Many real-world decision-making tasks require learning causal relationships between a set of variables. Traditional causal discovery methods, however, require that all variables are observed, which is often not feasible in practical scenarios. Without additional assumptions about the unobserved variables, it is not possible to recover any causal relationships from observational data. Fortunately, in many applied settings, additional structure among the confounders can be expected. In particular, pervasive confounding is commonly encountered and has been utilised for consistent causal estimation in linear causal models. In this article, we present a provably consistent method to estimate causal relationships in the nonlinear, pervasive confounding setting. The core of our procedure relies on the ability to estimate the confounding variation through a simple spectral decomposition of the observed data matrix. We derive a DAG score function based on this insight, prove its consistency in recovering a correct ordering of the DAG, and empirically compare it to previous approaches. We demonstrate improved performance on both simulated and real datasets by explicitly accounting for both confounders and nonlinear effects.
This content will become publicly available on March 25, 2025
Effective Causal Discovery under Identifiable Heteroscedastic Noise Model
Capturing the underlying structural causal relations represented by Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) has been a fundamental task in various AI disciplines. Causal DAG learning via the continuous optimization framework has recently achieved promising performance in terms of accuracy and efficiency. However, most methods make strong assumptions of homoscedastic noise, i.e., exogenous noises have equal variances across variables, observations, or even both. The noises in real data usually violate both assumptions due to the biases introduced by different data collection processes. To address the heteroscedastic noise issue, we introduce relaxed implementable sufficient conditions and prove the identifiability of a general class of SEM subject to those conditions. Based on the identifiable general SEM, we propose a novel formulation for DAG learning which accounts for the noise variance variation across variables and observations. We then propose an effective two-phase iterative DAG learning algorithm to address the increasing optimization difficulties and learn a causal DAG from data with heteroscedastic variables noise under varying variance. We show significant empirical gains of the proposed approaches over state-of-the-art methods on both synthetic data and real data.
more » « less- Award ID(s):
- 2236026
- PAR ID:
- 10513288
- Publisher / Repository:
- AAAI
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
- Volume:
- 38
- Issue:
- 15
- ISSN:
- 2159-5399
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 16486 to 16494
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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