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Abstract During a flood, the geometry of a river channel constrains the flows of water and sediment, however, over many floods, bankfull channel geometry evolves to reflect the longer‐term fluxes of water and sediment supplied by the catchment. Physics‐based models predict the average relationship between bankfull geometry and discharge to within an order of magnitude, however, observed variability about the prediction remains unaccounted for. We used high‐resolution topography to extract continuous measurements of bankfull width from 67 sites spanning the continental United States, yielding a reach‐scale probabilistic description of river width for each site. Within an individual reach, bankfull river width is well‐described by a lognormal distribution. Rivers that spend a greater proportion of time above bankfull are wider for the same bankfull discharge, revealing an unrecognized pathway through which climatic or engineered changes in flow frequency could alter river geometry and therefore impact aquatic habitat and flooding risk.
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This content will become publicly available on March 1, 2026
Assessing Channel Bank‐Height Adjustments and Flood Frequency Trends in a Dynamic Channel‐Levee Evolution Model
Abstract Natural levees form through sediment delivery from channels, dispersal onto floodplains, and storage at channel margins. When levees breach, they release water and sediment onto the floodplain, occasionally causing river avulsions. Despite their significance, levee growth remains poorly understood, and no existing models capture the dynamic channel‐levee evolution systems. A common assumption is that levee and channel bed aggradation rates are coupled or equal; however, this cannot be true because levees do not accumulate everywhere along aggrading channel belts. Using a one‐dimensional numerical model, we investigate levee growth decoupled from channel bed aggradation under flood scenarios wherein the flooded level: (a) exceeds the levee crest height (i.e., front loading); or (b) is lower than the levee crest partially inundating distal levee deposits (i.e., back loading). Front loading events initially aggrade the levee crest, which confines the channel, increases bankfull depth, and reduces flooding. During confinement, levee growth restricts flooding, and minor back loading events are more common. Over this period, the channel bed aggrades until bankfull depth decreases sufficiently to trigger larger floods. This channel‐releasing process increases flood likelihood and enhances overbank accumulation, promoting front loading and re‐confining the channel. Our findings suggest aggradational channels may experience confined‐release phases characterized by episodic levee growth and fluctuating bankfull depth. Rapid in‐channel aggradation increases flood frequency and variability with more confined‐release cycles. These results imply that river avulsions and associated floods might preferentially occur when the channel bed aggrades faster than adjacent levees, whereby the channel becomes shallower and destabilized.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2321056
- PAR ID:
- 10600848
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface
- Volume:
- 130
- Issue:
- 3
- ISSN:
- 2169-9003
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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