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Abstract Theory predicts that thermal developmental plasticity evolves in response to thermal heterogeneity, suggesting that plasticity may be an important trait for establishment in novel climates. However, few studies use multispecies comparisons to examine how plasticity evolves, meaning that there is little empirical basis with which to examine key theoretical predictions. We estimate patterns of thermal developmental plasticity in morphological and performance traits for 7 Anolis lizard species inhabiting South Florida, USA. We found interspecific differences as well as intraspecific variation in reaction norms across species. Neither temperature heterogeneity in present-day invasive ranges in Florida nor historical temperature heterogeneity from the contemporary native ranges predicted reaction norm variation. Phylogeny and species identity typically predicted around 90%–95% of reaction norm variation. Overall, these results suggest that thermal developmental plasticity in these traits exhibits variation that could be inconsistent with patterns expected under adaptive evolution to macroclimate. Examining the role of maternal nesting behavior and sampling of additional species can help to distinguish between neutral variation and selection toward multiple adaptive peaks. Our comparative study of thermal developmental plasticity in lizards provides new insights about macroevolutionary dynamics behind the evolution of developmental plasticity and the conditions under which adaptive plasticity is expected to evolve.
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This content will become publicly available on February 1, 2026
Developmental reaction norms vary among families of lizards in response to multivariate nest environments
Developmental plasticity is the capacity of a single genotype to express multiple phenotypes in response to different early‐life environments. Such responses are defined by reaction norms, which may vary among individuals or populations. Variation in developmental reaction norms allows natural selection to operate on plasticity and is rarely examined in vertebrates. We quantified variation in embryonic developmental plasticity within and between populations using the brown anole lizard. We captured lizards from two islands in the Matanzas River (Florida, USA) and incubated their eggs under one of two multivariate treatments that mimicked the temperature, moisture and substrates of nest sites in either a shaded or open habitat. We measured hatchling morphology, performance, and physiology to quantify variation in family‐level reaction norms. We observed evidence of family‐level variation in reaction norms for morphology but not for performance or physiology, indicating an opportunity for natural selection to shape plasticity in hatchling body size. Overall, the results indicate that multiple abiotic conditions in natural nests combine to increase or reduce phenotypic variation, and that family‐level variation in reaction norms provides a potential for natural selection to shape plasticity.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1942145
- PAR ID:
- 10571765
- Publisher / Repository:
- Nordic Society Oikos
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Oikos
- Volume:
- 2025
- Issue:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 0030-1299
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 2024: e10911
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- Adaptation among-individual variation Anolis sagrei Developmental plasticity ecological development egg incubation thermal plasticity
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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