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Abstract River avulsions generate catastrophic floods that threaten communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure worldwide. Alluvial ridges—elevated regions of near‐channel topography—are thought to precede avulsions, yet their spatial patterns and relationship to avulsion impact remain poorly understood. We analyzed pre‐event topographic cross‐sections from 14 rivers to quantify avulsion potential , a metric combining ridge height and slope relative to the channel. Our analysis reveals that varies downstream and defines distinct alluvial ridge segments. We identify two characteristic length scales: a longer‐wavelength complex ( 30 km) composed of shorter ridge segments ( 8 km). Segments with 2 correspond to 73% of observed avulsion activity locations ( = 37). Avulsion activity length scales linearly with ; evidence that ridge geometry controls avulsion activity size. These characteristic scales define both the minimum downstream extent of potential impact zones and the spacing between avulsion‐prone reaches , enabling improved hazard assessment. 

Abstract Natural levees form through sediment delivery from channels, dispersal onto floodplains, and storage at channel margins. When levees breach, they release water and sediment onto the floodplain, occasionally causing river avulsions. Despite their significance, levee growth remains poorly understood, and no existing models capture the dynamic channel‐levee evolution systems. A common assumption is that levee and channel bed aggradation rates are coupled or equal; however, this cannot be true because levees do not accumulate everywhere along aggrading channel belts. Using a one‐dimensional numerical model, we investigate levee growth decoupled from channel bed aggradation under flood scenarios wherein the flooded level: (a) exceeds the levee crest height (i.e., front loading); or (b) is lower than the levee crest partially inundating distal levee deposits (i.e., back loading). Front loading events initially aggrade the levee crest, which confines the channel, increases bankfull depth, and reduces flooding. During confinement, levee growth restricts flooding, and minor back loading events are more common. Over this period, the channel bed aggrades until bankfull depth decreases sufficiently to trigger larger floods. This channel‐releasing process increases flood likelihood and enhances overbank accumulation, promoting front loading and re‐confining the channel. Our findings suggest aggradational channels may experience confined‐release phases characterized by episodic levee growth and fluctuating bankfull depth. Rapid in‐channel aggradation increases flood frequency and variability with more confined‐release cycles. These results imply that river avulsions and associated floods might preferentially occur when the channel bed aggrades faster than adjacent levees, whereby the channel becomes shallower and destabilized. 

ABSTRACT Buried channel sand bodies are important reservoirs of subsurface water and energy resources, but their arrangement and interconnectedness are difficult to predict. The dominant process that distributes channels and their sediments in alluvial basins is river avulsion, which occurs when a channel seeks a new location on the adjacent floodplain. Floodplain sedimentation, incision, and channel levee growth influence channel pathfinding during avulsion, and should control key aspects of the stratigraphic arrangement of channel bodies, including compensational (spatially and temporally even) deposition, stratigraphic completeness, and facies distributions; however, this impact has been difficult to isolate in natural and experimental basin fills. To test how different avulsion pathfinding parameters influence stratigraphic architecture, we use a numerical model of a fluvial fan to produce synthetic fluvial stratigraphy under seven different runs with progressively more complex channel pathfinding rules. In the simplest models where pathfinding is set by a random walk, the channel rapidly changes position and avulsions spread across the fan surface. The corresponding deposit is dominated by channel facies, is relatively incomplete, and the compensation timescale is short. As rules for pathfinding become more complex and channels can be attracted or repulsed by pre-existing channels, lobe switching emerges. Deposits become more diverse with a mix of channel and floodplain facies, stratigraphic completeness increases, and the compensation timescale lengthens. Previous work suggests that the compensation timescale is related to the burial timescale and relief across the depositional surface, yet we find that compensation approaches the burial timescale only for model runs with high morphodynamic complexity and relatively long topographic memory. Our results imply that in simple systems with limited degrees of freedom, the compensation timescale may become detached from the burial timescale, with uniform sedimentation occurring quickly relative to long burial timescales. 

Abstract Earth's terrestrial surfaces commonly exhibit topographic roughness at the scale of meters to tens of meters. In soil‐ and sediment‐mantled settings topographic roughness may be framed as a competition between roughening and smoothing processes. In many cases, roughening processes may be specific eco‐hydro‐geomorphic events like shrub deaths, tree uprooting, river avulsions, or impact craters. The smoothing processes are all geomorphic processes that operate at smaller scales and tend to drive a diffusive evolution of the surface. In this article, we present a generalized theory that explains topographic roughness as an emergent property of geomorphic systems (semi‐arid plains, forests, alluvial fans, heavily bombarded surfaces) that are periodically shocked by an addition of roughness which subsequently decays due to the action of all small scale, creep‐like processes. We demonstrate theory for the examples listed above, but also illustrate that there is a continuum of topographic forms that the roughening process may take on so that the theory is broadly applicable. Furthermore, we demonstrate how our theory applies to any geomorphic feature that can be described as a pit or mound, pit‐mound couplet, or mound‐pit‐mound complex. 

ABSTRACT Natural river diversion, or avulsion, controls the distribution of channels on a floodplain and channel sandstone bodies within fluvial stratigraphic architecture. Avulsions establish new flow paths and create channels through several recognized processes, or styles. These include reoccupying existing channels, or annexation, downcutting into the floodplain, or incision, and constructing new channels from crevasse‐splay distributary networks, or progradation. Recent remote sensing observations show that avulsion style changes systematically moving downstream along modern fluvial fans but, to date, no studies have assessed the significance of these trends on fluvial fan stratigraphy. Here, spatiotemporal changes in avulsion stratigraphy are investigated within the Salt Wash Member of the Morrison Formation, deposited in the Cordilleran foreland basin during the Late Jurassic epoch. Measured sections and photographic panels were analysed from 23 locations across the Salt Wash extent. Avulsion style was identified in the stratigraphic record by the basal contact of a channel storey with underlying strata: channel–channel contacts indicate annexation, channel–floodplain contacts indicate incision and channel–heterolithic contacts indicate progradation. Contact types change downstream, such that channel–channel and channel–floodplain contacts dominate proximal locations, while channel–heterolithic contacts become increasingly prevalent downstream. Outcrop results were compared to a numerical model of fluvial fan formation and remote‐sensing analysis of avulsions on modern fans. In both additional datasets, channels in proximal fan positions tend to avulse via annexation, reoccupying abandoned channels, while channels in more distal positions tend to avulse via increasingly significant progradation. These findings suggest a relationship between newly recognized downstream changes in avulsion style and well‐established downstream changes in fluvial fan architecture. Furthermore, this suggests that fan architecture can inform interpretations of ancient fluvial dynamics, including avulsion behaviour, and that avulsions can cause stratigraphically significant and measurable changes to fan architecture. 

Meandering rivers experience fluctuations in width whenever riverbanks migrate in different directions or at different rates, which can be observed after individual floods. However, meandering rivers maintain approximately constant widths over decadal timescales. This implies some timescale below which width fluctuates as banks migrate independently, and above which width is maintained by a bank‐coupling process. This coupling is thought to occur either as point bar deposition events induce cutbank erosion (bar‐push), or as cutbank erosion events induce point bar deposition (bank‐pull). This coupling, however, has been challenging to observe in natural rivers due to limited event‐scale field data. We present results from a 4.5‐year campaign with 22 drone‐based lidar surveys of a single point bar and cutbank (∼0.35 km²in area) on the White River near Worthington, Indiana, USA. The middle point bar experienced net erosion (5,400 m³), but net aggradation (17,100 m³) between 2019 and 2022 when including perennially submerged regions. This aggradation was less than the 35,700 m³of cutbank erosion over the same period. Combined, we have observed widening (1.58 m/yr bend‐averaged; 3.08 m/yr near apex) over the study period as point bar deposition has not kept up with cutbank erosion. Finally, we suggest that the difference between bar‐push and bank‐pull as width‐maintenance mechanisms may not be resolvable by observing bend widening or narrowing alone without an advancement of current theory, such as determining a long‐term equilibrium width and measuring deviations relative thereto.