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Research about urban local climate and urban heat island often relies on land surface temperature (LST) data to characterize the distribution of temperature near the surface. Although using remotely sensed data for such work has the advantage of continuous spatial coverage at regular temporal intervals, it is recognized that surface temperature is not an ideal proxy for air temperature (AT). This study's goal is to develop a spatiotemporal model revealing the relationship between LST and AT within the complexities of the urban environment. A mobile weather monitoring unit was used to collect spatially-explicit fine-scale AT data while Landsat 8 and 9 passed overhead collecting LST data. A spatiotemporal model of the relationship between LST and AT in Philadelphia was constructed with this data utilizing basis functions to account for spatial and temporal autocorrelation. The spatiotemporal model results show a strong relationship between LST and AT and indicate that it is possible to predict fine scale AT (120 m) using remotely sensed LST in an urban context (r-squared = 0.99, RMSE = 0.89 ◦C). The spatiotemporal model outperforms models that do not account for spatial and temporal autocorrelation, highlighting the importance of considering these dependencies in temperature modeling. City-wide AT predictions were generated for Philadelphia demonstrating the ability of the model to improve understanding of local urban climate.
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Temporal change in relationships between urban structure and surface temperature
Surface temperature influences human health directly and alters the biodiversity and productivity of the environment. While previous research has identified that the composition of urban landscapes influences the physical properties of the environment such as surface temperature, a generalizable and flexible framework is needed that can be used to compare cities across time and space. This study employs the Structure of Urban Landscapes (STURLA) classification combined with remote sensing of New York City’s land surface temperature (LST). These are then linked using machine learning and statistical modeling to identify how greenspace and the built environment influence urban surface temperature. Further, changes in urban structure are then connected to changes in LST over time. It was observed that areas with urban units composed of largely the built environment hosted the hottest temperatures while those with vegetation and water were coolest. Likewise, this is reinforced by borough-level spatial differences in both urban structure and heat. Comparison of these relationships over the period between 2008 and 2017 identified changes in surface temperature that are likely due to the changes in the presence of water, low-rise buildings, and pavement across the city. This research reinforces how human alteration of the environment changes LST and offers units of analysis that can be used for research and urban planning.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1832407
- PAR ID:
- 10349558
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science
- ISSN:
- 2399-8083
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 239980832210836
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1177/23998083221083677
