- Award ID(s):
- 1749677
- Publication Date:
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10209170
- Journal Name:
- Frontiers in Digital Health
- Volume:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 2673-253X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY Earlier work has focused primarily on identifying individual risk factors for infertility. Several predictive models have been developed in subfertile populations, with relatively low discrimination (AUC: 59–64%).
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LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION Reliance on self-reported predictor data could have introduced misclassification, which would likely be non-differential with respect to the pregnancy outcome given the prospective design. In addition, we cannot be certain that all relevant predictor variables were considered. Finally, though we validated the models using split-sample replication techniques, we did not conduct an external validation study.
WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS Given a wide range of predictor data, machine learning algorithms can be leveraged to analyze epidemiologic data and predict the probability of conception with discrimination that exceeds earlier work.
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