skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

Attention:

The NSF Public Access Repository (PAR) system and access will be unavailable from 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, June 12 until 2:00 AM ET on Friday, June 13 due to maintenance. We apologize for the inconvenience.


This content will become publicly available on September 1, 2025

Title: Heterogeneity in ice-wedge permafrost degradation revealed across spatial scales
Permafrost thaw exhibits an array of spatially heterogenous patterns. As the Arctic continues to warm, those spatial patterns of permafrost thaw, or degradation, are becoming increasingly intricate and dynamic. In particular, ice-wedge permafrost degradation contains a high degree of spatial heterogeneity as ice wedges transition through undegraded, degraded, and stabilized stages. Developing accurate remote sensing methods for characterizing degradation will better allow us to monitor and forecast Arctic landscape evolution and associated land-atmosphere carbon-climate interactions. In this study, we (i) characterized ice-wedge degradation stages across a regional scale using a novel hydrogeomorphic approach. Then, we (ii) assessed the heterogeneity of degradation from meter- to kilometer-scales, and (iii) identified landscape properties associated with degradation patterns. We leveraged the unique spectral and geometric properties of ice-wedge degradation stages to map those stages across 366 km2 of the Arctic Coastal Plain near Prudhoe Bay, Alaska in sub-meter resolution Worldview-2 satellite imagery. Then, we validated the maps with in-situ observations, airborne LIDAR, and drone multispectral surveys. We evaluated spatial heterogeneity in ice-wedge degradation through a clustering approach. Specifically, we grouped regions into hydrogeomorphic clusters defined by similarities in trough widths and flooding, which reflect distinct degradation stages. This analysis revealed that ice-wedge degradation is heterogeneous across both meter and kilometer scales. At the meter scale, a single ice-wedge polygon is generally bounded by varied degradation stages. In addition, the most advanced stages of degradation occur in areas of low trough relative elevation and at the junctions between troughs. At the kilometer-scale, distinct clustering of degradation stages was identified across the region and linked to spatial patterns in topography: regional clusters of advanced degradation occurred in higher elevation areas. The millennial-scale evolution of the landscape has resulted in heterogeneous topographic, hydrologic, and cryogenic characteristics; these varied features exhibit diverse responses to warming events, which reflect the dynamic interplay that occurs between permafrost landscapes and climate change.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2311075
PAR ID:
10549989
Author(s) / Creator(s):
;
Publisher / Repository:
ELSEVIER
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Remote Sensing of Environment
Volume:
311
Issue:
C
ISSN:
0034-4257
Page Range / eLocation ID:
114299
Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
Permafrost Ice-wedge Heterogeneity Degradation Mapping Climate change
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. The microtopography associated with ice-wedge polygons governs many aspects of Arctic ecosystem, permafrost, and hydrologic dynamics from local to regional scales owing to the linkages between microtopography and the flow and storage of water, vegetation succession, and permafrost dynamics. Wide-spread ice-wedge degradation is transforming low-centered polygons into high-centered polygons at an alarming rate. Accurate data on spatial distribution of ice-wedge polygons at a pan-Arctic scale are not yet available, despite the availability of sub-meter-scale remote sensing imagery. This is because the necessary spatial detail quickly produces data volumes that hamper both manual and semi-automated mapping approaches across large geographical extents. Accordingly, transforming big imagery into ‘science-ready’ insightful analytics demands novel image-to-assessment pipelines that are fueled by advanced machine learning techniques and high-performance computational resources. In this exploratory study, we tasked a deep-learning driven object instance segmentation method (i.e., the Mask R-CNN) with delineating and classifying ice-wedge polygons in very high spatial resolution aerial orthoimagery. We conducted a systematic experiment to gauge the performances and interoperability of the Mask R-CNN across spatial resolutions (0.15 m to 1 m) and image scene contents (a total of 134 km2) near Nuiqsut, Northern Alaska. The trained Mask R-CNN reported mean average precisions of 0.70 and 0.60 at thresholds of 0.50 and 0.75, respectively. Manual validations showed that approximately 95% of individual ice-wedge polygons were correctly delineated and classified, with an overall classification accuracy of 79%. Our findings show that the Mask R-CNN is a robust method to automatically identify ice-wedge polygons from fine-resolution optical imagery. Overall, this automated imagery-enabled intense mapping approach can provide a foundational framework that may propel future pan-Arctic studies of permafrost thaw, tundra landscape evolution, and the role of high latitudes in the global climate system. 
    more » « less
  2. null (Ed.)
    In response to increasing Arctic temperatures, ice-rich permafrost landscapes are undergoing rapid changes. In permafrost lowlands, polygonal ice wedges are especially prone to degradation. Melting of ice wedges results in deepening troughs and the transition from low-centered to high-centered ice-wedge polygons. This process has important implications for surface hydrology, as the connectivity of such troughs determines the rate of drainage for these lowland landscapes. In this study, we present a comprehensive, modular, and highly automated workflow to extract, to represent, and to analyze remotely sensed ice-wedge polygonal trough networks as a graph (i.e., network structure). With computer vision methods, we efficiently extract the trough locations as well as their geomorphometric information on trough depth and width from high-resolution digital elevation models and link these data within the graph. Further, we present and discuss the benefits of graph analysis algorithms for characterizing the erosional development of such thaw-affected landscapes. Based on our graph analysis, we show how thaw subsidence has progressed between 2009 and 2019 following burning at the Anaktuvuk River fire scar in northern Alaska, USA. We observed a considerable increase in the number of discernible troughs within the study area, while simultaneously the number of disconnected networks decreased from 54 small networks in 2009 to only six considerably larger disconnected networks in 2019. On average, the width of the troughs has increased by 13.86%, while the average depth has slightly decreased by 10.31%. Overall, our new automated approach allows for monitoring ice-wedge dynamics in unprecedented spatial detail, while simultaneously reducing the data to quantifiable geometric measures and spatial relationships. 
    more » « less
  3. Climate change pressure on the Arctic permafrost is rising alarmingly, creating a decisive need to produce Pan-Arctic scale permafrost landform and thaw disturbance information from remote sensing (RS) data. Very high spatial resolution (VHSR) satellite images can be utilized to detect ice-wedge polygons (IWPs) – the most important and widespread landform in the Arctic tundra region - across the Arctic without compromising spatial details. Automated analysis of peta-byte scale VHSR imagery covering millions of square kilometers is a computationally challenging task. Traditional semantic segmentation requires the use of task specific feature extraction with conventional classification techniques. Semantic complexity of VHSR images coupled with landscape heterogeneity makes it difficult to use conventional classification approaches to produce Pan-Arctic scale geospatial products. This leads to adapting deep convolutional neural network (DLCNN) approaches that have excelled in computer vision (CV) applications. Transitioning domains from everyday image understanding to remote sensing image analysis is challenging. This study aims to systematically investigate two main obstacles confronted when adapting DLCNNs in large-scale RS image analysis tasks; 1) the limited availability labeled data sets and 2) the prohibitive nature of hyperparameter tunning when designing DLCNNs that can capture the rich characteristics embedded in remotely-sensed images. With a case study on the production of the first pan-Arctic ice-wedge polygon map using thousands of VHSR images, we demonstrate the use of transfer learning and the impact of hyperparameter tuning with a 16% improvement of the Mean Average Precision (mAP50). 
    more » « less
  4. Ice-wedge polygon (IWP) is a landform found in landscapes underlain by permafrost. IWPs form due to the development of ice wedges, where each IWP is bounded by ice wedges. Ice wedges form due to repeated cracking of the soil during winter and by snowmelt water infiltrating into the cracks and freezing. Repeated over thousands of years, the process results in ice wedges several 10s of feet deep. The melting of the top of the ice wedge results in ground subsidence and depending how extensive the thaw is across the landscape, new ponds or lateral drainage channels form. This data collection supported an assessment of the length of the ice wedge network in the Barnard River watershed (10,540 km2), Banks Island, Canada. The data collection is derived from the pan-Arctic map of ice-wedge polygons (Witharana et al. 2023, Ice-wedge polygon detection in satellite imagery from pan-Arctic regions, Permafrost Discovery Gateway, 2001-2021. Arctic Data Center. doi:10.18739/A2KW57K57), which used Maxar satellite imagery from 2010-2020 for Banks Island. Two types of datasets are included: (1) Polyline shapefile of mapped ice wedge centerlines. This dataset was produced with an approach adopted from Ulrich, Mathias, et al. "Quantifying wedge‐ice volumes in Yedoma and thermokarst basin deposits." Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 25.3 (2014): 151-161. A buffer that represents widths at the top of ice wedges is created around each IWP. A buffer width of 5 meters was chosen, since this allowed buffers of adjacent polygons to overlap. These buffers are then skeletonized in order to trace their centerlines, which ultimately represents the network of ice-wedges that form the IWPs in a landscape. (2) Polygon shapefile of IWP coverage (as percentage of land cover within 1 kilometer (km) x 1 km rectangular grid cells) across the 10,540 km2 Bernard River Watershed, Banks Island, Canada. Code for ice-wedge centerline extraction can be found at https://github.com/PermafrostDiscoveryGateway/IW-Network-Extraction. This data collection accompanies the manuscript published in Nature Water (Liljedahl, A.K., Witharana, C., and Manos, E., 2024. The Capillaries of the Arctic Tundra. Nature Water, doi:10.1038/s44221-024-00276-9) and the geospatial data is available to view in the Permafrost Discovery Gateway. 
    more » « less
  5. Environmental impact assessments for new Arctic infrastructure do not adequately consider the likely long-term cumulative effects of climate change and infrastructure to landforms and vegetation in areas with ice-rich permafrost, due in part to lack of long-term environmental studies that monitor changes after the infrastructure is built. This case study examines long-term (1949–2020) climate- and road-related changes in a network of ice-wedge polygons, Prudhoe Bay Oilfield, Alaska. We studied four trajectories of change along a heavily traveled road and a relatively remote site. During 20 years prior to the oilfield development, the climate and landscapes changed very little. During 50 years after development, climate-related changes included increased numbers of thermokarst ponds, changes to ice-wedge-polygon morphology, snow distribution, thaw depths, dominant vegetation types, and shrub abundance. Road dust strongly affected plant-community structure and composition, particularly small forbs, mosses, and lichens. Flooding increased permafrost degradation, polygon center-trough elevation contrasts, and vegetation productivity. It was not possible to isolate infrastructure impacts from climate impacts, but the combined datasets provide unique insights into the rate and extent of ecological disturbances associated with infrastructure-affected landscapes under decades of climate warming. We conclude with recommendations for future cumulative impact assessments in areas with ice-rich permafrost. 
    more » « less