Low-fidelity engineering wake models are often combined with linear superposition laws to predict wake velocities across wind farms under steady atmospheric conditions. While convenient for wind farm planning and long-term performance evaluation, such models are unable to capture the time-varying nature of the waked velocity field, as they are agnostic to the complex aerodynamic interactions among wind turbines and the effects of atmospheric boundary layer turbulence. To account for such effects while remaining amenable to conventional system-theoretic tools for flow estimation and control, we propose a new class of data-enhanced physics-based models for the dynamics of wind farm flow fluctuations. Our approach relies on the predictive capability of the stochastically forced linearized Navier–Stokes equations around static base flow profiles provided by conventional engineering wake models. We identify the stochastic forcing into the linearized dynamics via convex optimization to ensure statistical consistency with higher-fidelity models or experimental measurements while preserving model parsimony. We demonstrate the utility of our approach in completing the statistical signature of wake turbulence in accordance with large-eddy simulations of turbulent flow over a cascade of yawed wind turbines. Our numerical experiments provide insight into the significance of spatially distributed field measurements in recovering the statistical signature of wind farm turbulence and training stochastic linear models for short-term wind forecasting.
Stochastic Dynamical Modeling of Turbulent Flows
Advanced measurement techniques and high-performance computing have made large data sets available for a range of turbulent flows in engineering applications. Drawing on this abundance of data, dynamical models that reproduce structural and statistical features of turbulent flows enable effective model-based flow control strategies. This review describes a framework for completing second-order statistics of turbulent flows using models based on the Navier–Stokes equations linearized around the turbulent mean velocity. Dynamical couplings between states of the linearized model dictate structural constraints on the statistics of flow fluctuations. Colored-in-time stochastic forcing that drives the linearized model is then sought to account for and reconcile dynamics with available data (that is, partially known statistics). The number of dynamical degrees of freedom that are directly affected by stochastic excitation is minimized as a measure of model parsimony. The spectral content of the resulting colored-in-time stochastic contribution can alternatively arise from a low-rank structural perturbation of the linearized dynamical generator, pointing to suitable dynamical corrections that may account for the absence of the nonlinear interactions in the linearized model.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1809833
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10378267
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Annual Review of Control, Robotics, and Autonomous Systems
- Volume:
- 3
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2573-5144
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 195 to 219
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-control-053018-023843
