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Abstract The Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), being conducted by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, is a wide-field multiband survey that will revolutionize our understanding of extragalactic sources through its unprecedented combination of area and depth. While the LSST survey strategy is still being finalized, the Rubin Observatory team has generated a series of survey simulations using the LSST Operations Simulator to explore the optimal survey strategy that best accommodates the majority of scientific goals. In this study, we utilize the latest simulated data and the Metrics Analysis Framework to predict the number of quasars detectable by LSST in each band and evaluate the impact of different survey strategies. We find that the number of quasars and lower-luminosity active galactic nuclei (AGNs) detected in the baseline strategy (v4.3.1) in the redshift rangez= 0.3–6.7 will be highest in theiband (about 12 million) and lowest in theuband (about 6 million). Over 70% of quasars are expected to be detected within the first year in all bands, as LSST will have already reached the break in the luminosity function at most redshifts. With a limiting magnitude of 25.7 (26.9) mag, we expect to detect 184 (199) million AGNs in thezband (rband) over the 10 yr survey, with quasars constituting only 6% of the total AGNs in each band. This arises because, considering that the luminosities of most low-luminosity AGNs are affected by contamination from their host galaxies, we set a magnitude threshold when predicting the number of quasars. We find that variations in theu-band strategy can impact the number of quasar detections. Specifically, the difference between the baseline strategy and that with the largest total exposure inuis 15%. In contrast, changes in rolling strategies, Deep Drilling Field strategies, weather conditions, and Target of Opportunity observations result in variations below 2%. These results provide valuable insights for optimizing approaches to maximize the scientific output of quasar studies.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available March 20, 2027
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ABSTRACT We present an investigation of the rest-frame optical/UV and X-ray properties for a sample of 3027 X-ray selected quasars between $$1.5 \le z \le 3.5$$ detected in the deepest Spectrum Roentgen Gamma/eROSITA data available and observed by the fifth iteration of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS-V). We parametrize the C iv $$\lambda 1549$$ emission line to infer the strength of accretion disc winds and perform X-ray spectral fitting. The X-ray spectral properties – namely, the 2 keV monochromatic luminosity ($$L_{2\, \text{keV}}$$) and spectral slope – are not strongly correlated with wind strength. Despite this result, the X-ray selected sample is shifted towards lower C iv blueshifts and higher equivalent widths than the optically selected sample observed in previous SDSS surveys, and matching in optical luminosity, redshift, and Eddington ratio does not reduce these differences. We estimate the far-UV luminosity using the He ii $$\lambda 1640$$ line luminosity and define the slopes between this and the 2500 Å monochromatic luminosity ($$L_{2500}$$) and $$L_{2\, \text{keV}}$$ ($$\alpha _\text{ouv}$$ and $$\alpha _\text{uvx}$$, respectively) in a similar manner to the familiar $$\alpha _\text{ox}$$ parameter, which tracks the spectral slope between $$L_{2500}$$ and $$L_{2\, \text{keV}}$$. The quantity $$\alpha _\text{ouv}$$ is more strongly correlated with wind strength in our sample than $$\alpha _\text{ox}$$. We show that the correlation between $$\alpha _\text{ox}$$ and wind strength is driven by the relationship between the optical luminosity and wind strength. Our results are consistent with a radiation line-driven wind, whereby the ionizing far-UV photons must not over-ionize the gas. The hard X-ray photons are few enough in number to have a negligible effect on the ionization state of the material.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 5, 2027
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Abstract The Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will monitor tens of millions of active galactic nuclei (AGNs) for a period of 10 yr with an average cadence of 3 days in six broad photometric bands. This unprecedented data set will enable robust characterizations of AGN UV/optical variability across a wide range of AGN physical properties. However, existing tools for modeling AGN light curves are not yet capable of fully leveraging the volume, cadence, and multiband nature of LSST data. We presentEzTaoX, a scalable light-curve modeling tool designed to take advantage of LSST’s multiband observations to simultaneously characterize AGN UV/optical stochastic variability and measure interband time delays.EzTaoXachieves a speed increase of ∼102–104× on CPUs over current tools with similar capabilities, while maintaining equal or better accuracy in recovering simulated variability properties. This performance gain enables continuum time-delay measurements for all AGNs discovered by LSST—both in the Wide Fast Deep survey and the Deep Drilling Fields—thereby opening new opportunities to probe AGN accretion-flow geometries. In addition,EzTaoX’s multiband capability allows for robust characterization of AGN stochastic variability down to hourly timescales, facilitating the identification of accreting low-mass AGNs—such as those residing in dwarf galaxies—through their distinctive variability signatures.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available February 6, 2027
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Abstract We present dynamical modeling of the broad-line region (BLR) of the highly variable active galactic nucleus (AGN) SDSS J141041.25+531849.0 (z= 0.359) using photometric and spectroscopic monitoring data from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Reverberation Mapping project and the current fifth-generation SDSS Black Hole Mapper program, spanning from early 2013 to early 2023. We model the geometry and kinematics of the BLR in the Hβ, Hα, and Mgiiemission lines for three different time periods to measure the potential change of structure within the BLR across time and line species. We find a moderately face-on thick-disk geometry for most BLRs, with a joint estimate for the mass of the supermassive black hole for each of three time periods, yielding when using the full data set. The inferred individual virial factorf∼ 1.6 is moderately smaller than the average factor for a local sample of dynamically modeled AGNs. There is strong evidence for nonvirial motion, with over 70% of clouds on inflowing/outflowing orbits. We analyze the change in model parameters across emission lines, finding the radii of BLRs for the emission lines are consistent with the following relative sizesRHβ ≲ RMgII ≲ RHα. Comparing results across time, we findRlow-state ≲ Rhigh-state, with the change in BLR size for Hβbeing more significant than for the other two lines. The data also reveal complex, time-evolving, and potentially transient dynamics of the BLR gas over a decade-long timescale, encouraging for future dynamical modeling of fine-scale BLR kinematics.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available September 30, 2026
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We present a velocity-resolved reverberation mapping analysis of the hypervariable quasar RM160 (SDSS J141041.25+531849.0) atz= 0.359 with 153 spectroscopic epochs of data representing a 10 yr baseline (2013–2023). We split the baseline into two regimes based on the 3× flux increase in the light curve: a “low state” phase during the years 2013–2019 and a “high state” phase during the years 2022–2023. The velocity-resolved lag profiles (VRLPs) indicate that gas with different kinematics dominates the line emission in different states. The HβVRLP begins with a signature of inflow onto the broad-line region (BLR) in the low state, while in the high state it is flatter with less signature of inflow. The HαVRLP begins consistent with a virialized BLR in the low state, while in the high state shows a signature of inflow. The differences in the kinematics between the Balmer lines and between the low state and the high state suggests complex BLR dynamics. We find that the BLR radius and velocity (both FWHM andσ) do not obey a constant virial product throughout the monitoring period. We find that the BLR lags and continuum luminosity are correlated, consistent with rapid response of the BLR gas to the illuminating continuum. The BLR kinematic profile changes in unpredictable ways that are not related to continuum changes and reverberation lag. Our observations indicate that nonvirial kinematics can significantly contribute to observed line profiles, suggesting caution for black hole mass estimation in luminous and highly varying quasars like RM160.more » « less
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Abstract We present the results of an investigation of a highly variable Civbroad absorption line (BAL) feature in spectra of the quasar SBS 1408+544 (z= 2.337) that shows a significant shift in velocity over time. This source was observed as a part of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Reverberation Mapping project and the SDSS-V Black Hole Mapper Reverberation Mapping project, and has been included in two previous studies, both of which identified significant variability in a high-velocity CivBAL on timescales of just a few days in the quasar rest frame. Using ∼130 spectra acquired over 8 yr of spectroscopic monitoring with SDSS, we have determined that this BAL is not only varying in strength, but is also systematically shifting to higher velocities. Using cross-correlation methods, we measure the velocity shifts (and corresponding acceleration) of the BAL over a wide range of timescales, measuring an overall velocity shift of km s−1over the 8 yr monitoring period. This corresponds to an average rest-frame acceleration ofa= 1.04 cm s−2, though the magnitude of the acceleration on shorter timescales is not constant throughout. We place our measurements in the context of BAL-acceleration models and examine various possible causes of the observed velocity shift.more » « less
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null (Ed.)ABSTRACT The flux ratios of high-ionization lines are commonly assumed to indicate the metallicity of the broad emission-line region in luminous quasars. When accounting for the variation in their kinematic profiles, we show that the N v/C iv, (Si iv + O iv])/C iv, and N v/Ly α line ratios do not vary as a function of the quasar continuum luminosity, black hole mass, or accretion rate. Using photoionization models from cloudy, we further show that the observed changes in these line ratios can be explained by emission from gas with solar abundances, if the physical conditions of the emitting gas are allowed to vary over a broad range of densities and ionizing fluxes. The diversity of broad-line emission in quasar spectra can be explained by a model with emission from two kinematically distinct regions, where the line ratios suggest that these regions have either very different metallicity or density. Both simplicity and current galaxy evolution models suggest that near-solar abundances, with parts of the spectrum forming in high-density clouds, are more likely. Within this paradigm, objects with stronger outflow signatures show stronger emission from gas that is denser and located closer to the ionizing source, at radii consistent with simulations of line-driven disc-winds. Studies using broad-line ratios to infer chemical enrichment histories should consider changes in density and ionizing flux before estimating metallicities.more » « less
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Abstract “Changing-look” active galactic nuclei (CL-AGNs) challenge our basic ideas about the physics of accretion flows and circumnuclear gas around supermassive black holes. Using first-year Sloan Digital Sky Survey V (SDSS-V) repeated spectroscopy of nearly 29,000 previously known active galactic nuclei (AGNs), combined with dedicated follow-up spectroscopy, and publicly available optical light curves, we have identified 116 CL-AGNs where (at least) one broad emission line has essentially (dis-)appeared, as well as 88 other extremely variable systems. Our CL-AGN sample, with 107 newly identified cases, is the largest reported to date, and includes ∼0.4% of the AGNs reobserved in first-year SDSS-V operations. Among our CL-AGNs, 67% exhibit dimming while 33% exhibit brightening. Our sample probes extreme AGN spectral variability on months to decades timescales, including some cases of recurring transitions on surprisingly short timescales (≲2 months in the rest frame). We find that CL events are preferentially found in lower-Eddington-ratio (fEdd) systems: Our CL-AGNs have afEdddistribution that significantly differs from that of a carefully constructed, redshift- and luminosity-matched control sample (Anderson–Darling test yieldingpAD≈ 6 × 10−5; medianfEdd≈ 0.025 versus 0.043). This preference for lowfEddstrengthens previous findings of higher CL-AGN incidence at lowerfEdd, found in smaller samples. Finally, we show that the broad Mgiiemission line in our CL-AGN sample tends to vary significantly less than the broad Hβemission line. Our large CL-AGN sample demonstrates the advantages and challenges in using multi-epoch spectroscopy from large surveys to study extreme AGN variability and physics.more » « less
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Abstract We constrain the intrinsic Eddington ratio ( λ Edd ) distribution function for local active galactic nuclei (AGN) in bins of low and high obscuration [ log ( N H / cm − 2 ) ≤ 22 and 22 < log ( N H / cm − 2 ) < 25 ], using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope 70 month/BASS DR2 survey. We interpret the fraction of obscured AGN in terms of circumnuclear geometry and temporal evolution. Specifically, at low Eddington ratios ( log λ Edd < −2), obscured AGN outnumber unobscured ones by a factor of ∼4, reflecting the covering factor of the circumnuclear material (0.8, or a torus opening angle of ∼34°). At high Eddington ratios ( log λ Edd > −1), the trend is reversed, with <30% of AGN having log ( N H / cm − 2 ) > 22 , which we suggest is mainly due to the small fraction of time spent in a highly obscured state. Considering the Eddington ratio distribution function of narrow-line and broad-line AGN from our prior work, we see a qualitatively similar picture. To disentangle temporal and geometric effects at high λ Edd , we explore plausible clearing scenarios such that the time-weighted covering factors agree with the observed population ratio. We find that the low fraction of obscured AGN at high λ Edd is primarily due to the fact that the covering factor drops very rapidly, with more than half the time spent with <10% covering factor. We also find that nearly all obscured AGN at high- λ Edd exhibit some broad lines. We suggest that this is because the height of the depleted torus falls below the height of the broad-line region, making the latter visible from all lines of sight.more » « less
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Abstract Recent improvements to atomic energy-level data allow, for the first time, accurate predictions to be made for the Fe iii line emission strengths in the spectra of luminous, $$L_\text{bol}\simeq 10^{46}-10^{48}{{\rm \, erg}{\rm \, s}^{-1}\,}$$, Active Galactic Nuclei. The Fe iii emitting gas must be primarily photoionized, consistent with observations of line reverberation. We use Cloudy models exploring a wide range of parameter space, together with ≃26,000 rest-frame ultraviolet spectra from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, to constrain the physical conditions of the line emitting gas. The observed Fe iii emission is best accounted for by dense (nH ≃ 1014 cm−3) gas which is microturbulent, leading to smaller line optical depths and fluorescent excitation. Such high density gas appears to be present in the central regions of the majority of luminous quasars. Using our favoured model, we present theoretical predictions for the relative strengths of the Fe iii UV34 λλ1895,1914,1926 multiplet. This multiplet is blended with the Si iii] λ1892 and C iii] λ1909 emission lines and an accurate subtraction of UV34 is essential when using these lines to infer information about the physics of the broad line region in quasars.more » « less
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