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  • Cascading Effects of Mass Gatherings on COVID-19 Infections from a Multihazard Perspective: A Case Study of New York City
Title: Cascading Effects of Mass Gatherings on COVID-19 Infections from a Multihazard Perspective: A Case Study of New York City
The devastating economic and societal impacts of COVID-19 can be substantially compounded by other secondary events that increase individuals’ exposure through mass gatherings such as protests or sheltering due to a natural disaster. Based on the Crichton’s Risk Triangle model, this paper proposes a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation framework to estimate the impact of mass gatherings on COVID-19 infections by adjusting levels of exposure and vulnerability. To this end, a case study of New York City is considered, at which the impact of mass gathering at public shelters due to a hypothetical hurricane will be studied. The simulation results will be discussed in the context of determining effective policies for reducing the impact of multi-hazard generalizability of our approach to other secondary events that can cause mass gatherings during a pandemic will also be discussed.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1735139
PAR ID:
10286099
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ;
Editor(s):
Adrot, A.; Grace, R.; Moore, K.; Zobel, C. W.
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Proceedings of the International ISCRAM Conference
ISSN:
2411-3387
Page Range / eLocation ID:
1-10
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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