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1. Long-term seedling and small sapling census data from the Barro Colorado Island 50 ha Forest Dynamics Plot, Panama

   https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.05qfttf85  

   Comita, Liza; Aguilar, Salomón; Hubbell, Stephen; Pérez, Rolando (January 2023, Dryad)

   Tropical forests are well known for their high woody plant diversity. Processes occurring at early life stages are thought to play a critical role in maintaining this high diversity and shaping the composition of tropical tree communities. To evaluate hypothesized mechanisms promoting tropical tree species coexistence and influencing composition, we initiated a census of woody seedlings and small saplings in the permanent 50-ha Forest Dynamics Plot (FDP) on Barro Colorado Island (BCI), Panama. Situated in old-growth, lowland tropical moist forest, the BCI FDP was originally established in 1980 to monitor trees and shrubs ≥1 cm diameter at 1.3 m above ground (dbh) at ca. 5-yr intervals. However, critical data on the dynamics occurring at earlier life stages were initially lacking. Therefore, in 2001 we established a 1-m2 seedling plot in the center of every 5 x 5 m section of the BCI FDP. All freestanding woody individuals ≥20 cm tall and <1 cm dbh (hereafter referred to as seedlings) were tagged, mapped, measured, and identified to species in 19,313 1-m2 seedling plots. Because seedling dynamics are rapid, we censused these seedling plots every 1–2 years. Here we present data from the 14 censuses of these seedling plots conducted between the initial census in 2001 to the most recent census, in 2018. This data set includes nearly 1M observations of ~185,000 individuals of >400 tree, shrub, and liana species. These data will permit spatially-explicit analyses of seedling distributions, recruitment, growth, and survival for hundreds of woody plant species. In addition, the data presented here can be linked to openly-available, long-term data on the dynamics of trees and shrubs ≥1cm dbh in the BCI FDP, as well as existing data sets from the site on climate, canopy structure, phylogenetic relatedness, functional traits, soil nutrients, and topography. 

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2. Liana versus tree seedling responses to spatial and temporal variation in dry season severity

   https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.70058  

   Estrada‐Villegas, Sergio; Browne, Luke; Manzané‐Pinzón, Eric; Comita, Liza S (November 2024, Ecosphere)

   Abstract Lianas are key components of tropical forests, particularly at sites with more severe dry seasons. In contrast, trees are more abundant and speciose in wetter areas. The seasonal growth advantage (SGA) hypothesis postulates that such contrasting distributions are produced by higher liana growth relative to trees during seasonal droughts. The SGA has been investigated for larger size classes (e.g., ≥5 cm diameter at 1.3 m, dbh), but rarely for seedlings. Using eight annual censuses of >12,000 seedlings of 483 tree and liana species conducted at eight 1‐ha plots spanning a strong rainfall gradient in central Panama, we evaluated whether liana seedlings had higher growth and/or survival rates than tree seedlings at sites with stronger droughts. We also tested whether an extreme El Niño drought during the study period had a more negative effect on tree compared to liana seedlings. The absolute density of liana seedlings was similar across the rainfall gradient, ranging from 0.32 individuals/m²(0.20–0.49, 95% credible interval [CI]) at the driest end of the gradient and 0.27 individuals/m²(0.13–0.51 95% CI) at the wettest end of the gradient. The relative density of liana seedlings compared to tree seedlings was higher at sites with stronger dry seasons (0.27, 0.21–0.33, 95% CI), compared to wetter sites (0.12, 0.04–0.20 95% CI), due to lower tree seedling densities at drier sites. However, liana seedlings did not grow or survive better than tree seedlings in drier sites compared to wetter sites. Tree seedlings were more negatively impacted in terms of mortality by the extreme El Niño drought than liana seedlings, with an increase in annual mortality rate of 0.013 (0.003–0.025 95% CI) compared to lianas of −0.009 (−0.028 to 0.008 95% CI), but not growth. Our results indicate that lianas do not have a SGA over trees at the seedling stage. Instead, higher survival of liana versus tree seedlings during severe droughts or differences in liana versus tree fecundity or germination across the rainfall gradient likely explain why liana seedlings have higher relative densities at drier sites. 

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3. Seed‐to‐seedling transitions exhibit distance‐dependent mortality but no strong spacing effects in a Neotropical forest

   https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2926  

   Marchand, Philippe; Comita, Liza S.; Wright, S. Joseph; Condit, Richard; Hubbell, Stephen P.; Beckman, Noelle G. (December 2019, Ecology)

   Abstract Patterns of seed dispersal and seed mortality influence the spatial structure of plant communities and the local coexistence of competing species. Most seeds are dispersed in proximity to the parent tree, where mortality is also expected to be the highest, because of competition with siblings or the attraction of natural enemies. Whereas distance‐dependent mortality in the seed‐to‐seedling transition was often observed in tropical forests, few studies have attempted to estimate the shape of the survival‐distance curves, which determines whether the peak of seedling establishment occurs away from the parent tree (Janzen–Connell pattern) or if the peak attenuates but remains at the parent location (Hubbell pattern). In this study, we inferred the probability density of seed dispersal and two stages of seedling establishment (new recruits, and seedlings 20 cm or taller) with distance for 24 tree species present in the 50‐ha Forest Dynamics Plot of Barro Colorado Island, Panama. Using data from seed traps, seedling survey quadrats, and tree‐census records spanning the 1988–2014 period, we fit hierarchical Bayesian models including parameters for tree fecundity, the shape of the dispersal kernel, and overdispersion of seed or seedling counts. We combined predictions from multiple dispersal kernels to obtain more robust inferences. We find that Hubbell patterns are the most common and Janzen–Connell patterns are very rare among those species; that distance‐dependent mortality may be stronger in the seed stage, in the early recruit stage, or comparable in both; and that species with larger seeds experience less overall mortality and less distance‐dependent mortality. Finally, we describe how this modeling approach could be extended at a community scale to include less abundant species. 

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4. Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest: Oak seedling demography, 2011 - ongoing

   https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/a858d61204d0510bff114ed2e0d2e41b  

   Cleavitt, Natalie (January 2023, Environmental Data Initiative)

   Marked seedlings. Our dataset includes 1463 marked individual oak seedlings in 535 5m2 plots over the 20 transects. Overall, oak seedlings occurred in a third of the searched plots. Most plots had only one seedling (236 plots) and only 3% (16 plots) of the plots had 10 or more seedlings, with a maximum density of 3.4 seedlings m2. Cohort years 2011, 2015, 2017 and 2022 had a greater influx of seedlings, and our oldest seedling is estimated to be 30 years or older. For seedlings where initial height was measured in their year of germination (i.e., in 2011 or later) mean initial seedling height was 14.8 cm (SD = 6.51 cm) and there was a small but significant decline in initial seedling height with time (-0.23 cm/year, F1,1298 = 19.97, p=<0.0001). The size of first year seedlings as measured by both initial height (F1,760 = 25.2, p<0.001) and leaf number (F1,752 = 11.1, p=0.009) increased on average with distance into the valley. The mean distance of oak seedlings into the valley has not increased over the course of the study and remains centered around 800m from the east entrance. Plot environment. Study transects encompassed a full range of topographic positions in the lower valley. Hemlock dominance ranged from absent (5 transects) to dominant (greater than 50% of trees; 3 transects). Tree basal area around the plots ranged from 18.8 – 43.5 m2 ha-1. Light transmission was universally low (all ≤13% TT). Light transmission (F1,5916 = 139.3; r2: 0.157, p<0.0001), hemlock dominance (F1,5916 = 2024; r2: 0.255, p<0.0001), and oak seedling density (F1,5916 = 73.9; r2: 0.126, p<0.0001) all decreased with distance further west into the valley. These data were gathered as part of the Hubbard Brook Ecosystem Study (HBES). The HBES is a collaborative effort at the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest, which is operated and maintained by the USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 

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5. Demography of the understory herb H eliconia acuminata ( H eliconiaceae) in an experimentally fragmented tropical landscape

   https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.4174  

   Bruna, Emilio M.; Uriarte, María; Darrigo, Maria Rosa; Rubim, Paulo; Jurinitz, Cristiane F.; Scott, Eric R.; Ferreira da Silva, Osmaildo; Kress, W. John (November 2023, Ecology)

   Abstract Habitat fragmentation remains a major focus of research by ecologists decades after being put forward as a threat to the integrity of ecosystems. While studies have documented myriad biotic changes in fragmented landscapes, including the local extinction of species from fragments, the demographic mechanisms underlying these extinctions are rarely known. However, many of them—especially in lowland tropical forests—are thought to be driven by one of two mechanisms: (1) reduced recruitment in fragments resulting from changes in the diversity or abundance of pollinators and seed dispersers or (2) increased rates of individual mortality in fragments due to dramatically altered abiotic conditions, especially near fragment edges. Unfortunately, there have been few tests of these potential mechanisms due to the paucity of long‐term and comprehensive demographic data collected in both forest fragments and continuous forest sites. Here we report 11 years (1998–2009) of demographic data from populations of the Amazonian understory herbHeliconia acuminata(LC Rich.) found at Brazil's Biological Dynamics of Forest Fragments Project (BDFFP). The data set comprises >66,000 plant × year records of 8586 plants, including 3464 seedlings established after the first census. Seven populations were in experimentally isolated fragments (one in each of four 1‐ha fragments and one in each of three 10‐ha fragments), with the remaining six populations in continuous forest. Each population was in a 50 × 100 m permanent plot, with the distance between plots ranging from 500 m to 60 km. The plants in each plot were censused annually, at which time we recorded, identified, marked, and measured new seedlings, identified any previously marked plants that died, and recorded the size of surviving individuals. Each plot was also surveyed four to five times during the flowering season to identify reproductive plants and record the number of inflorescences each produced. These data have been used to investigate topics ranging from the way fragmentation‐related reductions in germination influence population dynamics to statistical methods for analyzing reproductive rates. This breadth of prior use reflects the value of these data to future researchers. In addition to analyses of plant responses to habitat fragmentation, these data can be used to address fundamental questions in plant demography and the evolutionary ecology of tropical plants and to develop and test demographic models and tools. Though we welcome opportunities to collaborate with interested users, there are no restrictions on the use of this data set. However, we do request that those using the data for teaching or research purposes inform us of how they are doing so and cite this paper and the data archive when appropriate. Any publication using the data must also include a BDFFP Technical Series Number in the Acknowledgments. Authors can request this series number upon the acceptance of their article by contacting the BDFFP's Scientific Coordinator or E. M. Bruna. 

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