Abstract Mapped monthly data products of surface ocean acidification indicators from 1998 to 2022 on a 0.25° by 0.25° spatial grid have been developed for eleven U.S. large marine ecosystems (LMEs). The data products were constructed using observations from the Surface Ocean CO2Atlas, co-located surface ocean properties, and two types of machine learning algorithms: Gaussian mixture models to organize LMEs into clusters of similar environmental variability and random forest regressions (RFRs) that were trained and applied within each cluster to spatiotemporally interpolate the observational data. The data products, called RFR-LMEs, have been averaged into regional timeseries to summarize the status of ocean acidification in U.S. coastal waters, showing a domain-wide carbon dioxide partial pressure increase of 1.4â±â0.4 ÎŒatm yrâ1and pH decrease of 0.0014â±â0.0004âyrâ1. RFR-LMEs have been evaluated via comparisons to discrete shipboard data, fixed timeseries, and other mapped surface ocean carbon chemistry data products. Regionally averaged timeseries of RFR-LME indicators are provided online through the NOAA National Marine Ecosystem Status web portal.
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A Relaxation Approach to Feature Selection for Linear Mixed Effects Models
Linear Mixed-Effects (LME) models are a fundamental tool for modeling correlated data, including cohort studies, longitudinal data analysis, and meta-analysis. Design and analysis of variable selection methods for LMEs is more difficult than for linear regression because LME models are nonlinear. In this article we propose a novel optimization strategy that enables a wide range of variable selection methods for LMEs using both convex and nonconvex regularizers, including đ1, Adaptive-đ1, SCAD, and đ0. The computational framework only requires the proximal operator for each regularizer to be readily computable, and the implementation is available in an open source python package pysr3, consistent with the sklearn standard. The numerical results on simulated data sets indicate that the proposed strategy improves on the state of the art for both accuracy and compute time. The variable selection techniques are also validated on a real example using a data set on bullying victimization. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1908890
- PAR ID:
- 10470298
- Editor(s):
- Jones, G.; Faming, L.
- Publisher / Repository:
- Taylor & Francis Online
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
- ISSN:
- 1061-8600
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1 to 42
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- feature selection, mixed effects models, nonconvex optimization
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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