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Title: Ecology and geography of Cache Valley virus assessed using ecological niche modeling
Abstract BackgroundCache Valley virus (CVV) is an understudiedOrthobunyaviruswith a high spillover transmission potential due to its wide geographical distribution and large number of associated hosts and vectors. Although CVV is known to be widely distributed throughout North America, no studies have explored its geography or employed computational methods to explore the mammal and mosquito species likely participating in the CVV sylvatic cycle. MethodsWe used a literature review and online databases to compile locality data for CVV and its potential vectors and hosts. We linked location data points with climatic data via ecological niche modeling to estimate the geographical range of CVV and hotspots of transmission risk. We used background similarity tests to identify likely CVV mosquito vectors and mammal hosts to detect ecological signals from CVV sylvatic transmission. ResultsCVV distribution maps revealed a widespread potential viral occurrence throughout North America. Ecological niche models identified areas with climate, vectors, and hosts suitable to maintain CVV transmission. Our background similarity tests identifiedAedes vexans,Culiseta inornata, andCulex tarsalisas the most likely vectors andOdocoileus virginianus(white-tailed deer) as the most likely host sustaining sylvatic transmission. ConclusionsCVV has a continental-level, widespread transmission potential. Large areas of North America have suitable climate, vectors, and hosts for CVV emergence, establishment, and spread. We identified geographical hotspots that have no confirmed CVV reports to date and, in view of CVV misdiagnosis or underreporting, can guide future surveillance to specific localities and species. Graphical Abstract  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2116748 2235295
PAR ID:
10517748
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
Springer Science + Business Media
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Parasites & Vectors
Volume:
17
Issue:
1
ISSN:
1756-3305
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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