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1. Rapid Flood Progress Monitoring in Cropland with NASA SMAP

   https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11020191  

   Rahman, Md.; Di, Liping; Yu, Eugene; Lin, Li; Zhang, Chen; Tang, Junmei (January 2019, Remote Sensing)

   Research in different agricultural sectors, including in crop loss estimation during flood and yield estimation, substantially rely on inundation information. Spaceborne remote sensing has widely been used in the mapping and monitoring of floods. However, the inability of optical remote sensing to cloud penetration and the scarcity of fine temporal resolution SAR data hinder the application of flood mapping in many cases. Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) level 4 products, which are model-driven soil moisture data derived from SMAP observations and are available at 3-h intervals, can offer an intermediate but effective solution. This study maps flood progress in croplands by incorporating SMAP surface soil moisture, soil physical properties, and national floodplain information. Soil moisture above the effective soil porosity is a direct indication of soil saturation. Soil moisture also increases considerably during a flood event. Therefore, this approach took into account three conditions to map the flooded pixels: a minimum of 0.05 m3m−3 increment in soil moisture from pre-flood to post-flood condition, soil moisture above the effective soil porosity, and the holding of saturation condition for the 72 consecutive hours. Results indicated that the SMAP-derived maps were able to successfully map most of the flooded areas in the reference maps in the majority of the cases, though with some degree of overestimation (due to the coarse spatial resolution of SMAP). Finally, the inundated croplands are extracted from saturated areas by Spatial Hazard Zone areas (SHFA) of Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and cropland data layer (CDL). The flood maps extracted from SMAP data are validated with FEMA-declared affected counties as well as with flood maps from other sources. 

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2. Spatial Gap-Filling of ESA CCI Satellite-Derived Soil Moisture Based on Geostatistical Techniques and Multiple Regression

   https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12040665  

   Llamas, Ricardo M.; Guevara, Mario; Rorabaugh, Danny; Taufer, Michela; Vargas, Rodrigo (February 2020, Remote Sensing)

   Soil moisture plays a key role in the Earth’s water and carbon cycles, but acquisition of continuous (i.e., gap-free) soil moisture measurements across large regions is a challenging task due to limitations of currently available point measurements. Satellites offer critical information for soil moisture over large areas on a regular basis (e.g., European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI), National Aeronautics and Space Administration Soil Moisture Active Passive (NASA SMAP)); however, there are regions where satellite-derived soil moisture cannot be estimated because of certain conditions such as high canopy density, frozen soil, or extremely dry soil. We compared and tested three approaches, ordinary kriging (OK), regression kriging (RK), and generalized linear models (GLMs), to model soil moisture and fill spatial data gaps from the ESA CCI product version 4.5 from January 2000 to September 2012, over a region of 465,777 km2 across the Midwest of the USA. We tested our proposed methods to fill gaps in the original ESA CCI product and two data subsets, removing 25% and 50% of the initially available valid pixels. We found a significant correlation (r = 0.558, RMSE = 0.069 m3m−3) between the original satellite-derived soil moisture product with ground-truth data from the North American Soil Moisture Database (NASMD). Predicted soil moisture using OK also had significant correlation with NASMD data when using 100% (r = 0.579, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), 75% (r = 0.575, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), and 50% (r = 0.569, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3) of available valid pixels for each month of the study period. RK showed comparable values to OK when using different percentages of available valid pixels, 100% (r = 0.582, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), 75% (r = 0.582, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3), and 50% (r = 0.571, RMSE = 0.067 m3m−3). GLM had slightly lower correlation with NASMD data (average r = 0.475, RMSE = 0.070 m3m−3) when using the same subsets of available data (i.e., 100%, 75%, 50%). Our results provide support for using geostatistical approaches (OK and RK) as alternative techniques to gap-fill missing spatial values of satellite-derived soil moisture. 

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3. Qualitative crop condition survey reveals spatiotemporal production patterns and allows early yield prediction

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1917774117  

   Beguería, Santiago; Maneta, Marco P. (August 2020, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   Large-scale continuous crop monitoring systems (CMS) are key to detect and manage agricultural production anomalies. Current CMS exploit meteorological and crop growth models, and satellite imagery, but have underutilized legacy sources of information such as operational crop expert surveys with long and uninterrupted records. We argue that crop expert assessments, despite their subjective and categorical nature, capture the complexities of assessing the “status” of a crop better than any model or remote sensing retrieval. This is because crop rating data naturally encapsulates the broad expert knowledge of many individual surveyors spread throughout the country, constituting a sophisticated network of “people as sensors” that provide consistent and accurate information on crop progress. We analyze data from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) Crop Progress and Condition (CPC) survey between 1987 and 2019 for four major crops across the US, and show how to transform the original qualitative data into a continuous, probabilistic variable better suited to quantitative analysis. Although the CPC reflects the subjective perception of many surveyors at different locations, the underlying models that describe the reported crop status are statistically robust and maintain similar characteristics across different crops, exhibit long-term stability, and have nation-wide validity. We discuss the origin and interpretation of existing spatial and temporal biases in the survey data. Finally, we propose a quantitative Crop Condition Index based on the CPC survey and demonstrate how this index can be used to monitor crop status and provide earlier and more precise predictions of crop yields than official USDA forecasts released midseason. 

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4. Divergent impacts of crop diversity on caloric and economic yield stability

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca2be  

   Driscoll, Avery W.; Leuthold, Sam J.; Choi, Eunkyoung; Clark, Samantha M.; Cleveland, Daniel M.; Dixon, Mary; Hsieh, Marian; Sitterson, Jan; Mueller, Nathaniel D. (November 2022, Environmental Research Letters)

   Abstract Food security and the agricultural economy are both dependent on the temporal stability of crop yields. To this end, increasing crop diversity has been suggested as a means to stabilize agricultural yields amidst an ongoing decrease in cropping system diversity across the world. Although diversity confers stability in many natural ecosystems, in agricultural systems the relationship between crop diversity and yield stability is not yet well resolved across spatial scales. Here, we leveraged crop area, production, and price data from 1981 to 2020 to assess the relationship between crop diversity and the stability of both economic and caloric yields at the state level within the USA. We found that, after controlling for climatic instability and differences in irrigated area, crop diversity was positively associated with economic yield stability but negatively associated with caloric yield stability. Further, we found that crops with a propensity for increasing economic yield stability but reducing caloric yield stability were often found in the most diverse states. We propose that price responses to changes in production for high-value crops underly the positive relationship between diversity and economic yield stability. In contrast, spatial concentration of calorie-dense crops in low-diversity states contributes to the negative relationship between diversity and caloric yield stability. Our results suggest that the relationship between crop diversity and yield stability is not universal, but instead dependent on the spatial scale in question and the stability metric of interest. 

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5. Detection of Individual Corn Crop and Canopy Delineation from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Imagery

   https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16142679  

   Dorbu, Freda; Hashemi-Beni, Leila (July 2024, Remote Sensing)

   Precise monitoring of individual crop growth and health status is crucial for precision agriculture practices. However, traditional inspection methods are time-consuming, labor-intensive, prone to human error, and may not provide the comprehensive coverage required for the detailed analysis of crop variability across an entire field. This research addresses the need for efficient and high-resolution crop monitoring by leveraging Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) imagery and advanced computational techniques. The primary goal was to develop a methodology for the precise identification, extraction, and monitoring of individual corn crops throughout their growth cycle. This involved integrating UAV-derived data with image processing, computational geometry, and machine learning techniques. Bi-weekly UAV imagery was captured at altitudes of 40 m and 70 m from 30 April to 11 August, covering the entire growth cycle of the corn crop from planting to harvest. A time-series Canopy Height Model (CHM) was generated by analyzing the differences between the Digital Terrain Model (DTM) and the Digital Surface Model (DSM) derived from the UAV data. To ensure the accuracy of the elevation data, the DSM was validated against Ground Control Points (GCPs), adhering to standard practices in remote sensing data verification. Local spatial analysis and image processing techniques were employed to determine the local maximum height of each crop. Subsequently, a Voronoi data model was developed to delineate individual crop canopies, successfully identifying 13,000 out of 13,050 corn crops in the study area. To enhance accuracy in canopy size delineation, vegetation indices were incorporated into the Voronoi model segmentation, refining the initial canopy area estimates by eliminating interference from soil and shadows. The proposed methodology enables the precise estimation and monitoring of crop canopy size, height, biomass reduction, lodging, and stunted growth over time by incorporating advanced image processing techniques and integrating metrics for quantitative assessment of fields. Additionally, machine learning models were employed to determine relationships between the canopy sizes, crop height, and normalized difference vegetation index, with Polynomial Regression recording an R-squared of 11% compared to other models. This work contributes to the scientific community by demonstrating the potential of integrating UAV technology, computational geometry, and machine learning for accurate and efficient crop monitoring at the individual plant level. 

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