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  1. Flow super-resolution (FSR) enables inferring fine-grained urban flows with coarse-grained observations and plays an important role in traffic monitoring and prediction. The existing FSR solutions rely on deep CNN models (e.g., ResNet) for learning spatial correlation, incurring excessive memory cost and numerous parameter updates. We propose to tackle the urban flows inference using dynamic systems paradigm and present a new method FODE -- FSR with Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). FODE extends neural ODEs by introducing an affine coupling layer to overcome the problem of numerically unstable gradient computation, which allows more accurate and efficient spatial correlation estimation, without extra memory cost. In addition, FODE provides a flexible balance between flow inference accuracy and computational efficiency. A FODE-based augmented normalization mechanism is further introduced to constrain the flow distribution with the influence of external factors. Experimental evaluations on two real-world datasets demonstrate that FODE significantly outperforms several baseline approaches.

  2. Hydropower is the largest renewable energy source for electricity generation in the world, with numerous benefits in terms of: environment protection (near-zero air pollution and climate impact), cost-effectiveness (long-term use, without significant impacts of market fluctuation), and reliability (quickly respond to surge in demand). However, the effectiveness of hydropower plants is affected by multiple factors such as reservoir capacity, rainfall, temperature and fluctuating electricity demand, and particularly their complicated relationships, which make the prediction/recommendation of station operational output a difficult challenge. In this paper, we present DeepHydro, a novel stochastic method for modeling multivariate time series (e.g., water inflow/outflow and temperature) and forecasting power generation of hydropower stations. DeepHydro captures temporal dependencies in co-evolving time series with a new conditioned latent recurrent neural networks, which not only considers the hidden states of observations but also preserves the uncertainty of latent variables. We introduce a generative network parameterized on a continuous normalizing flow to approximate the complex posterior distribution of multivariate time series data, and further use neural ordinary differential equations to estimate the continuous-time dynamics of the latent variables constituting the observable data. This allows our model to deal with the discrete observations in the context of continuous dynamic systems,more »while being robust to the noise. We conduct extensive experiments on real-world datasets from a large power generation company consisting of cascade hydropower stations. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively predict the power production and significantly outperform the possible candidate baseline approaches.« less
  3. Effectively predicting the size of an information cascade is critical for many applications spanning from identifying viral marketing and fake news to precise recommendation and online advertising. Traditional approaches either heavily depend on underlying diffusion models and are not optimized for popularity prediction, or use complicated hand-crafted features that cannot be easily generalized to different types of cascades. Recent generative approaches allow for understanding the spreading mechanisms, but with unsatisfactory prediction accuracy. To capture both the underlying structures governing the spread of information and inherent dependencies between re-tweeting behaviors of users, we propose a semi-supervised method, called Recurrent Cascades Convolutional Networks (CasCN), which explicitly models and predicts cascades through learning the latent representation of both structural and temporal information, without involving any other features. In contrast to the existing single, undirected and stationary Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs), CasCN is a novel multi-directional/dynamic GCN. Our experiments conducted on real-world datasets show that CasCN significantly improves the prediction accuracy and reduces the computational cost compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
  4. Network alignment (NA) is a fundamental problem in many application domains – from social networks, through biology and communications, to neuroscience. The main objective is to identify common nodes and most similar connections across multiple networks (resp. graphs). Many of the existing efforts focus on efficient anchor node linkage by leveraging various features and optimizing network mapping functions with the pairwise similarity between anchor nodes. Despite the recent advances, there still exist two kinds of challenges: (1) entangled node embeddings, arising from the contradictory goals of NA: embedding proximal nodes in a closed form for representation in a single network vs. discriminating among them when mapping the nodes across networks; and (2) lack of interpretability about the node matching and alignment, essential for understanding prediction tasks. We propose dNAME (disentangled Network Alignment with Matching Explainability) – a novel solution for NA in heterogeneous networks settings, based on a matching technique that embeds nodes in a disentangled and faithful manner. The NA task is cast as an adversarial optimization problem which learns a proximity-preserving model locally around the anchor nodes, while still being discriminative. We also introduce a method to explain our semi-supervised model with the theory of robust statistics, bymore »tracing the importance of each anchor node and its explanations on the NA performance. This is extensible to many other NA methods, as it provides model interpretability. Experiments conducted on several public datasets show that dNAME outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of both network alignment precision and node matching ranking.« less
  5. We present a novel generative Session-Based Recommendation (SBR) framework, called VAriational SEssion-based Recommendation (VASER) – a non-linear probabilistic methodology allowing Bayesian inference for flexible parameter estimation of sequential recommendations. Instead of directly applying extended Variational AutoEncoders (VAE) to SBR, the proposed method introduces normalizing flows to estimate the probabilistic posterior, which is more effective than the agnostic presumed prior approximation used in existing deep generative recommendation approaches. VASER explores soft attention mechanism to upweight the important clicks in a session. We empirically demonstrate that the proposed model significantly outperforms several state-of-the-art baselines, including the recently-proposed RNN/VAE-based approaches on real-world datasets.
  6. Point-of-interest (POI) recommendation is essential to a variety of services for both users and business. An extensive number of models have been developed to improve the recommendation performance by exploiting various characteristics and relations among POIs (e.g., spatio-temporal, social, etc.). However, very few studies closely look into the underlying mechanism accounting for why users prefer certain POIs to others. In this work, we initiate the first attempt to learn the distribution of user latent preference by proposing an Adversarial POI Recommendation (APOIR) model, consisting of two major components: (1) the recommender (R) which suggests POIs based on the learned distribution by maximizing the probabilities that these POIs are predicted as unvisited and potentially interested; and (2) the discriminator (D) which distinguishes the recommended POIs from the true check-ins and provides gradients as the guidance to improve R in a rewarding framework. Two components are co-trained by playing a minimax game towards improving itself while pushing the other to the boundary. By further integrating geographical and social relations among POIs into the reward function as well as optimizing R in a reinforcement learning manner, APOIR obtains significant performance improvement in four standard metrics compared to the state of the art methods.
  7. Effectively modeling and predicting the information cascades is at the core of understanding the information diffusion, which is essential for many related downstream applications, such as fake news detection and viral marketing identification. Conventional methods for cascade prediction heavily depend on the hypothesis of diffusion models and hand-crafted features. Owing to the significant recent successes of deep learning in multiple domains, attempts have been made to predict cascades by developing neural networks based approaches. However, the existing models are not capable of capturing both the underlying structure of a cascade graph and the node sequence in the diffusion process which, in turn, results in unsatisfactory prediction performance. In this paper, we propose a deep multi-task learning framework with a novel design of shared-representation layer to aid in explicitly understanding and predicting the cascades. As it turns out, the learned latent representation from the shared-representation layer can encode the structure and the node sequence of the cascade very well. Our experiments conducted on real-world datasets demonstrate that our method can significantly improve the prediction accuracy and reduce the computational cost compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
  8. Learning explicit and implicit patterns in human trajectories plays an important role in many Location-Based Social Networks (LBSNs) applications, such as trajectory classification (e.g., walking, driving, etc.), trajectory-user linking, friend recommendation, etc. A particular problem that has attracted much attention recently – and is the focus of our work – is the Trajectory-based Social Circle Inference (TSCI), aiming at inferring user social circles (mainly social friendship) based on motion trajectories and without any explicit social networked information. Existing approaches addressing TSCI lack satisfactory results due to the challenges related to data sparsity, accessibility and model efficiency. Motivated by the recent success of machine learning in trajectory mining, in this paper we formulate TSCI as a novel multi-label classification problem and develop a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)-based framework called DeepTSCI to use human mobility patterns for inferring corresponding social circles. We propose three methods to learn the latent representations of trajectories, based on: (1) bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM); (2) Autoencoder; and (3) Variational autoencoder. Experiments conducted on real-world datasets demonstrate that our proposed methods perform well and achieve significant improvement in terms of macro-R, macro-F1 and accuracy when compared to baselines.