The increasing number of Photovoltaic (PV) systems connected to the power grid are vulnerable to the projection of shadows from moving clouds. Global Solar Irradiance (GSI) forecasting allows smart grids to optimize the energy dispatch, preventing energy shortages caused by occlusion of the sun. This investigation compares the performances of machine learning algorithms (not requiring labelled images for training) for realtime segmentation of clouds in images acquired using a ground-based infrared sky imager. Real-time segmentation is utilized to extract cloud features using only the pixels in which clouds are detected.
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Forecasting Solar Power Generation Utilizing Machine Learning Models in Lubbock
Solar energy is a widely accessible, clean, and sustainable energy source. Solar power harvesting in order to generate electricity on smart grids is essential in light of the present global energy crisis. However, the highly variable nature of solar radiation poses unique challenges for accurately predicting solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation. Factors such as cloud cover, atmospheric conditions, and seasonal variations significantly impact the amount of solar energy available for conversion into electricity. Therefore, it is essential to precisely estimate the output of solar power in order to assess the potential of smart grids. This paper presents a study that utilizes various machine learning models to predict solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation in Lubbock, Texas. Mean Squared Error (MSE) and R² metrics are utilized to demonstrate the performance of each model. The results show that the Random Forest Regression (RFR) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models outperformed the other models, with a MSE of 2.06% and 2.23% and R² values of 0.977 and 0.975, respectively. In addition, RFR and LSTM demonstrate their capability to capture the intricate patterns and complex relationships inherent in solar power generation data. The developed machine learning models can aid solar PV investors in streamlining their processes and improving their planning for the production of solar energy. Doi: 10.28991/ESJ-2023-07-04-02 Full Text: PDF
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- Award ID(s):
- 2115427
- PAR ID:
- 10483885
- Publisher / Repository:
- Emerging Science Journal
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Emerging Science Journal
- Volume:
- 7
- Issue:
- 4
- ISSN:
- 2610-9182
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1052 to 1062
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- Solar Power, Machine Learning
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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