skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Visual (dis)Confirmation: Validating Models and Hypotheses with Visualizations
Data visualization provides a powerful way for analysts to explore and make data-driven discoveries. However, current visual analytic tools provide only limited support for hypothesis-driven inquiry, as their built-in interactions and workflows are primarily intended for exploratory analysis. Visualization tools notably lack capabilities that would allow users to visually and incrementally test the fit of their conceptual models and provisional hypotheses against the data. This imbalance could bias users to overly rely on exploratory analysis as the principal mode of inquiry, which can be detrimental to discovery. In this paper, we introduce Visual (dis) Confirmation, a tool for conducting confirmatory, hypothesis-driven analyses with visualizations. Users interact by framing hypotheses and data expectations in natural language. The system then selects conceptually relevant data features and automatically generates visualizations to validate the underlying expectations. Distinctively, the resulting visualizations also highlight places where one's mental model disagrees with the data, so as to stimulate reflection. The proposed tool represents a new class of interactive data systems capable of supporting confirmatory visual analysis, and responding more intelligently by spotlighting gaps between one's knowledge and the data. We describe the algorithmic techniques behind this workflow. We also demonstrate the utility of the tool through a case study.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1755611
PAR ID:
10130799
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
23rd International Conference in Information Visualization – Part II
Page Range / eLocation ID:
116 to 121
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Visualizations of data provide a proven method for analysts to explore and make data-driven discoveries. However, current visualization tools provide only limited support for hypothesis-driven analyses, and often lack capabilities that would allow users to visually test the fit of their conceptual models against the data. This imbalance could bias users to overly rely on exploratory visual analysis as the principal mode of inquiry, which can be detrimental to discovery. To address this gap, we propose a new paradigm for ‘concept-driven’ visual analysis. In this style of analysis, analysts share their conceptual models and hypotheses with the system. The system then uses those inputs to drive the generation of visualizations, while providing plots and interactions to explore places where models and data disagree. We discuss key characteristics and design considerations for concept-driven visualizations, and report preliminary findings from a formative study. 
    more » « less
  2. Visualization tools facilitate exploratory data analysis, but fall short at supporting hypothesis-based reasoning. We conducted an exploratory study to investigate how visualizations might support a concept-driven analysis style, where users can optionally share their hypotheses and conceptual models in natural language, and receive customized plots depicting the fit of their models to the data. We report on how participants leveraged these unique affordances for visual analysis. We found that a majority of participants articulated meaningful models and predictions, utilizing them as entry points to sensemaking. We contribute an abstract typology representing the types of models participants held and externalized as data expectations. Our findings suggest ways for rearchitecting visual analytics tools to better support hypothesis- and model-based reasoning, in addition to their traditional role in exploratory analysis. We discuss the design implications and reflect on the potential benefits and challenges involved. 
    more » « less
  3. Abstract Static maps and animations remain popular in spatial epidemiology of dengue, limiting the analytical depth and scope of visualizations. Over half of the global population live in dengue endemic regions. Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of the four closely related dengue serotypes, and their immunological interactions, remains a challenge at a global scale. To facilitate this understanding, we worked with dengue epidemiologists in a user‐centred design framework to create GeoDEN, an exploratory visualization tool that empowers experts to investigate spatiotemporal patterns in dengue serotype reports. The tool has several linked visualizations and filtering mechanisms, enabling analysis at a range of spatial and temporal scales. To identify successes and failures, we present both insight‐based and value‐driven evaluations. Our domain experts found GeoDEN valuable, verifying existing hypotheses and uncovering novel insights that warrant further investigation by the epidemiology community. The developed visual exploration approach can be adapted for exploring other epidemiology and disease incident datasets. 
    more » « less
  4. Exploratory data science largely happens in computational notebooks with dataframe APIs, such as pandas, that support flexible means to transform, clean, and analyze data. Yet, visually exploring data in dataframes remains tedious, requiring substantial programming effort for visualization and mental effort to determine what analysis to perform next. We propose Lux, an always-on framework for accelerating visual insight discovery in dataframe workflows. When users print a dataframe in their notebooks, Lux recommends visualizations to provide a quick overview of the patterns and trends and suggests promising analysis directions. Lux features a high-level language for generating visualizations on demand to encourage rapid visual experimentation with data. We demonstrate that through the use of a careful design and three system optimizations, Lux adds no more than two seconds of overhead on top of pandas for over 98% of datasets in the UCI repository. We evaluate Lux in terms of usability via interviews with early adopters, finding that Lux helps fulfill the needs of data scientists for visualization support within their dataframe workflows. Lux has already been embraced by data science practitioners, with over 3.1k stars on Github. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract The rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) and generative visual analytics systems has transformed data‐driven insights, yet significant challenges persist in accurately interpreting users analytical and interaction intents. While language inputs offer flexibility, they often lack precision, making the expression of complex intents inefficient, error‐prone, and time‐intensive. To address these limitations, we investigate the design space of multimodal interactions for generative visual analytics through a literature review and pilot brainstorming sessions. Building on these insights, we introduce a highly extensible workflow that integrates multiple LLM agents for intent inference and visualization generation. We develop InterChat, a generative visual analytics system that combines direct manipulation of visual elements with natural language inputs. This integration enables precise intent communication and supports progressive, visually driven exploratory data analyses. By employing effective prompt engineering, and contextual interaction linking, alongside intuitive visualization and interaction designs, InterChat bridges the gap between user interactions and LLM‐driven visualizations, enhancing both interpretability and usability. Extensive evaluations, including two usage scenarios, a user study, and expert feedback, demonstrate the effectiveness of InterChat. Results show significant improvements in the accuracy and efficiency of handling complex visual analytics tasks, highlighting the potential of multimodal interactions to redefine user engagement and analytical depth in generative visual analytics. 
    more » « less