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ABSTRACT In integrative distributional, demographic and coalescent (iDDC) modelling, a critical component is the statistical relationship between habitat suitability and local population sizes. This study explores this relationship in twoEnyaliuslizard species from the Brazilian Atlantic Forest: the high‐elevationE. iheringiiand low‐elevationE. catenatusand how this transformation affects spatiotemporal demographic inference. Most previous iDDC studies assumed a linear relationship, but this study hypothesises that the relationship may be nonlinear, especially for high‐elevation species with broader environmental tolerances. We test two key hypotheses: (1) The habitat suitability to population size relationship is nonlinear forE. iheringii(high‐elevation) and linear forE. catenatus(low‐elevation); and (2)E. iheringiiexhibits higher effective migration across populations thanE. catenatus. Our findings provide clear support for hypothesis (2), but mixed support for hypothesis (1), with strong model support for a nonlinear transformation in the high‐elevationE. iheringiiand some (albeit weak) support for a nonlinear transformation also inE. catenatus. The iDDC models allow us to generate landscape‐wide maps of predicted genetic diversity for both species, revealing that genetic diversity predictions for the high‐elevationE. iheringiialign with estimated patterns of historical range stability, whereas predictions for low‐elevationE. catenatusare distinct from range‐wide stability predictions. This research highlights the importance of accurately modelling the habitat suitability to population size relationship in iDDC studies, contributing to our understanding of species' demographic responses to environmental changes.
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Distance, elevation and environment as drivers of diversity and divergence in bumble bees across latitude and altitude
Abstract Identifying drivers of dispersal limitation and genetic differentiation is a key goal in biogeography. We examine patterns of population connectivity and genetic diversity using restriction site‐associatedDNAsequencing (RADseq) in two bumble bee species,Bombus vosnesenskiiandBombus bifarius,across latitude and altitude in mountain ranges from California, Oregon and Washington, U.S.A.Bombus vosnesenskii, which occurs across a broader elevational range at most latitudes, exhibits little population structure whileB. bifarius, which occupies a relatively narrow higher elevation niche across most latitudes, exhibits much stronger population differentiation, although gene flow in both species is best explained by isolation with environmental niche resistance. A relationship between elevational habitat breadth and genetic diversity is also apparent, withB. vosnesenskiiexhibiting relatively consistent levels of genetic diversity across its range, whileB. bifariushas reduced genetic diversity at low latitudes, where it is restricted to high‐elevation habitat. The results of this study highlight the importance of the intersect between elevational range and habitat suitability in influencing population connectivity and suggest that future climate warming will have a fragmenting effect even on populations that are presently well connected, as they track their thermal niches upward in montane systems.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1457659
- PAR ID:
- 10060733
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley-Blackwell
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Molecular Ecology
- Volume:
- 27
- Issue:
- 14
- ISSN:
- 0962-1083
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- p. 2926-2942
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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