciation on par with emissions from modern wildfires. Although poor constraints of past global proglacial lake areas and morphologies currently prevent extrapolation of our results, we suggest that these systems were likely an additional source of methane during the last deglacial transition that require further study. 

Atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations have gone through rapid changes since the last deglaciation; however, the reasons for abrupt increases around 14,700 and 11,600 years before present (yrs BP) are not fully understood. Concurrent with deglaciation, sea-level rise gradually inundated vast areas of the low-lying Beringian shelf. This transformation of what was once a terrestrial-permafrost tundra-steppe landscape, into coastal, and subsequently, marine environments led to new sources of CH4 from the region to the atmosphere. Here, we estimate, based on an extended geospatial analysis, the area of Beringian coastal wetlands in 1000-year intervals and their potential contribution to northern CH4 flux (based on present day CH4 fluxes from coastal wetland) during the past 20,000 years. At its maximum (∼14,000 yrs BP) we estimated CH4 fluxes from Beringia coastal wetlands to be 3.5 (+4.0/-1.9) Tg CH4 yr−1. This shifts the onset of CH4 fluxes from northern regions earlier, towards the Bølling-Allerød, preceding peak emissions from the formation of northern high latitude thermokarst lakes and wetlands. Emissions associated with the inundation of Beringian coastal wetlands better align with polar ice core reconstructions of northern hemisphere sources of atmospheric CH4 during the last deglaciation, suggesting a connection between rising sea level, coastal wetland expansion, and enhanced CH4 emissions. 

Abstract Climate warming threatens to destabilize vast northern permafrost areas, potentially releasing large quantities of organic carbon that could further disrupt the climate. Here we synthesize paleorecords of past permafrost-carbon dynamics to contextualize future permafrost stability and carbon feedbacks. We identify key landscape differences between the last deglaciation and today that influence the response of permafrost to atmospheric warming, as well as landscape-level differences that limit subsequent carbon uptake. We show that the current magnitude of thaw has not yet exceeded that of previous deglaciations, but that permafrost carbon release has the potential to exert a strong feedback on future Arctic climate as temperatures exceed those of the Pleistocene. Better constraints on the extent of subsea permafrost and its carbon pool, and on carbon dynamics from a range of permafrost thaw processes, including blowout craters and megaslumps, are needed to help quantify the future permafrost-carbon-climate feedbacks.