Search for: All records

Abstract We show that a competitive equilibrium always exists in combinatorial auctions with anonymous graphical valuations and pricing, using discrete geometry. This is an intuitive and easy-to-construct class of valuations that can model both complementarity and substitutes, and to our knowledge, it is the first class besides gross substitutes that have guaranteed competitive equilibrium. We prove through counter-examples that our result is tight, and we give explicit algorithms for constructing competitive pricing vectors. We also give extensions to multi-unit combinatorial auctions (also known as product-mix auctions). Combined with theorems on graphical valuations and pricing equilibrium of Candogan, Ozdagar and Parrilo, our results indicate that quadratic pricing is a highly practical method to run combinatorial auctions. 

The Extremal River Problem has emerged as a flagship problem for causal discovery in extreme values of a network. The task is to recover a river network from only extreme flow measured at a set V of stations, without any information on the stations' locations. We present QTree, a new simple and efficient algorithm to solve the Extremal River Problem that performs very well compared to existing methods on hydrology data and in simulations. QTree returns a root-directed tree and achieves almost perfect recovery on the Upper Danube network data, the existing benchmark data set, as well as on new data from the Lower Colorado River network in Texas. It can handle missing data, has an automated parameter tuning procedure, and runs in time O(n |V|^2), where n is the number of observations and |V| the number of nodes in the graph. Furthermore, we prove that the QTree estimator is consistent under a Bayesian network model for extreme values with noise. We also assess the small sample behaviour of QTree through simulations and detail the strengths and possible limitations of QTree. 

A tool that could suggest new personalized research directions and ideas by taking insights from the scientific literature could significantly accelerate the progress of science. A field that might benefit from such an approach is artificial intelligence (AI) research, where the number of scientific publications has been growing exponentially over the last years, making it challenging for human researchers to keep track of the progress. Here, we use AI techniques to predict the future research directions of AI itself. We develop a new graph-based benchmark based on real-world data -- the Science4Cast benchmark, which aims to predict the future state of an evolving semantic network of AI. For that, we use more than 100,000 research papers and build up a knowledge network with more than 64,000 concept nodes. We then present ten diverse methods to tackle this task, ranging from pure statistical to pure learning methods. Surprisingly, the most powerful methods use a carefully curated set of network features, rather than an end-to-end AI approach. It indicates a great potential that can be unleashed for purely ML approaches without human knowledge. Ultimately, better predictions of new future research directions will be a crucial component of more advanced research suggestion tools. 

Random forests are a popular class of algorithms used for regression and classification. The algorithm introduced by Breiman in 2001 and many of its variants are ensembles of randomized decision trees built from axis-aligned partitions of the feature space. One such variant, called Mondrian forests, was proposed to handle the online setting and is the first class of random forests for which minimax rates were obtained in arbitrary dimension. However, the restriction to axis-aligned splits fails to capture dependencies between features, and random forests that use oblique splits have shown improved empirical performance for many tasks. In this work, we show that a large class of random forests with general split directions also achieve minimax rates in arbitrary dimension. This class includes STIT forests, a generalization of Mondrian forests to arbitrary split directions, as well as random forests derived from Poisson hyperplane tessellations. These are the first results showing that random forest variants with oblique splits can obtain minimax optimality in arbitrary dimension. Our proof technique relies on the novel application of the theory of stationary random tessellations in stochastic geometry to statistical learning theory.