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Green initiatives are popular mechanisms globally to enhance environmental and human wellbeing. However, multiple green initiatives, when overlapping geographically and targeting the same participants, may interact with each other, giving rise to what is termed “spillover effects”, where one initiative and its outcomes influence another. This study examines the spillover effects among four major concurrent initiatives in the United States (U.S.) and China using a comprehensive dataset. In the U.S., we analysed county-level data in 2018 for the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) and the Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP), both operational for over 25 years. In China, data from Fanjingshan and Tianma National Nature Reserves (2014–2015) were used to evaluate the Grain-to-Green Program (GTGP) and the Forest Ecological Benefit Compensation (FEBC) program. The dataset comprises 3106 records for the U.S. and 711 plots for China, including several socio-economic variables. The results of multivariate linear regression indicate that there exist significant spillover effects between CRP & EQIP and GTGP & FEBC, with one initiative potentially enhancing or offsetting another’s impacts by 22% to 100%. This dataset provides valuable insights for researchers and policymakers to optimize the effectiveness and resilience of concurrent green initiatives.

 

Rooted in dynamic systems theory, convergent cross mapping (CCM) has attracted increased attention recently due to its capability in detecting linear and nonlinear causal coupling in both random and deterministic settings. One limitation with CCM is that it uses both past and future values to predict the current value, which is inconsistent with the widely accepted definition of causality, where it is assumed that the future values of one process cannot influence the past of another. To overcome this obstacle, in our previous research, we introduced the concept of causalized convergent cross mapping (cCCM), where future values are no longer used to predict the current value. In this paper, we focus on the implementation of cCCM in causality analysis. More specifically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of cCCM in identifying both linear and nonlinear causal coupling in various settings through a large number of examples, including Gaussian random variables with additive noise, sinusoidal waveforms, autoregressive models, stochastic processes with a dominant spectral component embedded in noise, deterministic chaotic maps, and systems with memory, as well as experimental fMRI data. In particular, we analyze the impact of shadow manifold construction on the performance of cCCM and provide detailed guidelines on how to configure the key parameters of cCCM in different applications. Overall, our analysis indicates that cCCM is a promising and easy-to-implement tool for causality analysis in a wide spectrum of applications.

 

The field of synthetic biology and biosystems engineering increasingly acknowledges the need for a holistic design approach that incorporates circuit-host interactions into the design process. Engineered circuits are not isolated entities but inherently entwined with the dynamic host environment. One such circuit-host interaction, ‘growth feedback’, results when modifications in host growth patterns influence the operation of gene circuits. The growth-mediated effects can range from growth-dependent elevation in protein/mRNA dilution rate to changes in resource reallocation within the cell, which can lead to complete functional collapse in complex circuits. To achieve robust circuit performance, synthetic biologists employ a variety of control mechanisms to stabilize and insulate circuit behavior against growth changes. Here we propose a simple strategy by incorporating one repressive edge in a growth-sensitive bistable circuit. Through both simulation and in vitro experimentation, we demonstrate how this additional repressive node stabilizes protein levels and increases the robustness of a bistable circuit in response to growth feedback. We propose the incorporation of repressive links in gene circuits as a control strategy for desensitizing gene circuits against growth fluctuations.

 

Time-scaled phylogenetic trees are an ultimate goal of evolutionary biology and a necessary ingredient in comparative studies. The accumulation of genomic data has resolved the tree of life to a great extent, yet timing evolutionary events remain challenging if not impossible without external information such as fossil ages and morphological characters. Methods for incorporating morphology in tree estimation have lagged behind their molecular counterparts, especially in the case of continuous characters. Despite recent advances, such tools are still direly needed as we approach the limits of what molecules can teach us. Here, we implement a suite of state-of-the-art methods for leveraging continuous morphology in phylogenetics, and by conducting extensive simulation studies we thoroughly validate and explore our methods’ properties. While retaining model generality and scalability, we make it possible to estimate absolute and relative divergence times from multiple continuous characters while accounting for uncertainty. We compile and analyze one of the most data-type diverse data sets to date, comprised of contemporaneous and ancient molecular sequences, and discrete and continuous morphological characters from living and extinct Carnivora taxa. We conclude by synthesizing lessons about our method’s behavior, and suggest future research venues.

 

Convergent cross-mapping (CCM) has attracted increased attention recently due to its capability to detect causality in nonseparable systems under deterministic settings, which may not be covered by the traditional Granger causality. From an information-theoretic perspective, causality is often characterized as the directed information (DI) flowing from one side to the other. As information is essentially nondeterministic, a natural question is: does CCM measure DI flow? Here, we first causalize CCM so that it aligns with the presumption in causality analysis—the future values of one process cannot influence the past of the other, and then establish and validate the approximate equivalence of causalized CCM (cCCM) and DI under Gaussian variables through both theoretical derivations and fMRI-based brain network causality analysis. Our simulation result indicates that, in general, cCCM tends to be more robust than DI in causality detection. The underlying argument is that DI relies heavily on probability estimation, which is sensitive to data size as well as digitization procedures; cCCM, on the other hand, gets around this problem through geometric cross-mapping between the manifolds involved. Overall, our analysis demonstrates that cross-mapping provides an alternative way to evaluate DI and is potentially an effective technique for identifying both linear and nonlinear causal coupling in brain neural networks and other settings, either random or deterministic, or both.

 

As the field of exfoliated van der Waals electronics grows to include complex heterostructures, the variety of available in-plane symmetries and geometries becomes increasingly valuable. In this work, we present an efficient chemical vapor transport synthesis of NbSe2I2 with the triclinic space group P1̅. This material contains Nb–Nb dimers and an in-plane crystallographic angle γ = 61.3°. We show that NbSe2I2 can be exfoliated down to few-layer and monolayer structures and use Raman spectroscopy to test the preservation of the crystal structure of exfoliated thin films. The crystal structure was verified by single-crystal and powder X-ray diffraction methods. Density functional theory calculations show triclinic NbSe2I2 to be a semiconductor with a band gap of around 1 eV, with similar band structure features for bulk and monolayer crystals. The physical properties of NbSe2I2 have been characterized by transport, thermal, optical, and magnetic measurements, demonstrating triclinic NbSe2I2 to be a diamagnetic semiconductor that does not exhibit any phase transformation below room temperature. 

Abstract Uncertainties in ocean-mixing parameterizations are primary sources for ocean and climate modeling biases. Due to lack of process understanding, traditional physics-driven parameterizations perform unsatisfactorily in the tropics. Recent advances in the deep-learning method and the new availability of long-term turbulence measurements provide an opportunity to explore data-driven approaches to parameterizing oceanic vertical-mixing processes. Here, we describe a novel parameterization based on an artificial neural network trained using a decadal-long time record of hydrographic and turbulence observations in the tropical Pacific. This data-driven parameterization achieves higher accuracy than current parameterizations, demonstrating good generalization ability under physical constraints. When integrated into an ocean model, our parameterization facilitates improved simulations in both ocean-only and coupled modeling. As a novel application of machine learning to the geophysical fluid, these results show the feasibility of using limited observations and well-understood physical constraints to construct a physics-informed deep-learning parameterization for improved climate simulations.