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1. Individual‐level biotic interactions and species distribution models

   https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.14972  

   Gaya, Heather_E ; Chandler, Richard_B ( June 2024 , Journal of Biogeography)

   Accounting for biotic interactions in species distribution models is complicated by the fact that interactions occur at the individual‐level at unknown spatial scales. Standard approaches that ignore individual‐level interactions and focus on aggregate scales are subject to the modifiable aerial unit problem (MAUP) in which incorrect inferences may arise about the sign and magnitude of interspecific effects.

   Global (simulation) and North Carolina, United States (case study).

   None (simulation) and Aves (case study).

   We present a hierarchical species distribution model that includes a Markov point process in which the locations of individuals of one species are modelled as a function of both abiotic variables and the locations of individuals of another species. We applied the model to spatial capture‐recapture (SCR) data on two ecologically similar songbird species—hooded warbler (Setophaga citrina) and black‐throated blue warbler (Setophaga caerulescens)—that segregate over a climate gradient in the southern Appalachian Mountains, USA.

   A simulation study indicated that the model can identify the effects of environmental variation and biotic interactions on co‐occurring species distributions. In the case study, there were strong and opposing effects of climate on spatial variation in population densities, but spatial competition did not influence the two species' distributions.

   Unlike existing species distribution models, the framework proposed here overcomes the MAUP and can be used to investigate how population‐level patterns emerge from individual‐level processes, while also allowing for inference on the spatial scale of biotic interactions. Our finding of minimal spatial competition between black‐throated blue warbler and hooded warbler adds to the growing body of literature suggesting that abiotic factors may be more important than competition at low‐latitude range margins. The model can be extended to accommodate count data and binary data in addition to SCR data.

    

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2. Disentangling the drivers of continental mammalian endemism

   https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16628  

   Shipley, Benjamin R. ; McGuire, Jenny L. ( February 2023 , Global Change Biology)

   Endemic species and species with small ranges are ecologically and evolutionarily distinct and are vulnerable to extinction. Determining which abiotic and biotic factors structure patterns of endemism on continents can advance our understanding of global biogeographic processes, but spatial patterns of mammalian endemism have not yet been effectively predicted and reconstructed. Using novel null model techniques, we reconstruct trends in mammalian endemism and describe the isolated and combined effects of physiographic, ecological, and evolutionary factors on endemism. We calculated weighted endemism for global continental ecoregions and compared the spatial distribution of endemism to niche‐based, geographic null models of endemism. These null models distribute species randomly across continents, simulating their range sizes from their degree of climatic specialization. They isolate the effects of physiography (topography and climate) and species richness on endemism. We then ran linear and structural models to determine how topography and historical climate stability influence endemism. The highest rates of mammalian endemism were found in topographically rough, climatically stable ecoregions with many species. The null model that isolated physiography did not closely approximate the observed distribution of endemism (r² = .09), whereas the null model that incorporated both physiography and species richness did (r² = .59). The linear models demonstrate that topography and climatic stability both influenced endemism values, but that average climatic niche breadth was not highly correlated with endemism. Climate stability and topography both influence weighted endemism in mammals, but the spatial distribution of mammalian endemism is driven by a combination of physiography and species richness. Despite its relationship to individual range size, average climate niche breadth has only a weak influence on endemism. The results highlight the importance of historical biogeographic processes (e.g. centers of speciation) and geography in driving endemism patterns, and disentangle the mechanisms structuring species ranges worldwide.

    

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3. Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20836-3  

   Clark, James S. ; Andrus, Robert ; Aubry-Kientz, Melaine ; Bergeron, Yves ; Bogdziewicz, Michal ; Bragg, Don C. ; Brockway, Dale ; Cleavitt, Natalie L. ; Cohen, Susan ; Courbaud, Benoit ; et al ( February 2021 , Nature Communications)

   Indirect climate effects on tree fecundity that come through variation in size and growth (climate-condition interactions) are not currently part of models used to predict future forests. Trends in species abundances predicted from meta-analyses and species distribution models will be misleading if they depend on the conditions of individuals. Here we find from a synthesis of tree species in North America that climate-condition interactions dominate responses through two pathways, i) effects of growth that depend on climate, and ii) effects of climate that depend on tree size. Because tree fecundity first increases and then declines with size, climate change that stimulates growth promotes a shift of small trees to more fecund sizes, but the opposite can be true for large sizes. Change the depresses growth also affects fecundity. We find a biogeographic divide, with these interactions reducing fecundity in the West and increasing it in the East. Continental-scale responses of these forests are thus driven largely by indirect effects, recommending management for climate change that considers multiple demographic rates.

    

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4. Human trampling disturbance exerts different ecological effects at contrasting elevational range limits

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13384  

   Chardon, Nathalie Isabelle ; Rixen, Christian ; Wipf, Sonja ; Doak, Daniel Forest ; Pauchard, ed., Anibal ( April 2019 , Journal of Applied Ecology)

   Shifts in species geographic distributions in response to climate change have spurred numerous studies to determine which abiotic (e.g. climatic) and, less commonly, biotic (e.g. competitive) processes determine range limits. However, the impact of disturbances on range limits and their interactions with climatic and biotic effects is not well understood, despite their potential to alter competitive relationships between species or override climatic effects. Disturbance might have differential effects at contrasting range limits, based on Darwin's theory that biotic interactions set abiotically benign range limits and abiotic factors set abiotically stressful range limits.

   We predicted that plants at lower elevation (abiotically benign) range limits experience a net positive effect of disturbance, whereas those at higher elevation (abiotically stressful) range limits experience a net neutral effect. We examined plant populations along elevational gradients in the Colorado Rocky Mountains, in order to quantify the effects of human trampling disturbance at lower and upper elevational range limits of the common alpine cushion plantsSilene acaulisandMinuartia obtusiloba.

   Our results are consistent with Darwin's theory. A disturbance‐mediated reduction of competitive effects increases the performance of cushion plants at lower elevations, suggesting a range limit set by biotic factors. At higher elevations, where biotic interactions are minimal, disturbance has neutral or negative effects on cushion plants.

   Synthesis and applications. Human trampling disturbance exerts differential effects on alpine cushion plant populations at contrasting range limits, emphasizing the need to account for the effects of climate change into the management and conservation of disturbed areas. Disturbance can diminish plant–plant competitive interactions at lower elevational range limits, and thus possibly stabilize alpine species populations susceptible to climate change‐mediated encroachment by lower elevation species. Conservation and management approaches should therefore particularly account for the differential effects of disturbance across climatic gradients.

    

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5. Biotic interactions help explain variation in elevational range limits of birds among Bornean mountains

   https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.13784  

   Burner, Ryan C. ; Boyce, Andy J. ; Bernasconi, David ; Styring, Alison R. ; Shakya, Subir B. ; Boer, Chandradewana ; Rahman, Mustafa Abdul ; Martin, Thomas E. ; Sheldon, Frederick H. ( January 2020 , Journal of Biogeography)

   Physiological tolerances and biotic interactions along habitat gradients are thought to influence species occurrence. Distributional differences caused by such forces are particularly noticeable on tropical mountains, where high species turnover along elevational gradients occurs over relatively short distances and elevational distributions of particular species can shift among mountains. Such shifts are interpreted as evidence of the importance of spatial variation in interspecific competition and habitat or climatic gradients. To assess the relative importance of competition and compression of habitat and climatic zones in setting range limits, we examined differences in elevational ranges of forest bird species among four Bornean mountains with distinct features.

   Bornean mountains Kinabalu, Mulu, Pueh and Topap Oso.

   Rain forest bird communities along elevational gradients.

   We surveyed the elevational ranges of rain forest birds on four mountains in Borneo to test which environmental variables—habitat zone compression or presence of likely competitors—best predicted differences in elevational ranges of species among mountains. For this purpose, we used two complementary tests: a comparison of elevational range limits between pairs of mountains, and linear mixed models with naïve occupancy as the response variable.

   We found that lowland species occur higher in elevation on two small mountains compared to Mt. Mulu. This result is inconsistent with the expectation that distributions of habitats are elevationally compressed on small mountains, but is consistent with the hypothesis that a reduction in competition (likely diffuse) on short mountains, which largely lack montane specialist species, allows lowland species to occur higher in elevation. The relative influence of competition changes with elevation, and the correlation between lower range limits of montane species and the distribution of their competitors was weaker than in lowland species.

   These findings provide support for the importance of biotic interactions in setting elevational range limits of tropical bird species, although abiotic gradients explain the majority of distribution patterns. Thus, models predicting range shifts under climate change scenarios must include not only climatic variables, as is currently most common, but also information on potentially resulting changes in species interactions, especially for lowland species.

    

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