An official website of the United States government
Lake Issyk-Kul, located in the glacial mountain ranges in mid-latitude arid Central Asia (ACA), is one of the world’s largest lakes. ACA is projected to face future changes in water supply due to rising temperatures and increased precipitation. These changes pose significant economic and environmental threats, particularly in regions with high population growth. Despite its importance, the mid-latitude continental region has many unknown questions surrounding the history of the westerlies, leaving gaps in our understanding of past climate dynamics. This research examines the paleoclimate of Lake Issyk-Kul from approximately 14,000 years ago to the present, utilizing a suite of organic biomarkers to reconstruct temperature, hydroclimate, and vegetation. We measured several organic geochemical proxies including lacustrine alkenones (U index) and isoprenoid and hydroxylated glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (GDGTs; TEX86 and RIOH proxies). Additionally, the distribution and isotopic composition of plant waxes (n-alkanes) are analyzed to infer changes in surrounding vegetation and moisture sources. Preliminary results indicate significant and abrupt climate shifts in the Issyk-Kul region during key periods such as the Bølling-Allerød and Younger Dryas. We compare biomarker records from sites on the western and eastern sides of the lake to understand regional variations in climate response in a large lake system that spans a precipitation gradient. These findings enhance our understanding of the sensitivity of Issyk-Kul in regional and global climate regimes, contributing to more accurate predictions of future conditions in ACA.
more »
« less
Temperature and hydroclimate variability in mid-latitude arid Central Asia during the past 13,600 years: a multi-proxy investigation of Issyk-Kul (Kyrgyzstan)
Arid Central Asia (ACA) will be among the places on Earth most strongly affected by future changes in water supply. Rising temperatures and projected increases in inter-annual precipitation variability are expected to bring economic and environmental stress to a region characterized by high population growth. To date, mid-latitude continental locations have received relatively less research attention in comparison to the high-latitude or tropical locations and therefore represent a gap in our understanding of past climate dynamics. Issyk–Kul (Kyrgyzstan), one of the largest lakes in the world, is a unique site to examine mid-latitude climate variability in ACA due to its location in a mountainous region of the Asian continental interior that today is situated outside of the influence of the monsoons to the south or southeast. Here we use previously collected sediment cores from Issyk-Kul to generate new temperature, hydroclimate and vegetation records spanning from 13,600 to 2,000 years ago. We evaluate the use of several organic geochemical temperature proxies including lacustrine alkenones (UK′37 Index), TEX86, and proxies based on hydroxylated isoprenoid glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (OH-GDGTs). We also examine the distributions and isotopic composition of plant waxes (n-alkanes) to examine changes in the vegetation surrounding Issyk-Kul. Plant wax deuterium isotopes are used to investigate changes in precipitation amount and shifts in the dominant moisture source to ACA, while carbon isotopes are used to examine past shifts in C3 vs C4 vegetation. Our results thus far reveal that multiple proxies indicate a strong response of Issyk-Kul to climate variability during the Bølling–Allerød and Younger Dryas. Improved knowledge of past mid-latitude climate dynamics is needed to predict future conditions in ACA more accurately.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 2202902
- PAR ID:
- 10564699
- Publisher / Repository:
- Geological Society of America
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Location:
- Manchester, NH
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Lacustrine δ2H and δ18O isotope proxies are powerful tools for reconstructing past climate and precipitation changes in the Arctic. However, robust paleoclimate record interpretations depend on site-specific lake water isotope systematics, which are poorly described in the eastern Canadian Arctic due to insufficient modern lake water isotope data. We use modern lake water isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) collected between 1994-1997 and 2017–2021 from a transect of sites spanning a Québec-to-Ellesmere Island gradient to evaluate the effects of inflow seasonality and evaporative enrichment on the δ2H and δ18O composition of lake water. Four lakes near Iqaluit, Nunavut sampled biweekly through three ice-free seasons reflect mean annual precipitation isotopes with slight evaporative enrichment. In a 23° latitudinal transect of 181 lakes, through-flowing lake water δ2H and δ18O fall along local meteoric water lines. Despite variability within each region, we observe a latitudinal pattern: southern lakes reflect mean annual precipitation isotopes, whereas northern lakes reflect summer-biased precipitation isotopes. This pattern suggests that northern lakes are more fully flushed with summer precipitation, and we hypothesize that this occurs because the ratio of runoff to precipitation increases with latitude as vegetation cover decreases. Therefore, proxy records from through-flowing lakes in this region should reflect precipitation isotopes with minimal influence of evaporation, but vegetation changes in lake catchments across a latitudinal transect and through geologic time may influence the seasonality of lake water isotopic compositions. Thus, we recommend that future lake water isotope proxy records are considered in context with temperature and ecological proxy records.more » « less
-
Over the last few million years, Africa’s climate exhibits a long-term drying trend with episodes of high climate variability coinciding with the intensification of glacial-interglacial cycles. Of particular interest, is a shift to drier and more variable conditions noted in the Olorgesailie Formation (Kenya) between 500 and 300 thousand years ago (ka) in which Potts et al. (2018) observed a turnover of ~85% of large-body mammalian fauna to smaller-body related taxa and suggested that the shift was an evolutionary response to better adapt to the changing climate. However, an erosional gap in the Olorgesailie record during this time interval means that the cause of this faunal shift is still an outstanding question. To understand East African climate variability during the Mid-Pleistocene, we analyze Lake Malawi drill core MAL 05–1 (~11ºS, 34ºE) to investigate if a specific climatic event stands out as a possible driver of the dramatic change observed in the East African mammal community. We use organic geochemical proxies including branched glycerol diaklyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs; the MBT′5ME index) andleaf wax carbon and deuterium isotopes to develop high-resolution temperature, vegetation, and precipitation records, respectively, between 600 and 200 ka. Results show an abrupt temperature increase of ~9°C occurring in less than 3000 years during Glacial Termination V, which is the Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 12 to MIS 11 transition at ~330 ka. Preliminary leaf wax deuterium isotopic values show an enrichment that coincides with deglacial warmings suggesting a shift to more arid conditions during interglacial than in glacial periods. This change from a cold/wet glacial to a warm/dry interglacial contrast with the cool/dry pattern of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) in East Africa which transitioned to a warm/wet Holocene. Leaf wax carbon isotopes are presently being analyzed to understand past shifts in C3 vs C4 vegetation type, which can be related to climatic conditions. We propose that the major warming and drying during Termination V in East Africa represents a significant abrupt change in the climate of eastern Africa and was a likely driver of the major faunal turnover noted in the region.more » « less
-
Abstract Lacustrine δ2H and δ18O isotope proxies are powerful tools for reconstructing past climate and precipitation changes in the Arctic. However, robust paleoclimate record interpretations depend on site‐specific lake water isotope systematics, which are poorly described in the eastern Canadian Arctic due to insufficient modern lake water isotope data. We use modern lake water isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) collected between 1994–1997 and 2017–2021 from a transect of sites spanning a Québec‐to‐Ellesmere Island gradient to evaluate the effects of inflow seasonality and evaporative enrichment on the δ2H and δ18O composition of lake water. Four lakes near Iqaluit, Nunavut sampled biweekly through three ice‐free seasons reflect mean annual precipitation isotopes with slight evaporative enrichment. In a 23° latitudinal transect of 181 lakes, through‐flowing lake water δ2H and δ18O fall along local meteoric water lines. Despite variability within each region, we observe a latitudinal pattern: southern lakes reflect mean annual precipitation isotopes, whereas northern lakes reflect summer‐biased precipitation isotopes. This pattern suggests that northern lakes are more fully flushed with summer precipitation, and we hypothesize that this occurs because the ratio of runoff to precipitation increases with latitude as vegetation cover decreases. Therefore, proxy records from through‐flowing lakes in this region should reflect precipitation isotopes with minimal influence of evaporation, but vegetation changes in lake catchments across a latitudinal transect and through geologic time may influence the seasonality of lake water isotopic compositions. Thus, we recommend that future lake water isotope proxy records are considered in context with temperature and ecological proxy records.more » « less
-
Abstract Arctic shrubification is an observable consequence of climate change, already resulting in ecological shifts and global‐scale climate feedbacks including changes in land surface albedo and enhanced evapotranspiration. However, the rate at which shrubs can colonize previously glaciated terrain in a warming world is largely unknown. Reconstructions of past vegetation dynamics in conjunction with climate records can provide critical insights into shrubification rates and controls on plant migration, but paleoenvironmental reconstructions based on pollen may be biased by the influx of exotic pollen to tundra settings. Here, we reconstruct past plant communities using sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA), which has a more local source area than pollen. We additionally reconstruct past temperature variability using bacterial cell membrane lipids (branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers) and an aquatic productivity indicator (biogenic silica) to evaluate the relative timing of postglacial ecological and climate changes at a lake on southern Baffin Island, Arctic Canada. ThesedaDNA record tightly constrains the colonization of dwarf birch (Betula, a thermophilous shrub) to 5.9 ± 0.1 ka, ~3 ka after local deglaciation as determined by cosmogenic10Be moraine dating and >2 ka later thanBetulapollen is recorded in nearby lake sediment. We then assess the paleovegetation history within the context of summer temperature and find that paleotemperatures were highest prior to 6.3 ka, followed by cooling in the centuries precedingBetulaestablishment. Together, these molecular proxies reveal thatBetulacolonization lagged peak summer temperatures, suggesting that inefficient dispersal, rather than climate, may have limited Arctic shrub migration in this region. In addition, these data suggest that pollen‐based climate reconstructions from high latitudes, which rely heavily on the presence and abundance of pollen from thermophilous taxa likeBetula, can be compromised by both exotic pollen fluxes and vegetation migration lags.more » « less
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Conference Paper:
- The DOI is not currently available.
