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Ride-sourcing services play an increasingly important role in meeting mobility needs in many metropolitan areas. Yet, aside from delivering passengers from their origins to destinations, ride-sourcing vehicles generate a significant number of vacant trips from the end of one customer delivery trip to the start of the next. These vacant trips create additional traffic demand and may worsen traffic conditions in urban networks. Capturing the congestion effect of these vacant trips poses a great challenge to the modeling practice of transportation planning agencies. With ride-sourcing services, vehicular trips are the outcome of the interactions between service providers and passengers, a missing ingredient in the current traffic assignment methodology. In this paper, we enhance the methodology by explicitly modeling those vacant trips, which include cruising for customers and deadheading for picking up them. Because of the similarity between taxi and ride-sourcing services, we first extend previous taxi network models to construct a base model, which assumes intranode matching between customers and idle ride-sourcing vehicles and thus, only considers cruising vacant trips. Considering spatial matching among multiple zones commonly practiced by ride-sourcing platforms, we further enhance the base model by encapsulating internode matching and considering both the cruising and deadheading vacant trips. A large set of empirical data from Didi Chuxing is applied to validate the proposed enhancement for internode matching. The extended model describes the equilibrium state that results from the interactions between background regular traffic and occupied, idle, and deadheading ride-sourcing vehicles. A solution algorithm is further proposed to solve the enhanced model effectively. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the model and solution algorithm. Although this study focuses on ride-sourcing services, the proposed modeling framework can be adapted to model other types of shared use mobility services.
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Gravity Model of Passenger and Mobility Fleet Origin–Destination Patterns with Partially Observed Service Data
Mobility-as-a-service systems are becoming increasingly important in the context of smart cities, with challenges arising for public agencies to obtain data from private operators. Only limited mobility data are typically provided to city agencies, which are not enough to support their decision-making. This study proposed an entropy-maximizing gravity model to predict origin–destination patterns of both passenger and mobility fleets with only partial operator data. An iterative balancing algorithm was proposed to efficiently reach the entropy maximization state. With different trip length distributions data available, two calibration applications were discussed and validated with a small-scale numerical example. Tests were also conducted to verify the applicability of the proposed model and algorithm to large-scale real data from Chicago transportation network companies. Both shared-ride and single-ride trips were forecast based on the calibrated model, and the prediction of single-ride has a higher level of accuracy. The proposed solution and calibration algorithms are also efficient to handle large scenarios. Additional analyses were conducted for north and south sub-areas of Chicago and revealed different travel patterns in these two sub-areas.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1652735
- PAR ID:
- 10213711
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
- ISSN:
- 0361-1981
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 036119812199207
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198121992074
