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1. Sampling for Beyond-Worst-Case Online Ranking

   https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v38i18.30051  

   Chen, Qingyun; Im, Sungjin; Moseley, Benjamin; Xu, Chenyang; Zhang, Ruilong (March 2024, Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence)

   The feedback arc set problem is one of the most fundamental and well-studied ranking problems where n objects are to be ordered based on their pairwise comparison. The problem enjoys several efficient approximation algorithms in the offline setting. Unfortunately, online there are strong lower bounds on the competitive ratio establishing that no algorithm can perform well in the worst case.This paper introduces a new beyond-worst-case model for online feedback arc set. In the model, a sample of the input is given to the algorithm offline before the remaining instance is revealed online. This models the case in practice where yesterday's data is available and is similar to today's online instance. This sample is drawn from a known distribution which may not be uniform. We design an online algorithm with strong theoretical guarantees. The algorithm has a small constant competitive ratio when the sample is uniform---if not, we show we can recover the same result by adding a provably minimal sample. Empirical results validate the theory and show that such algorithms can be used on temporal data to obtain strong results. 

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2. A Distributional Framework for Data Valuation, ICML

   Ghorbani, Amirata; Kim, Michael P.; Zou, James (July 2020, Proceedings of Machine Learning Research)

   Shapley value is a classic notion from game theory, historically used to quantify the contributions of individuals within groups, and more recently applied to assign values to data points when training machine learning models. Despite its foundational role, a key limitation of the data Shapley framework is that it only provides valuations for points within a fixed data set. It does not account for statistical aspects of the data and does not give a way to reason about points outside the data set. To address these limitations, we propose a novel framework -- distributional Shapley -- where the value of a point is defined in the context of an underlying data distribution. We prove that distributional Shapley has several desirable statistical properties; for example, the values are stable under perturbations to the data points themselves and to the underlying data distribution. We leverage these properties to develop a new algorithm for estimating values from data, which comes with formal guarantees and runs two orders of magnitude faster than state-of-the-art algorithms for computing the (non-distributional) data Shapley values. We apply distributional Shapley to diverse data sets and demonstrate its utility in a data market setting. 

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3. Finite Sample Valid Inference via Calibrated Bootstrap

   Jiang, Yiran; Liu, Chuanhai; Zhang, Heping (August 2024, arXiv.org)

   While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed calibrated bootstrap, designed to generate finite sample-valid parametric inference from a sample of size n. The central idea is to calibrate an m-out-of-n resampling scheme, where the calibration parameter m is determined against inferential pivotal quantities derived from the cumulative distribution functions of loss functions in parameter estimation. The method comprises two algorithms. The first, named resampling approximation (RA), employs a stochastic approximation algorithm to find the value of the calibration parameter m=mα for a given α in a manner that ensures the resulting m-out-of-n bootstrapped 1−α confidence set is valid. The second algorithm, termed distributional resampling (DR), is developed to further select samples of bootstrapped estimates from the RA step when constructing 1−α confidence sets for a range of α values is of interest. The proposed method is illustrated and compared to existing methods using linear regression with and without L1 penalty, within the context of a high-dimensional setting and a real-world data application. The paper concludes with remarks on a few open problems worthy of consideration. 

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4. Estimating location parameters in sample-heterogeneous distributions

   https://doi.org/10.1093/imaiai/iaab013  

   Pensia, Ankit; Jog, Varun; Loh, Po-Ling (June 2021, Information and Inference: A Journal of the IMA)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract Estimating the mean of a probability distribution using i.i.d. samples is a classical problem in statistics, wherein finite-sample optimal estimators are sought under various distributional assumptions. In this paper, we consider the problem of mean estimation when independent samples are drawn from $$d$$-dimensional non-identical distributions possessing a common mean. When the distributions are radially symmetric and unimodal, we propose a novel estimator, which is a hybrid of the modal interval, shorth and median estimators and whose performance adapts to the level of heterogeneity in the data. We show that our estimator is near optimal when data are i.i.d. and when the fraction of ‘low-noise’ distributions is as small as $$\varOmega \left (\frac{d \log n}{n}\right )$$, where $$n$$ is the number of samples. We also derive minimax lower bounds on the expected error of any estimator that is agnostic to the scales of individual data points. Finally, we extend our theory to linear regression. In both the mean estimation and regression settings, we present computationally feasible versions of our estimators that run in time polynomial in the number of data points. 

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5. Efficient Algorithms for Least Square Piecewise Polynomial Regression

   Lokshtanov, Daniel; Suri, Subhash; Xue, Jie (September 2021, ESA21: Proceedings of European Symposium on Algorithms)

   null (Ed.)

   We present approximation and exact algorithms for piecewise regression of univariate and bivariate data using fixed-degree polynomials. Specifically, given a set S of n data points (x1, y1), . . . , (xn, yn) ∈ Rd × R where d ∈ {1, 2}, the goal is to segment xi’s into some (arbitrary) number of disjoint pieces P1, . . . , Pk, where each piece Pj is associated with a fixed-degree polynomial fj : Rd → R, to minimize the total loss function λk+􏰄ni=1(yi −f(xi))2, where λ ≥ 0 is a regularization term that penalizes model complexity (number of pieces) and f : 􏰇kj=1 Pj → R is the piecewise polynomial function defined as f|Pj = fj. The pieces P1,...,Pk are disjoint intervals of R in the case of univariate data and disjoint axis-aligned rectangles in the case of bivariate data. Our error approximation allows use of any fixed-degree polynomial, not just linear functions. Our main results are the following. For univariate data, we present a (1 + ε)-approximation algorithm with time complexity O(nε log1ε), assuming that data is presented in sorted order of xi’s. For bivariate data, we √ present three results: a sub-exponential exact algorithm with running time nO( n); a polynomial-time constant- approximation algorithm; and a quasi-polynomial time approximation scheme (QPTAS). The bivariate case is believed to be NP-hard in the folklore but we could not find a published record in the literature, so in this paper we also present a hardness proof for completeness. 

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