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Saltwater intrusion (SWI) into coastal freshwater systems is a growing concern in the face of climate change‐driven sea level rise and hydrologic variability. Saltwater contamination of surface freshwater in the coastal California Pajaro Valley exemplifies this concern, where surface water cannot be diverted for agriculture if it is too saline. Closures at the mouth of the Pajaro River Lagoon, a bar‐built estuary in the Pajaro Valley, are associated with SWI. Closures and SWI are driven by a combination of offshore climate, coastal hydrodynamics, estuarine dynamics, inland hydrology, and infrastructure and management. Here, we describe the Pajaro Valley coastal water system and identify the oceanic and inland hydrologic drivers of SWI using available observational data between 2012 and 2020. We use time series and exploratory statistical analyses of coastal total water levels (TWLs), slough stage and salinity, river discharge, and contextual knowledge from local water managers. We observe that wet season lagoon closure and SWI events follow high oceanic TWLs coupled with low stage and discharge in the inland freshwater network, revealing how both wave and inland flow conditions govern lagoon closures and coincident SWI. This study yields novel empirical findings and a methodology for connecting coastal oceanography, estuarine coupled hydro‐ and morpho‐dynamics, inland hydrology, and water management practices relevant to climate change adaptation in human‐modified coastal water systems.
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Complementary Vantage Points: Integrating Hydrology and Economics for Sociohydrologic Knowledge Generation
Abstract Because human and environmental systems in the Anthropocene are increasingly coupled, hydrologists and economists often find themselves studying the same systems from different vantage points. Here we argue that synthesis across economics and hydrology can help address two pressing sociohydrologic challenges: actionable prediction and the generation of transferable knowledge from place‐based studies. Specifically, we review (1) empirical methods and (2) theoretical approaches from economics and connect the two through a proposed iterative framework. First, we find that empirical methods for statistical analysis of natural and quasi‐experiments in economics can be leveraged to distinguish causal relations from mere correlations in complex and data scarce systems, which can help address the challenge of sociohydrologic prediction. Second, we find that economic theories based on rational choice can be used to decipher known paradoxes in water resources, which can help address the challenge of sociohydrologic knowledge generation. In both empirical and theoretical domains, specialized knowledge in hydrology remains critical to properly applying techniques from economics to coupled human‐water systems. We propose that linkages between the two fields highlight a large potential for interaction.
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- PAR ID:
- 10453371
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Water Resources Research
- Volume:
- 55
- Issue:
- 4
- ISSN:
- 0043-1397
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- p. 2549-2571
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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