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The biological processes involved in a drug’s mechanisms of action are oftentimes dynamic, complex and difficult to discern. Time-course gene expression data is a rich source of information that can be used to unravel these complex processes, identify biomarkers of drug sensitivity and predict the response to a drug. However, the majority of previous work has not fully utilized this temporal dimension. In these studies, the gene expression data is either considered at one time-point (before the administration of the drug) or two time-points (before and after the administration of the drug). This is clearly inadequate in modeling dynamic gene–drug interactions, especially for applications such as long-term drug therapy. In this work, we present a novel REcursive Prediction (REP) framework for drug response prediction by taking advantage of time-course gene expression data. Our goal is to predict drug response values at every stage of a long-term treatment, given the expression levels of genes collected in the previous time-points. To this end, REP employs a built-in recursive structure that exploits the intrinsic time-course nature of the data and integrates past values of drug responses for subsequent predictions. It also incorporates tensor completion that can not only alleviate the impact of noise and missing data, but also predict unseen gene expression levels (GEXs). These advantages enable REP to estimate drug response at any stage of a given treatment from some GEXs measured in the beginning of the treatment. Extensive experiments on two datasets corresponding to multiple sclerosis patients treated with interferon are included to showcase the effectiveness of REP.

 

Accurate prediction of the transmission of epidemic diseases such as COVID-19 is crucial for implementing effective mitigation measures. In this work, we develop a tensor method to predict the evolution of epidemic trends for many regions simultaneously. We construct a 3-way spatio-temporal tensor (location, attribute, time) of case counts and propose a nonnegative tensor factorization with latent epidemiological model regularization named STELAR. Unlike standard tensor factorization methods which cannot predict slabs ahead, STELAR enables long-term prediction by incorporating latent temporal regularization through a system of discrete time difference equations of a widely adopted epidemiological model. We use latent instead of location/attribute-level epidemiological dynamics to capture common epidemic profile sub-types and improve collaborative learning and prediction. We conduct experiments using both county- and state level COVID-19 data and show that our model can identify interesting latent patterns of the epidemic. Finally, we evaluate the predictive ability of our method and show superior performance compared to the baselines, achieving up to 21% lower root mean square error and 25% lower mean absolute error for county-level prediction. 

This work proposes a new unsupervised (or self-supervised) node representation learning method that aims to leverage the coarse-grain information that is available in most graphs. This extends previous attempts that only leverage fine-grain information (similarities within local neighborhoods) or global graph information (similarities across all nodes). Intuitively, the proposed method identifies nodes that belong to the same clusters and maximizes their mutual information. Thus, coarse-grain (cluster-level) similarities that are shared between nodes are preserved in their representations. The core components of the proposed method are (i) a jointly optimized clustering of nodes during learning and (ii) an Infomax objective term that preserves the mutual information among nodes of the same clusters. Our method is able to outperform competing state-of-art methods in various downstream tasks, such as node classification, link prediction, and node clustering. Experiments show that the average gain is between 0.2% and 6.1%, over the best competing approach, over all tasks. Our code is publicly available at: https://github.com/cmavro/Graph-InfoClust-GIC.