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1. Divergent bleaching and recovery trajectories in reef-building corals following a decade of successive marine heatwaves

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2312104120  

   Brown, Kristen T.; Lenz, Elizabeth A.; Glass, Benjamin H.; Kruse, Elisa; McClintock, Rayna; Drury, Crawford; Nelson, Craig E.; Putnam, Hollie M.; Barott, Katie L. (December 2023, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   Increasingly frequent marine heatwaves are devastating coral reefs. Corals that survive these extreme events must rapidly recover if they are to withstand subsequent events, and long-term survival in the face of rising ocean temperatures may hinge on recovery capacity and acclimatory gains in heat tolerance over an individual’s lifespan. To better understand coral recovery trajectories in the face of successive marine heatwaves, we monitored the responses of bleaching-susceptible and bleaching-resistant individuals of two dominant coral species in Hawai’i,Montipora capitataandPorites compressa, over a decade that included three marine heatwaves. Bleaching-susceptible colonies ofP. compressaexhibited beneficial acclimatization to heat stress (i.e., less bleaching) following repeat heatwaves, becoming indistinguishable from bleaching-resistant conspecifics during the third heatwave. In contrast, bleaching-susceptibleM. capitatarepeatedly bleached during all successive heatwaves and exhibited seasonal bleaching and substantial mortality for up to 3 y following the third heatwave. Encouragingly, bleaching-resistant individuals of both species remained pigmented across the entire time series; however, pigmentation did not necessarily indicate physiological resilience. Specifically,M. capitatadisplayed incremental yet only partial recovery of symbiont density and tissue biomass across both bleaching phenotypes up to 35 mo following the third heatwave as well as considerable partial mortality. Conversely,P. compressaappeared to recover across most physiological metrics within 2 y and experienced little to no mortality. Ultimately, these results indicate that even some visually robust, bleaching-resistant corals can carry the cost of recurring heatwaves over multiple years, leading to divergent recovery trajectories that may erode coral reef resilience in the Anthropocene. 

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2. Coral bleaching resistance variation is linked to differential mortality and skeletal growth during recovery

   https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.13500  

   Walker, Nia S.; Nestor, Victor; Golbuu, Yimnang; Palumbi, Stephen R. (February 2023, Evolutionary Applications)

   Abstract The prevalence of global coral bleaching has focused much attention on the possibility of interventions to increase heat resistance. However, if high heat resistance is linked to fitness tradeoffs that may disadvantage corals in other areas, then a more holistic view of heat resilience may be beneficial. In particular, overall resilience of a species to heat stress is likely to be the product of both resistance to heat and recovery from heat stress. Here, we investigate heat resistance and recovery among individualAcropora hyacinthuscolonies in Palau. We divided corals into low, moderate, and high heat resistance categories based on the number of days (4–9) needed to reach significant pigmentation loss due to experimental heat stress. Afterward, we deployed corals back onto a reef in a common garden 6‐month recovery experiment that monitored chlorophylla, mortality, and skeletal growth. Heat resistance was negatively correlated with mortality during early recovery (0–1 month) but not late recovery (4–6 months), and chlorophyllaconcentration recovered in heat‐stressed corals by 1‐month postbleaching. However, moderate‐resistance corals had significantly greater skeletal growth than high‐resistance corals by 4 months of recovery. High‐ and low‐resistance corals on average did not exhibit skeletal growth within the observed recovery period. These data suggest complex tradeoffs may exist between coral heat resistance and recovery and highlight the importance of incorporating multiple aspects of resilience into future reef management programs. 

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3. The recovery of octocoral populations following periodic disturbance masks their vulnerability to persistent global change

   https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-024-02465-0  

   Cant, James; Bramanti, Lorenzo; Tsounis, Georgios; Martínez Quintana, Ángela; Lasker, Howard R.; Edmunds, Peter J. (February 2024, Coral Reefs)

   Abstract As the major form of coral reef regime shift, stony coral to macroalgal transitions have received considerable attention. In the Caribbean, however, regime shifts in which scleractinian corals are replaced by octocoral assemblages hold potential for maintaining reef associated communities. Accordingly, forecasting the resilience of octocoral assemblages to future disturbance regimes is necessary to understand these assemblages' capacity to maintain reef biodiversity. We parameterised integral projection models quantifying the survival, growth, and recruitment of the octocorals,Antillogorgia americana,Gorgonia ventalina, andEunicea flexuosa,in St John, US Virgin Islands, before, during, and after severe hurricane disturbance. Using these models, we forecast the density of populations of each species under varying future hurricane regimes. We demonstrate that although hurricanes reduce population growth,A. americana,G. ventalina, andE. flexuosaeach display a capacity for quick recovery following storm disturbance. Despite this recovery potential, we illustrate how the population dynamics of each species correspond with a longer-term decline in their population densities. Despite their resilience to periodic physical disturbance events, ongoing global change jeopardises the future viability of octocoral assemblages. 

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4. Protein signatures predict coral resilience and survival to thermal bleaching events

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02167-7  

   Nunn, Brook L; Brown, Tanya; Timmins-Schiffman, Emma; Mudge, Miranda C; Riffle, Michael; Axworthy, Jeremy B; Dilworth, Jenna; Kenkel, Carly D; Zaneveld, Jesse; Rodrigues, Lisa J; et al (December 2025, Communications Earth & Environment)

   Abstract Coral bleaching events from thermal stress are increasing globally in duration, frequency, and intensity. While bleaching can cause mortality, some corals survive, reacquire symbionts, and recover. We experimentally bleachedMontipora capitatato examine molecular and physiological differences between corals that recover (resilient) and those that die (susceptible). Corals were collected and monitored for eight months post-bleaching to identify genets with long-term resilience. Using an integrated systems-biology approach that included quantitative proteomics, 16S rRNA sequencing to characterize the coral microbiome, total coral lipids, symbiont community composition and density, we explored molecular-level mechanisms of tolerance in corals pre- and post-bleaching. Prior to thermal stress, resilient corals have a more diverse microbiome and abundant proteins essential for carbon acquisition, symbiont retention, and pathogen resistance. Protein signatures of susceptible corals showed early symbiont rejection and utilized urea for carbon and nitrogen. Our results reveal molecular factors for surviving bleaching events and identify diagnostic protein biomarkers for reef management and restoration. 

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5. Persistence of phenotypic responses to short-term heat stress in the tabletop coral Acropora hyacinthus

   https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0269206  

   Walker, Nia S.; Cornwell, Brendan H.; Nestor, Victor; Armstrong, Katrina C.; Golbuu, Yimnang; Palumbi, Stephen R. (September 2022, PLOS ONE)

   Voolstra, Christian R. (Ed.)

   Widespread mapping of coral thermal resilience is essential for developing effective management strategies and requires replicable and rapid multi-location assays of heat resistance and recovery. One- or two-day short-term heat stress experiments have been previously employed to assess heat resistance, followed by single assays of bleaching condition. We tested the reliability of short-term heat stress resistance, and linked resistance and recovery assays, by monitoring the phenotypic response of fragments from 101Acropora hyacinthuscolonies located in Palau (Micronesia) to short-term heat stress. Following short-term heat stress, bleaching and mortality were recorded after 16 hours, daily for seven days, and after one and two months of recovery. To follow corals over time, we utilized a qualitative, non-destructive visual bleaching score metric that correlated with standard symbiont retention assays. The bleaching state of coral fragments 16 hours post-heat stress was highly indicative of their state over the next 7 days, suggesting that symbiont population sizes within corals may quickly stabilize post-heat stress. Bleaching 16 hours post-heat stress predicted likelihood of mortality over the subsequent 3–5 days, after which there was little additional mortality. Together, bleaching and mortality suggested that rapid assays of the phenotypic response following short-term heat stress were good metrics of the total heat treatment effect. Additionally, our data confirm geographic patterns of intraspecific variation in Palau and show that bleaching severity among colonies was highly correlated with mortality over the first week post-stress. We found high survival (98%) and visible recovery (100%) two months after heat stress among coral fragments that survived the first week post-stress. These findings help simplify rapid, widespread surveys of heat sensitivity inAcropora hyacinthusby showing that standardized short-term experiments can be confidently assayed after 16 hours, and that bleaching sensitivity may be linked to subsequent survival using experimental assessments. 

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