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Free, publicly-accessible full text available March 5, 2027
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Abstract Lake surface temperature extremes have shifted over recent decades, leading to significant ecological and economic impacts. Here, we employed a hydrodynamic-ice model, driven by climate data, to reconstruct over 80 years of lake surface temperature data across the world’s largest freshwater bodies. We analyzed lake surface temperature extremes by examining changes in the 10th and 90th percentiles of the detrended lake surface temperature distribution, alongside heatwaves and cold-spells. Our findings reveal a 20–60% increase in the 10 and 90 percentiles detrended lake surface temperature in the last 50 years relative to the first 30 years. Heatwave and cold-spell intensities, measured via annual degree days, showed strong coherence with the Arctic Oscillation (period: 2.5 years), Southern Oscillation Index (4 years), and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (6.5 years), indicating significant links between lake surface temperature extremes and both interannual and decadal climate teleconnections. Notably, heatwave and cold-spell intensities for all lakes surged by over 100% after 1996 or 1976, aligning with the strongest El-Niño and a major shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, respectively, marking potential regional climate tipping points. This emphasizes the long-lasting impacts of climate change on large lake thermodynamics, which cascade through larger ecological and regional climate systems.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available October 29, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2027
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Abstract Oxygen-containing complex organic molecules are key precursors to biorelevant compounds fundamental for the origins of life. However, the untangling of their interstellar formation mechanisms has just scratched the surface, especially for oxygen-containing cyclic molecules. Here, we present the first laboratory simulation experiments featuring the formation of all three C2H4O isomers—ethylene oxide (c–C2H4O), acetaldehyde (CH3CHO), and vinyl alcohol (CH2CHOH)—in low-temperature model interstellar ices composed of carbon monoxide (CO) and ethanol (C2H5OH). Ice mixtures were exposed to galactic cosmic-ray proxies with an irradiation dose equivalent to a cold molecular cloud aged (7 ± 2) × 105yr. These biorelevant species were detected in the gas phase through isomer-selective photoionization reflectron time-of-flight mass spectrometry during temperature-programmed desorption. Isotopic labeling experiments reveal that ethylene oxide is produced from ethanol alone, providing the first experimental evidence to support the hypothesis that ethanol serves as a precursor to the prototype epoxide in interstellar ices. These findings reveal feasible pathways for the formation of all three C2H4O isomers in ethanol-rich interstellar ices, offering valuable constraints on astrochemical models for their formation. Our results suggest that ethanol is a critical precursor to C2H4O isomers in interstellar environments, representing a critical step toward unraveling the formation mechanisms of oxygen-containing cyclic molecules, aldehydes, and their enol tautomers from alcohols in interstellar ices.more » « less
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 13, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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