Several tentative associations between high-energy neutrinos and astrophysical sources have been recently reported, but a conclusive identification of these potential neutrino emitters remains challenging. We explore the use of Monte Carlo simulations of source populations to gain deeper insight into the physical implications of proposed individual source–neutrino associations. In particular, we focus on the IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 observation. Assuming a null model, we find a 7.6% chance of mistakenly identifying coincidences between γ -ray flares from blazars and neutrino alerts in 10-year surveys. We confirm that a blazar–neutrino connection based on the γ -ray flux is required to find a low chance coincidence probability and, therefore, a significant IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 association. We then assume this blazar–neutrino connection for the whole population and find that the ratio of neutrino to γ -ray fluxes must be ≲10 −2 in order not to overproduce the total number of neutrino alerts seen by IceCube. For the IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 association to make sense, we must either accept this low flux ratio or suppose that only some rare sub-population of blazars is capable of high-energy neutrino production. For example, if we consider neutrino production only in blazar flares, we expect the flux ratio of between 10 −3 and 10 −1 to be consistent with a single coincident observation of a neutrino alert and flaring γ -ray blazar. These constraints should be interpreted in the context of the likelihood models used to find the IC170922A–TXS 0506+056 association, which assumes a fixed power-law neutrino spectrum of E −2.13 for all blazars.
more »
« less
Selected results from IceCube
Abstract Neutrino astronomy saw its birth with the discovery by IceCube of a difFuse flux at energies above 60 TeV with intensity comparable to a predicted upper limit to the flux from extra-galactic sources of ultra-high energy cosmic rays (UHECRs). While such an upper limit corresponds to the case of calorimetric sources, in which cosmic rays lose all their energy into photo-pion production, the first statistically significant coincident observation between neutrinos and gamma-rays was observed from a blazar of intriguing nature. A very-high-energy muon event, of most probable neutrino energy of 290 TeV for an E −2.13 spectrum, alerted other observatories triggering a large amount of investigations in many bands of the electromagnetic (EM) spectrum. A high gamma-ray state from the blazar was revealed soon after the event and in a follow up to about 40 days. A posteriori observations also in the optical and in the radio indicated a rise of the flux from the TXS 0506+056 blazar. A previous excess of events of duration of more than 100 d was observed by IceCube with higher significance than the alert itself. These observations triggered more complex modelling than simple one zone proton synchrotron models for proton acceleration in jets of active galactic nuclei (AGNs) and more observations across the EM spectrum. A second evidence was a steady excess of about 50 neutrino events with reconstructed soft spectrum in a sample of lower energy well reconstructed muon events than the alert event. A hot spot was identified in a catalogue of 110 gamma-ray intense emitters and starburst galaxies in a direction compatible to NGC 1068 with significance of 2.9 σ . NGC 1068 hosts a mildly relativistic jet in a starburst galaxy, seen not from the jet direction but rather through the torus. This Seyfert II galaxy is at only 14.4 Mpc from the Earth. The source turned out to be also the hottest spot of an all-sky search. Analysed cumulatively, the catalogue excess was 3.3 σ with the contribution of NGC 1068 and TXS 0506+056, as expected, and other 2 sources, PKS 1424+240, and GB6 J1542+6129, with similar features to TXS 0506+056, indicating that they might all be Flat Spectrum Radio Quasars (FSRQs). While all these observations and the directions of the measured events contributing to diffuse fluxes hint to their extra-galactic origin, a few percent level contribution might be the end of a lower energy ‘granted’ flux of neutrinos from interactions of cosmic rays in the Galactic Plane. This relevant observation is at the reach of IceCube and other neutrino telescopes. These aspects were discussed at the conference and are summarised in this write up.
more »
« less
- PAR ID:
- 10425952
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Physics: Conference Series
- Volume:
- 2429
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 1742-6588
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 012026
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Abstract Gamma-ray flares of blazars may be accompanied by high-energy neutrinos due to interactions of high-energy cosmic rays in the jet with photons, as suggested by the detection of the high-energy neutrino IceCube-170922A during a major gamma-ray flare from blazar TXS 0506+056 at the ∼3σsignificance level. In this work, we present a statistical study of gamma-ray emission from blazars to constrain the contribution of gamma-ray flares to their neutrino output. We construct weekly binned light curves for 145 gamma-ray bright blazars in the Fermi Large Area Telescope Monitored Source List adding TXS 0506+056. We derive the fraction of time spent in the flaring state (flare duty cycle) and the fraction of energy released during each flare from the light curves with a Bayesian blocks algorithm. We find that blazars with lower flare duty cycles and energy fractions are more numerous among our sample. We identify a significant difference in flare duty cycles between blazar subclasses at a significance level of 5%. Then using a general scaling relation for the neutrino and gamma-ray luminosities, with a weighting exponent ofγ= 1.0–2.0, normalized to the quiescent gamma-ray or X-ray flux of each blazar, we evaluate the neutrino energy flux of each gamma-ray flare. The gamma-ray flare distribution indicates that blazar neutrino emission may be dominated by flares forγ≳ 1.5. The neutrino energy fluxes for 1 week and 10 yr bins are compared with the decl.-dependent IceCube sensitivity to constrain the standard neutrino emission models for gamma-ray flares. Finally, we present the upper-limit contribution of blazar gamma-ray flares to the isotropic diffuse neutrino flux.more » « less
-
The detection of an astrophysical flux of neutrinos in the TeV–PeV energy range by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory has opened new possibilities for the study of extreme cosmic accelerators. The apparent isotropy of the neutrino arrival directions favors an extragalactic origin for this flux, potentially created by a large population of distant sources. Recent evidence for the detection of neutrino emission from extragalactic sources includes the active galaxies TXS 0506+056 and NGC 1068. We here review the current status of the search for the sources of the high-energy neutrino flux, concentrating on its extragalactic contribution. We discuss the implications of these observations for multimessenger studies of cosmic sources and present an outlook for how additional observations by current and future instruments will help address fundamental questions in the emerging field of high-energy neutrino astronomy.more » « less
-
Abstract IceCube alert events are neutrinos with a moderate-to-high probability of having astrophysical origin. In this study, we analyze 11 yr of IceCube data and investigate 122 alert events and a selection of high-energy tracks detected between 2009 and the end of 2021. This high-energy event selection (alert events + high-energy tracks) has an average probability of ≥0.5 of being of astrophysical origin. We search for additional continuous and transient neutrino emission within the high-energy events’ error regions. We find no evidence for significant continuous neutrino emission from any of the alert event directions. The only locally significant neutrino emission is the transient emission associated with the blazar TXS 0506+056, with a local significance of 3σ, which confirms previous IceCube studies. When correcting for 122 test positions, the globalp-value is 0.156 and compatible with the background hypothesis. We constrain the total continuous flux emitted from all 122 test positions at 100 TeV to be below 1.2 × 10−15(TeV cm2s)−1at 90% confidence assuming anE−2spectrum. This corresponds to 4.5% of IceCube’s astrophysical diffuse flux. Overall, we find no indication that alert events in general are linked to lower-energetic continuous or transient neutrino emission.more » « less
-
Multimessenger observations of a flaring blazar coincident with high-energy neutrino IceCube-170922ANeutrinos interact only very weakly with matter, but giant detectors have succeeded in detecting small numbers of astrophysical neutrinos. Aside from a diffuse background, only two individual sources have been identified: the Sun and a nearby supernova in 1987. A multiteam collaboration detected a high-energy neutrino event whose arrival direction was consistent with a known blazar—a type of quasar with a relativistic jet oriented directly along our line of sight. The blazar, TXS 0506+056, was found to be undergoing a gamma-ray flare, prompting an extensive multiwavelength campaign. Motivated by this discovery, the IceCube collaboration examined lower-energy neutrinos detected over the previous several years, finding an excess emission at the location of the blazar. Thus, blazars are a source of astrophysical neutrinos.more » « less
An official website of the United States government

