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Award ID contains: 2149501

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  1. Abstract The Southern Ocean is a region of intense air–sea exchange that plays a critical role for ocean circulation, global carbon cycling, and climate. Subsurface chlorophyll‐a maxima, annually recurrent features throughout the Southern Ocean, may increase the energy flux to higher trophic levels and facilitate downward carbon export. It is important that model parameterizations appropriately represent the chlorophyll vertical structure in the Southern Ocean. Using BGC‐Argo chlorophyll profiles and the Biogeochemical Southern Ocean State Estimate (B‐SOSE), we investigate the sensitivity of chlorophyll vertical structure to model parameters. Based on the sensitivity analysis results, we estimate optimized parameters, which efficiently improve the model consistency with observations. We characterize chlorophyll vertical structure in terms of Empirical Orthogonal Functions and define metrics to compare model results and observations in a series of parameter perturbation experiments. We show that chlorophyll magnitudes are likely to respond quasi‐symmetrically to perturbations in the analyzed parameters, while depth and thickness of the subsurface chlorophyll maximum show an asymmetric response. Perturbing the phytoplankton growth tends to generate more symmetric responses than perturbations in the grazing rate. We identify parameters that affect chlorophyll magnitude, subsurface chlorophyll or both and discuss insights into the processes that determine chlorophyll vertical structure in B‐SOSE. We highlight turbulence, differences in phytoplankton traits, and grazing parameterizations as key areas for improvement in models of the Southern Ocean. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
  2. Abstract Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler glaciers in the Amundsen Sea Embayment (ASE) sector of West Antarctica experience rapid mass loss and grounding line retreat due to enhanced ocean thermal forcing from Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) reaching the grounding lines. We use simulated Lagrangian particles advected with a looping 1 year output from the Southern Ocean high‐resolution model to backtrack the transport and cooling of CDW to these glaciers. For the simulated year 2005–2006, we find that the median time needed to reach the grounding lines from the edge of the ASE is 3 years. In addition, the Antarctic Coastal Current contributes an equal number of particles as off‐shelf sources to the grounding lines of Pine Island and Thwaites. For CDW coming from off‐shelf, results from SOhi indicate that 25%–66% of the cooling occurs within ice shelf cavities. 
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  3. Abstract The Southern Ocean is rich in highly dynamic mesoscale eddies and substantially modulates global biogeochemical cycles. However, the overall surface and subsurface effects of eddies on the Southern Ocean biogeochemistry have not been quantified observationally at a large scale. Here, we co‐locate eddies, identified in the Meta3.2DT satellite altimeter‐based product, with biogeochemical Argo floats to determine the effects of eddies on the dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), nitrate, and dissolved oxygen concentrations in the upper 1,500 m of the ice‐free Southern Ocean, as well as the eddy effects on the carbon fluxes in this region. DIC and nitrate concentrations are lower in anticyclonic eddies (AEs) and increased in cyclonic eddies (CEs), while dissolved oxygen anomalies switch signs above (CEs: positive, AEs: negative) and below the mixed layer (CEs: negative, AEs: positive). We attribute these anomalies primarily to eddy pumping (isopycnal heave), as well as eddy trapping for oxygen. Maximum anomalies in all tracers occur at greater depths in the subduction zone north of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) compared to the upwelling region in the ACC, reflecting differences in background vertical structures. Eddy effects on air–sea exchange have significant seasonal variability, with additional outgassing in CEs in fall (physical process) and additional oceanic uptake in AEs and CEs in spring (biological and physical process). Integrated over the Southern Ocean, AEs contribute 0.01 Pg C (7 ) to the Southern Ocean carbon uptake, and CEs offset this by 0.01 Pg C (2 ). These findings underscore the importance of considering eddy impacts in observing networks and climate models. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2025
  4. Abstract Background subsurface vertical mixing rates in the Southern Ocean (SO) are known to vary by an order of magnitude temporally and spatially, due to variability in their generating mechanisms, which include winds and shear instabilities at the surface, and the interaction of tides and lee waves with rough bottom topography. There is great uncertainty in the parameterization of this mixing in coarse resolution Earth System Models (ESM), and in the impact that this has on SO biological productivity on sub decadal timescales. Using a data assimilating biogeochemical ocean model we show that SO phytoplankton productivity is highly sensitive to differences in background diapycnal mixing over short timescales. Changes in the background vertical mixing rates alter key biogeochemical and physical conditions. The greatest changes to the distribution of physical and biogeochemical tracers occur in regions with very strong tracer vertical gradients. A combination of reduced nutrient limitation and reduced light limitation causes a strong increase in SO phytoplankton productivity with higher background mixing. This leads to increased summer carbon export but reduced wintertime export over the mixed layer depth, which could alter the strength of the SO biological carbon pump and atmospheric concentrations on centennial to millennial timescales. This study demonstrates the importance of accurately representing diapycnal mixing in ESM to predict SO biogeochemical dynamics and their broader climatic implications. 
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  5. Abstract The Southern Ocean (SO) plays a crucial role in the process of sequestering heat and carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and transferring them to the deep ocean. This process is intricately linked to the formation of Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) and Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW), which are pivotal components of the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) and have a substantial impact on the global climate balance. AAIW and SAMW take shape in specific regions of the Southern Ocean due to the influence of strong winds, buoyancy fluxes, and their effects, such as convection, the development of thick mixed layers, and wind‐driven subduction. These water masses subsequently flow northward, contributing to the ventilation of the intermediate layers within the subtropical gyres. In this study, our focus lies on investigating the regional aspects of AAIW and SAMW transformation in CMIP6 models. We accomplish this by analyzing the relationship between the meridional transport of these water masses and air‐sea fluxes, particularly Ekman pumping, freshwater fluxes, and heat fluxes. Our findings reveal that the highest transformation rates occur in the Indian sector of the Southern Ocean, with notable values also observed in the southeast Pacific and south of Africa. Additionally, we assess the potential changes in these formation regions under future scenarios projected for the end of the 21st century. Although the patterns of formation regions remain consistent, there is a significant decrease in the transformation process. 
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  6. Abstract The Amundsen Sea in West Antarctica features rapidly thinning ice shelves, large polynyas, and sizable spring phytoplankton blooms. Although considerable effort has gone into characterizing heat fluxes between the Amundsen Sea, its associated ice shelves, and the overlying atmosphere, the effect of the phytoplankton blooms on the distribution of heat remains poorly understood. In this modeling study, we implement a feedback from biogeochemistry onto physics into MITgcm‐BLING and use it to show that high levels of chlorophyll—concentrated in the Amundsen Sea Polynya and the Pine Island Polynya—have the potential to increase springtime surface warming in polynyas by steepening the attenuation profile of solar radiation with depth. The chlorophyll‐associated warm anomaly (on average between +0.2C and +0.3C) at the surface is quickly dissipated to the atmosphere, by increases in longwave, latent and sensible heat loss from open water areas. Outside of the coastal polynyas, the summertime warm anomaly leads to an average sea ice thinning of 1.7 cm across the region, and stimulates up to 20% additional seasonal melting near the fronts of ice shelves. The accompanying cold anomaly, caused by shading of deeper waters, persists year‐round and affects a decrease in the volume of Circumpolar Deep Water on the continental shelf. This cooling ultimately leads to an average sea ice thickening of 3.5 cm and, together with associated changes to circulation, reduces basal melting of Amundsen Sea ice shelves by approximately 7% relative to the model scenario with no phytoplankton bloom. 
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  7. Abstract Global climate change has impacted ocean biogeochemistry and physical dynamics, causing increases in acidity and temperature, among other phenomena. These changes can lead to deleterious effects on marine ecosystems and communities that rely on these ecosystems for their livelihoods. To better quantify these changes, an array of floats fitted with biogeochemical sensors (BGC‐Argo) is being deployed throughout the ocean. This paper presents an algorithm for deriving a deployment strategy that maximizes the information captured by each float. The process involves using a model solution as a proxy for the true ocean state and carrying out an iterative process to identify optimal float deployment locations for constraining the model variance. As an example, we use the algorithm to optimize the array for observing ocean surface dissolved carbon dioxide concentrations (pCO2) in a region of strong air–sea gas exchange currently being targeted for BGC‐Argo float deployment. We conclude that 54% of the pCO2variability in the analysis region could be sampled by an array of 50 Argo floats deployed in specified locations. This implies a relatively coarse average spacing, though we find the optimal spacing is nonuniform, with a denser sampling being required in the eastern equatorial Pacific. We also show that this method could be applied to determine the optimal float deployment along ship tracks, matching the logistics of real float deployment. We envision this software package to be a helpful resource in ocean observational design anywhere in the global oceans. 
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  8. Abstract The Southern Ocean (SO) connects major ocean basins and hosts large air‐sea carbon fluxes due to the resurfacing of deep nutrient and carbon‐rich waters. While wind‐induced turbulent mixing in the SO mixed layer is significant for air‐sea fluxes, the importance of the orders‐of‐magnitude weaker background mixing below is less well understood. The direct impact of altering background mixing on tracers, as opposed to the response due to a longer‐term change in large‐scale ocean circulation, is also poorly studied. Topographically induced upward propagating lee waves, wind‐induced downward propagating waves generated at the base of the mixed layer, shoaling of southward propagating internal tides, and turbulence under sea ice are among the processes known to induce upper ocean background turbulence but typically are not represented in models. Here, we show that abruptly altering the background mixing in the SO over a range of values typically used in climate models (m2 s−1–m2 s−1) can lead to a ∼70% change in annual SO air‐sea CO2fluxes in the first year of perturbations, and around a ∼40% change in annual SO air‐sea CO2fluxes over the 6‐year duration of the experiment, with even greater changes on a seasonal timescale. This is primarily through altering the temperature and the dissolved inorganic carbon and alkalinity distribution in the surface water. Given the high spatiotemporal variability of processes that induce small‐scale background mixing, this work demonstrates the importance of their representation in climate models for accurate simulation of global biogeochemical cycles. 
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  9. Abstract The Weddell Gyre mediates carbon exchange between the abyssal ocean and atmosphere, which is critical to global climate. This region also features large and highly variable freshwater fluxes due to seasonal sea ice, net precipitation, and glacial melt; however, the impact of these freshwater fluxes on the regional carbon cycle has not been fully appreciated. Using a novel budget analysis of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) mass in the Biogeochemical Southern Ocean State Estimate, we highlight two freshwater‐driven transports. Where freshwater with minimal DIC enters the ocean, it displaces DIC‐rich seawater outwards, driving a lateral transport of 75 ± 5 Tg DIC/year. Additionally, sea ice export requires a compensating import of seawater, which carries 48 ± 11 Tg DIC/year into the gyre. Though often overlooked, these freshwater displacement effects are of leading order in the Weddell Gyre carbon budget in the state estimate and in regrouped box‐inversion estimates, with implications for evaluating basin‐scale carbon transport. 
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  10. Abstract Ocean chlorophyll time series exhibit temporal variability on a range of timescales due to environmental change, ecological interactions, dispersal, and other factors. The differences in chlorophyll temporal variability observed at stationary locations (Eulerian perspective) or following water parcels (Lagrangian perspective) are poorly understood. Here we contrasted the temporal variability of ocean chlorophyll in these two observational perspectives, using global drifter trajectories and satellite chlorophyll to generate matched pairs of Eulerian‐Lagrangian time series. We found that for most ocean locations, chlorophyll variances measured in Eulerian and Lagrangian perspectives are not statistically different. In high latitude areas, the two perspectives may capture similar variability due to the large spatial scale of chlorophyll patches. In localized regions of the ocean, however, chlorophyll variability measured in these two perspectives may significantly differ. For example, in some western boundary currents, temporal chlorophyll variability in the Lagrangian perspective was greater than in the Eulerian perspective. In these cases, the observing platform travels rapidly across strong environmental gradients and constrained by the shelf topography, potentially leading to greater Lagrangian variability in chlorophyll. In contrast, we found that Eulerian chlorophyll variability exceeded Lagrangian variability in some key upwelling zones and boundary current extensions. In these cases, variability in the nutrient supply may generate intermittent chlorophyll anomalies in the Eulerian perspective, while the Lagrangian perspective sees the transport of such anomalies off‐shore. These findings aid with the interpretation of chlorophyll time series from different sampling methodologies, inform observational network design, and guide validation of marine ecosystem models. 
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