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Title: Global Warming Pattern Formation: The Role of Ocean Heat Uptake
Abstract This study investigates the formation mechanism of the ocean surface warming pattern in response to a doubling CO2with a focus on the role of ocean heat uptake (or ocean surface heat flux change, ΔQnet). We demonstrate that thetransientpatterns of surface warming and rainfall change simulated by the dynamic ocean–atmosphere coupled model (DOM) can be reproduced by theequilibriumsolutions of the slab ocean–atmosphere coupled model (SOM) simulations when forced with the DOM ΔQnetdistribution. The SOM is then used as a diagnostic inverse modeling tool to decompose the CO2-induced thermodynamic warming effect and the ΔQnet(ocean heat uptake)–induced cooling effect. As ΔQnetis largely positive (i.e., downward into the ocean) in the subpolar oceans and weakly negative at the equator, its cooling effect is strongly polar amplified and opposes the CO2warming, reducing the net warming response especially over Antarctica. For the same reason, the ΔQnet-induced cooling effect contributes significantly to the equatorially enhanced warming in all three ocean basins, while the CO2warming effect plays a role in the equatorial warming of the eastern Pacific. The spatially varying component of ΔQnet, although globally averaged to zero, can effectively rectify and lead to decreased global mean surface temperature of a comparable magnitude as the global mean ΔQneteffect under transient climate change. Our study highlights the importance of air–sea interaction in the surface warming pattern formation and the key role of ocean heat uptake pattern.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2105654 1934392
PAR ID:
10364239
Author(s) / Creator(s):
 ;  ;  
Publisher / Repository:
American Meteorological Society
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Journal of Climate
Volume:
35
Issue:
6
ISSN:
0894-8755
Page Range / eLocation ID:
p. 1885-1899
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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