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1. On the Role of the Meridional Jet and Horizontal Potential Vorticity Dipole in the Iowa Derecho of 10 August 2020

   https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0168.1  

   Hitchman, Matthew_H; Rowe, Shellie_M (August 2024, Monthly Weather Review)

   Abstract On 10 August 2020, a derecho caused widespread damage across Iowa and Illinois. Des Moines station data show that the arrival of the gust front was characterized by an abrupt shift to northerly flow, exceeding 22 m s⁻¹for ∼20 min. To test the hypothesis that this northerly jet is associated with a horizontal potential vorticity (PV) dipole in the lower troposphere, we investigated the structure of PV in the University of Wisconsin Nonhydrostatic Modeling System (UWNMS) and of absolute vorticity in High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecast analyses. This structure is described here for the first time. The negative PV member coincides with the downdraft, while the positive PV member coincides with the updraft, with a northerly jet between. The westerly inflow jet descends anticyclonically in the downdraft, joining with northerly flow from the surface anticyclone. The resulting northerly outflow jet creates the trailing comma-shaped radar echo. The speed of propagation of the derecho is similar to the westerly wind maximum in the 3–5-km layer associated with the approaching synoptic cyclone, which acts as a steering level for resonant amplification. Idealized diagrams and 3D isosurfaces illustrate the commonality of the PV dipole/northerly jet structure. Differences in this structure among the three model states are related to low-level wind shear theory. The PV dipole coincides with the pattern of diabatic stretching tendency, which shifts westward and downward relative to the updraft/downdraft with increasing tilt. The PV dipole can contribute toward dynamical stability in a derecho. Significance StatementThe purpose of this work is to investigate the structure of potential vorticity (PV) in the lower troposphere in a derecho. It is found that a northerly outflow jet occurs between an east–west-oriented horizontal PV dipole, which is described here for the first time. The negative PV member coincides with the downdraft and is inertially unstable, while the positive PV member coincides with the updraft. This work contributes toward the theory of resonant structures and longevity. The 3–5-km westerly inflow layer constitutes a steering level, which controls propagation speed despite differences in structure. The degree of westward tilt with height is related to the pattern of forcing by diabatic stretching in producing the PV dipole. 

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2. Composite Vertical-Motion Patterns near North American Polar–Subtropical Jet Superposition Events

   https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0140.1  

   Winters, Andrew C.; Keyser, Daniel; Bosart, Lance F. (November 2020, Monthly Weather Review)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract A polar–subtropical jet superposition is preceded by the development of a polar cyclonic potential vorticity (PV) anomaly at high latitudes and a tropical anticyclonic PV anomaly at subtropical latitudes. A confluent large-scale flow pattern can lead to the juxtaposition of these respective PV anomalies at middle latitudes, resulting in the addition of the nondivergent circulations induced by each PV anomaly and an increase in upper-tropospheric wind speeds at the location of jet superposition. Once these PV anomalies become juxtaposed, vertical motion within the near-jet environment facilitates the advection and diabatic redistribution of tropopause-level PV, and the subsequent formation of the steep, single-step tropopause structure that characterizes a jet superposition. Given the importance of vertical motion during the formation of jet superpositions, this study adopts a quasigeostrophic (QG) diagnostic approach to quantify the production of vertical motion during three types of jet superposition events: polar dominant, eastern subtropical dominant, and western subtropical dominant. The diagnosis reveals that the geostrophic wind induced by polar cyclonic QGPV anomalies is predominantly responsible for QG vertical motion in the vicinity of jet superpositions. The QG vertical motion diagnosed from the along-isotherm component of the Q vector, which represents the vertical motion associated with synoptic-scale waves, is dominant within the near-jet environment. The QG vertical motion diagnosed from the across-isotherm component of the Q vector, which represents the vertical motion associated with frontal circulations in the vicinity of the jet, is subordinate within the near-jet environment, but is relatively more important during eastern subtropical dominant events compared to polar dominant and western subtropical dominant events. 

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3. Kinematic processes contributing to the intensification of anomalously strong North Atlantic jets

   https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4037  

   Winters, Andrew C. (April 2021, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society)

   Abstract Anomalously strong North Atlantic jets, defined in this study as jets with wind speeds exceeding 100 m·s⁻¹, are notable due to their potential to induce high‐impact weather. This study examines the kinematic processes that contribute to the intensification of anomalously strong North Atlantic jets, as well as the variability in those processes across a large number of events. Anomalously strong jets are objectively identified during September–May 1979–2018 within the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis and composited to reveal the synoptic‐scale flow evolution associated with jet intensification. The analysis demonstrates that anomalously strong North Atlantic jets are most frequent during the winter compared with the fall and spring, and that their development is preceded by low‐level warm‐air advection, poleward moisture advection, and moist ascent within the warm conveyor belt of a surface cyclone beneath the equatorward jet‐entrance region. A diagnosis of the irrotational and nondivergent components of the ageostrophic wind within the near‐jet environment reveals that both wind components facilitate jet intensification via their nonnegligible contributions to negative potential vorticity (PV) advection and PV frontogenesis in the vicinity of the dynamic tropopause. Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulations of a jet event from December 2013 with and without latent heating further suggest that the ageostrophic wind field within the near‐jet environment is substantially modulated by latent heating. The foregoing results indicate that a diagnosis of jet intensification during anomalously strong jet events is dependent on an accurate representation of the cumulative effects of latent heating within the near‐jet environment. 

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4. Relation between Baroclinity, Horizontal Vorticity, and Mesocyclone Evolution in the 6–7 April 2018 Monroe, Louisiana, Tornadic Supercell during VORTEX-SE

   https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0313.1  

   Hosek, Michael J.; Ziegler, Conrad L.; Biggerstaff, Michael I.; Murphy, Todd A.; Wang, Zhien (November 2023, Monthly Weather Review)

   Abstract This case study analyzes a tornadic supercell observed in northeast Louisiana as part of the Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment Southeast (VORTEX-SE) on 6–7 April 2018. One mobile research radar (SR1-P), one WSR-88D equivalent (KULM), and two airborne radars (TAFT and TFOR) have sampled the storm at close proximity for ∼70 min through its mature phase, tornadogenesis at 2340 UTC, and dissipation and subsequent ingestion into a developing MCS segment. The 4D wind field and reflectivity from up to four Doppler analyses, combined with 4D diabatic Lagrangian analysis (DLA) retrievals, has enabled kinematic and thermodynamic analysis of storm-scale boundaries leading up to, during, and after the dissipation of the NWS-surveyed EF0 tornado. The kinematic and thermodynamic analyses reveal a transient current of low-level streamwise vorticity leading into the low-level supercell updraft, appearing similar to the streamwise vorticity current (SVC) that has been identified in supercell simulations and previously observed only kinematically. Vorticity dynamical calculations demonstrate that both baroclinity and horizontal stretching play significant roles in the generation and amplification of streamwise vorticity associated with this SVC. While the SVC does not directly feed streamwise vorticity to the tornado–cyclone, its development coincides with tornadogenesis and an intensification of the supercell’s main low-level updraft, although a causal relationship is unclear. Although the mesoscale environment is not high-shear/low-CAPE (HSLC), the updraft of the analyzed supercell shares some similarities to past observations and simulations of HSLC storms in the Southeast United States, most notably a pulse-like updraft that is maximized in the low- to midlevels of the storm. Significance StatementThe purpose of this study is to analyze the airflow and thermodynamics of a highly observed tornado-producing supercell. While computer simulations can provide us with highly detailed looks at the complicated evolution of supercells, it is rare, due to the difficulty of data collection, to collect enough data to perform a highly detailed analysis on a particular supercell, especially in the Southeast United States. We identified a “current” of vorticity—rotating wind—that develops at the intersection of the supercell’s rain-cooled outflow and warm inflow, similar to previous simulations. This vorticity current develops and feeds the storm’s updraft as its tornado develops and the storm intensifies, although it does not directly enter the tornado. 

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5. Potential Vorticity Generation by West African Squall Lines

   https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0342.1  

   Johnson, Richard H.; Ciesielski, Paul E. (April 2020, Monthly Weather Review)

   The West African summer monsoon features multiple, complex interactions between African easterly waves (AEWs), moist convection, variable land surface properties, dust aerosols, and the diurnal cycle. One aspect of these interactions, the coupling between convection and AEWs, is explored using observations obtained during the 2006 African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses (AMMA) field campaign. During AMMA, a research weather radar operated at Niamey, Niger, where it surveilled 28 squall-line systems characterized by leading convective lines and trailing stratiform regions. Nieto Ferreira et al. found that the squall lines were linked with the passage of AEWs and classified them into two tracks, northerly and southerly, based on the position of the African easterly jet (AEJ). Using AMMA sounding data, we create a composite of northerly squall lines that tracked on the cyclonic shear side of the AEJ. Latent heating within the trailing stratiform regions produced a midtropospheric positive potential vorticity (PV) anomaly centered at the melting level, as commonly observed in such systems. However, a unique aspect of these PV anomalies is that they combined with a 400–500-hPa positive PV anomaly extending southward from the Sahara. The latter feature is a consequence of the deep convective boundary layer over the hot Saharan Desert. Results provide evidence of a coupling and merging of two PV sources—one associated with the Saharan heat low and another with latent heating—that ends up creating a prominent midtropospheric positive PV maximum to the rear of West African squall lines. 

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