More Like this

1. Calibration of temperature-dependent ocean microbial processes in the cGENIE.muffin (v0.9.13) Earth system model

   https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-125-2021  

   Crichton, Katherine A. ; Wilson, Jamie D. ; Ridgwell, Andy ; Pearson, Paul N. ( January 2021 , Geoscientific Model Development)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract. Temperature is a master parameter in the marine carbon cycle, exerting a critical control on the rate of biological transformation of a variety of solid and dissolved reactants and substrates. Although in the construction of numerical models of marine carbon cycling, temperature has been long recognised as a key parameter in the production and export of organic matter at the ocean surface, its role in the ocean interior is much less frequently accounted for. There, bacteria (primarily) transform sinking particulate organic matter (POM) into its dissolved constituents and consume dissolved oxygen (and/or other electron acceptors such as sulfate). The nutrients and carbon thereby released then become available for transport back to the surface, influencing biological productivity and atmospheric pCO2, respectively. Given the substantial changes in ocean temperature occurring in the past, as well as in light of current anthropogenic warming, appropriately accounting for the role of temperature in marine carbon cycling may be critical to correctly projecting changes in ocean deoxygenation and the strength of feedbacks on atmosphericpCO2. Here we extend and calibrate a temperature-dependent representation ofmarine carbon cycling in the cGENIE.muffin Earth system model, intended forboth past and future climate applications. In this, we combine atemperature-dependent remineralisation scheme for sinking organic matterwith a biological export production scheme that also includes a dependenceon ambient seawater temperature. Via a parameter ensemble, we jointlycalibrate the two parameterisations by statistically contrasting model-projected fields of nutrients, oxygen, and the stable carbon isotopicsignature (δ13C) of dissolved inorganic carbon in the oceanwith modern observations. We additionally explore the role of temperature inthe creation and recycling of dissolved organic matter (DOM) and hence itsimpact on global carbon cycle dynamics. We find that for the present day, the temperature-dependent version showsa fit to the data that is as good as or better than the existing tuned non-temperature-dependent version of the cGENIE.muffin. The main impact ofaccounting for temperature-dependent remineralisation of POM is in drivinghigher rates of remineralisation in warmer waters, in turn driving a morerapid return of nutrients to the surface and thereby stimulating organicmatter production. As a result, more POM is exported below 80 m but onaverage reaches shallower depths in middle- and low-latitude warmer waterscompared to the standard model. Conversely, at higher latitudes, colderwater temperature reduces the rate of nutrient resupply to the surface andPOM reaches greater depth on average as a result of slower subsurface ratesof remineralisation. Further adding temperature-dependent DOM processeschanges this overall picture only a little, with a slight weakening ofexport production at higher latitudes. As an illustrative application of the new model configuration andcalibration, we take the example of historical warming and briefly assessthe implications for global carbon cycling of accounting for a more completeset of temperature-dependent processes in the ocean. We find that betweenthe pre-industrial era (ca. 1700) and the present (year 2010), in response to asimulated air temperature increase of 0.9 ∘C and an associatedprojected mean ocean warming of 0.12 ∘C (0.6 ∘C insurface waters and 0.02 ∘C in deep waters), a reduction inparticulate organic carbon (POC) export at 80 m of just 0.3 % occurs (or 0.7 % including a temperature-dependent DOM response). However, due to this increased recycling nearer the surface, the efficiency of the transfer of carbon away from the surface (at 80 m) to the deep ocean (at 1040 m) is reduced by 5 %. In contrast, with no assumed temperature-dependent processes impacting production or remineralisation of either POM or DOM, global POC export at 80 m falls by 2.9 % between the pre-industrial era and the present day as a consequence of ocean stratification and reduced nutrient resupply to the surface. Our analysis suggests that increased temperature-dependent nutrient recycling in the upper ocean has offset much of the stratification-induced restriction in its physical transport. 

   more » « less
2. Variable particle size distributions reduce the sensitivity of global export flux to climate change

   https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-229-2021  

   Leung, Shirley W. ; Weber, Thomas ; Cram, Jacob A. ; Deutsch, Curtis ( January 2021 , Biogeosciences)

   Abstract. Recent earth system models predict a 10 %–20 % decrease in particulate organic carbon export from the surface ocean by the end of the21st century due to global climate change. This decline is mainly caused by increased stratification of the upper ocean, resulting in reducedshallow subsurface nutrient concentrations and a slower supply of nutrients to the surface euphotic zone in low latitudes. These predictions,however, do not typically account for associated changes in remineralization depths driven by sinking-particle size. Here we combinesatellite-derived export and particle size maps with a simple 3-D global biogeochemical model that resolves dynamic particle size distributions toinvestigate how shifts in particle size may buffer or amplify predicted changes in surface nutrient supply and therefore export production. We showthat higher export rates are empirically correlated with larger sinking particles and presumably larger phytoplankton, particularly in tropical andsubtropical regions. Incorporating these empirical relationships into our global model shows that as circulation slows, a decrease in export isassociated with a shift towards smaller particles, which sink more slowly and are thus remineralized shallower. This shift towards shallowerremineralization in turn leads to greater recycling of nutrients in the upper water column and thus faster nutrient recirculation into the euphoticzone. The end result is a boost in productivity and export that counteracts the initial circulation-driven decreases. This negative feedbackmechanism (termed the particle-size–remineralization feedback) slows export decline over the next century by ∼ 14 % globally (from −0.29to −0.25 GtC yr−1) and by ∼ 20 % in the tropical and subtropical oceans, where export decreases are currently predicted tobe greatest. Our findings suggest that to more accurately predict changes in biological pump strength under a warming climate, earth system modelsshould include dynamic particle-size-dependent remineralization depths. 

   more » « less
3. Parameterizing Eddy Transport of Biogeochemical Tracers

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094405  

   Prend, Channing J. ; Flierl, Glenn R. ; Smith, Katherine M. ; Kaminski, Alexis K. ( October 2021 , Geophysical Research Letters)

   The distribution of oceanic biogeochemical tracers is fundamentally tied to physical dynamics at and below the mesoscale. Since global climate models rarely resolve those scales, turbulent transport is parameterized in terms of the large‐scale gradients in the mean tracer distribution and the physical fields. Here, we demonstrate that this form of the eddy flux is not necessarily appropriate for reactive tracers, such as nutrients and phytoplankton. In an idealized nutrient‐phytoplankton system, we show that the eddy flux of one tracer should depend on the gradients of itself and the other. For certain parameter regimes, incorporating cross‐diffusion can significantly improve the representation of both phytoplankton and nutrient eddy fluxes. We also show that the efficacy of eddy diffusion parameterizations requires timescale separation between the flow and reactions. This result has ramifications for parameterizing subgrid scale biogeochemistry in more complex ocean models since many biological processes have comparable timescales to submesoscale motions.

    

   more » « less
4. Latitudinal gradient in the respiration quotient and the implications for ocean oxygen availability

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004986117  

   Moreno, Allison R. ; Garcia, Catherine A. ; Larkin, Alyse A. ; Lee, Jenna A. ; Wang, Wei-Lei ; Moore, J. Keith ; Primeau, Francois W. ; Martiny, Adam C. ( August 2020 , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   Climate-driven depletion of ocean oxygen strongly impacts the global cycles of carbon and nutrients as well as the survival of many animal species. One of the main uncertainties in predicting changes to marine oxygen levels is the regulation of the biological respiration demand associated with the biological pump. Derived from the Redfield ratio, the molar ratio of oxygen to organic carbon consumed during respiration (i.e., the respiration quotient,$r_{-O2:C}$) is consistently assumed constant but rarely, if ever, measured. Using a prognostic Earth system model, we show that a 0.1 increase in the respiration quotient from 1.0 leads to a 2.3% decline in global oxygen, a large expansion of low-oxygen zones, additional water column denitrification of 38 Tg N/y, and the loss of fixed nitrogen and carbon production in the ocean. We then present direct chemical measurements of$r_{-O2:C}$using a Pacific Ocean meridional transect crossing all major surface biome types. The observed$r_{-O2:C}$has a positive correlation with temperature, and regional mean values differ significantly from Redfield proportions. Finally, an independent global inverse model analysis constrained with nutrients, oxygen, and carbon concentrations supports a positive temperature dependence of$r_{-O2:C}$in exported organic matter. We provide evidence against the common assumption of a static biological link between the respiration of organic carbon and the consumption of oxygen. Furthermore, the model simulations suggest that a changing respiration quotient will impact multiple biogeochemical cycles and that future warming can lead to more intense deoxygenation than previously anticipated.

    

   more » « less
5. Molecular underpinnings and biogeochemical consequences of enhanced diatom growth in a warming Southern Ocean

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2107238118  

   Jabre, Loay J. ; Allen, Andrew E. ; McCain, J. Scott ; McCrow, John P. ; Tenenbaum, Nancy ; Spackeen, Jenna L. ; Sipler, Rachel E. ; Green, Beverley R. ; Bronk, Deborah A. ; Hutchins, David A. ; et al ( July 2021 , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   null (Ed.)

   The Southern Ocean (SO) harbors some of the most intense phytoplankton blooms on Earth. Changes in temperature and iron availability are expected to alter the intensity of SO phytoplankton blooms, but little is known about how these changes will influence community composition and downstream biogeochemical processes. We performed light-saturated experimental manipulations on surface ocean microbial communities from McMurdo Sound in the Ross Sea to examine the effects of increased iron availability (+2 nM) and warming (+3 and +6 °C) on nutrient uptake, as well as the growth and transcriptional responses of two dominant diatoms, Fragilariopsis and Pseudo-nitzschia . We found that community nutrient uptake and primary productivity were elevated under both warming conditions without iron addition (relative to ambient −0.5 °C). This effect was greater than additive under concurrent iron addition and warming. Pseudo-nitzschia became more abundant under warming without added iron (especially at 6 °C), while Fragilariopsis only became more abundant under warming in the iron-added treatments. We attribute the apparent advantage Pseudo-nitzschia shows under warming to up-regulation of iron-conserving photosynthetic processes, utilization of iron-economic nitrogen assimilation mechanisms, and increased iron uptake and storage. These data identify important molecular and physiological differences between dominant diatom groups and add to the growing body of evidence for Pseudo-nitzschia ’s increasingly important role in warming SO ecosystems. This study also suggests that temperature-driven shifts in SO phytoplankton assemblages may increase utilization of the vast pool of excess nutrients in iron-limited SO surface waters and thereby influence global nutrient distribution and carbon cycling. 

   more » « less