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Abstract Marine heatwaves have become more frequent and intense under anthropogenic warming, posing increasing threats to marine ecosystems and coastal societies, necessitating a better understanding of their mechanism and predictability. Here we show how ocean dynamics modulate marine heatwaves globally by comparing dynamic and slab ocean climate model simulations. We discover that ocean dynamics significantly promote marine heatwave intensity and duration in mid-to-high latitude oceans, as well as the eastern tropical Pacific where marine heatwaves are inherently linked to extreme El Niño events. Our mixed-layer heat budget analysis unravels that heat accumulation during marine heatwave episodes is strongly influenced by vertical mixing and horizontal transport processes, so that warm sea surface temperature extremes in dynamic ocean differ in magnitude and evolution rhythm from those in slab ocean. We further find robust multi-year potential predictability of marine heatwave in the North Atlantic with a dynamic ocean, owing primarily to the predictability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Our findings emphasize the irreplaceable role of oceanic dynamics in marine heatwave evolution and predictability, with important implications for future climate extreme prediction and adaptation strategies.
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Despite plasticity, heatwaves are costly for a coral reef fish
Abstract Climate change is intensifying extreme weather events, including marine heatwaves, which are prolonged periods of anomalously high sea surface temperature that pose a novel threat to aquatic animals. Tropical animals may be especially vulnerable to marine heatwaves because they are adapted to a narrow temperature range. If these animals cannot acclimate to marine heatwaves, the extreme heat could impair their behavior and fitness. Here, we investigated how marine heatwave conditions affected the performance and thermal tolerance of a tropical predatory fish, arceye hawkfish (Paracirrhites arcatus), across two seasons in Moorea, French Polynesia. We found that the fish’s daily activities, including recovery from burst swimming and digestion, were more energetically costly in fish exposed to marine heatwave conditions across both seasons, while their aerobic capacity remained the same. Given their constrained energy budget, these rising costs associated with warming may impact how hawkfish prioritize activities. Additionally, hawkfish that were exposed to hotter temperatures exhibited cardiac plasticity by increasing their maximum heart rate but were still operating within a few degrees of their thermal limits. With more frequent and intense heatwaves, hawkfish, and other tropical fishes must rapidly acclimate, or they may suffer physiological consequences that alter their role in the ecosystem.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2224354
- PAR ID:
- 10515866
- Publisher / Repository:
- https://mcr.lternet.edu/bibliography
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Scientific Reports
- Volume:
- 14
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2045-2322
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-63273-8
