Urban air pollution has been long understood as a critical threat to human health worldwide. Worsening urban air quality can cause increased rates of asthma, respiratory illnesses, and mortality. Air pollution is also an important environmental justice issue as it disproportionately burdens populations made vulnerable by their socioeconomic and health status. Using spatially continuous fine-scale air quality data for the city of Philadelphia, this study analyzed the relationship between two air pollutants: particulate matter (PM2.5, black carbon (BC), and three dimensions of vulnerability: social (non-White population), economic (poverty), and health outcomes (asthma prevalence). Spatial autoregressive models outperformed Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression, indicating the importance of considering spatial autocorrelation in air pollution-related environmental-justice modeling efforts. Positive relationships were observed between PM2.5 concentrations and the socioeconomic variables and asthma prevalence. Percent non-White population was a significant predictor of BC for all models, while percent poverty was shown to not be a significant predictor of BC in the best fitting model. Our findings underscore the presence of distributive environmental injustices, where marginalized communities may bear a disproportionate burden of air pollution within Philadelphia.
more »
« less
Dynamics of PM2.5 and network activity during extreme pollution events
In an era where air pollution poses a significant threat to both the environment and public health, we present a network-based approach to unravel the dynamics of extreme pollution events. Leveraging data from 741 monitoring stations in the contiguous United States, we have created dynamic networks using time-lagged correlations of hourly particulate matter (PM2.5) data. The established spatial correlation networks reveal significant PM2.5 anomalies during the 2020 and 2021 wildfire seasons, demonstrating the approach’s sensitivity to detecting regional pollution phenomena. The methodology also provides insights into smoke transport and network response, highlighting the persistence of air quality issues beyond visible smoke periods. Additionally, we explored meteorological variables’ impacts on network connectivity. This study enhances understanding of spatiotemporal pollution patterns, positioning spatial correlation networks as valuable tools for environmental monitoring and public health surveillance.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 2125326
- PAR ID:
- 10544935
- Publisher / Repository:
- Springer Nature
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
- Volume:
- 7
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2397-3722
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Wildfire smoke, particularly particulate matter less than 2.5 microns (PM2.5), represents a major source of air pollution and a growing public health problem. PM2.5 is a general term used for any particulate < 2.5 µm; however, a wide variety of particulates with different physical and chemical properties can be formed in this size range. The health impacts of PMs are controlled by their size. Unlike larger particulates, which only enter the respiratory tract, fine PMs (<0.1 µm) can also enter the bloodstream and even pass through the blood-brain barrier. The health risks due to exposure to PM can be different for various PM phases with different physical properties, which is poorly understood. We collected wildfire smoke from more than 10 major wildfires in the Western US using active air samplers that separate particles in different size ranges (>2.5 µm - <0.25 µm). Particles were collected on filters, which are pre-weighted and loaded into the impactor. The filters were weighted and compared with the pre-weight values to calculate the mass of particles collected at each size range. Our results revealed that for all the smoke from varied wildfires, the mass of particles increased with decreasing size, with the majority (more than 50%) being less than 0.25 μm. In addition, the PM2.5 total concentration was recorded using an air quality monitor and compared to the particle size distribution in different smoke samples. The results showed that as the overall concentration of wildfire smoke decreases, the fraction of particles smaller than 0.250 microns increases even more. This suggests that these ultrafine particles not only make up the majority of PM in wildfire smoke but are also more persistent in the atmosphere, even when the total PM concentration is low. Our findings highlight the magnitude of health risks posed by PM and underscore the urgent need for effective solutions to reduce respiratory exposure in affected communities.more » « less
-
Abstract Studies on the conditional relationships between PM2.5 concentrations among different regions are of great interest for the joint prevention and control of air pollution. Because of seasonal changes in atmospheric conditions, spatial patterns of PM2.5 may differ throughout the year. Additionally, concentration data are both non-negative and non-Gaussian. These data features pose significant challenges to existing methods. This study proposes a heterogeneous graphical model for non-negative and non-Gaussian data via the score matching loss. The proposed method simultaneously clusters multiple datasets and estimates a graph for variables with complex properties in each cluster. Furthermore, our model involves a network that indicate similarity among datasets, and this network can have additional applications. In simulation studies, the proposed method outperforms competing alternatives in both clustering and edge identification. We also analyse the PM2.5 concentrations' spatial correlations in Taiwan's regions using data obtained in year 2019 from 67 air-quality monitoring stations. The 12 months are clustered into four groups: January–March, April, May–September and October–December, and the corresponding graphs have 153, 57, 86 and 167 edges respectively. The results show obvious seasonality, which is consistent with the meteorological literature. Geographically, the PM2.5 concentrations of north and south Taiwan regions correlate more respectively. These results can provide valuable information for developing joint air-quality control strategies.more » « less
-
Breathing in fine particulate matter of diameter less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) greatly increases an individual’s risk of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. As climate change progresses, extreme weather events, including wildfires, are expected to increase, exacerbating air pollution. However, models often struggle to capture extreme pollution events due to the rarity of high PM2.5 levels in training datasets. To address this, we implemented cluster-based undersampling and trained Transformer models to improve extreme event prediction using various cutoff thresholds (12.1 µg/m3 and 35.5 µg/m3) and partial sampling ratios (10/90, 20/80, 30/70, 40/60, 50/50). Our results demonstrate that the 35.5 µg/m3 threshold, paired with a 20/80 partial sampling ratio, achieved the best performance, with an RMSE of 2.080, MAE of 1.386, and R2 of 0.914, particularly excelling in forecasting high PM2.5 events. Overall, models trained on augmented data significantly outperformed those trained on original data, highlighting the importance of resampling techniques in improving air quality forecasting accuracy, especially for high-pollution scenarios. These findings provide critical insights into optimizing air quality forecasting models, enabling more reliable predictions of extreme pollution events. By advancing the ability to forecast high PM2.5 levels, this study contributes to the development of more informed public health and environmental policies to mitigate the impacts of air pollution, and advanced the technology for building better air quality digital twins.more » « less
-
null (Ed.)Short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution is linked to numerous adverse health effects. Pollution episodes, such as wildfires, can lead to substantial increases in PM2.5 levels. However, sparse regulatory measurements provide an incomplete understanding of pollution gradients. Here, we demonstrate an infrastructure that integrates community-based measurements from a network of low-cost PM2.5 sensors with rigorous calibration and a Gaussian process model to understand neighborhood-scale PM2.5 concentrations during three pollution episodes (July 4, 2018, fireworks; July 5 and 6, 2018, wildfire; Jan 3−7, 2019, persistent cold air pool, PCAP). The firework/wildfire events included 118 sensors in 84 locations, while the PCAP event included 218 sensors in 138 locations. The model results accurately predict reference measurements during the fireworks (n: 16, hourly root-mean-square error, RMSE, 12.3−21.5 μg/m3, n(normalized)-RMSE: 9−24%), the wildfire (n: 46, RMSE: 2.6−4.0 μg/m3; nRMSE: 13.1−22.9%), and the PCAP (n: 96, RMSE: 4.9−5.7 μg/m3; nRMSE: 20.2−21.3%). They also revealed dramatic geospatial differences in PM2.5 concentrations that are not apparent when only considering government measurements or viewing the US Environmental Protection Agency’s AirNow’s visualizations. Complementing the PM2.5 estimates and visualizations are highly resolved uncertainty maps. Together, these results illustrate the potential for low-cost sensor networks that combined with a data-fusion algorithm and appropriate calibration and training can dynamically and with improved accuracy estimate PM2.5 concentrations during pollution episodes. These highly resolved uncertainty estimates can provide a much-needed strategy to communicate uncertainty to end users.more » « less
An official website of the United States government

