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The length-of-stay (LOS) is an important quality metric in health care, and the use of phase-type (PH) distribution provides a flexible method for modeling LOS. In this paper, we model the patient flow information collected in a hospital for patients of distinct diseases, including headache, liveborn infant, alcohol abuse, acute upper respiratory infection, and secondary cataract. Based on the results obtained from fitting Coxian PH distributions to the LOS data, the patients can be divided into different groups. By analyzing each group to find out their common characteristics, the corresponding readmission rate and other useful information can be evaluated. Furthermore, a comparison of patterns for each disease is analyzed. We conclude that it is important to offering better service and avoiding waste of sources, by the analysis of the relations between groups and readmission. In addition, comparing the patterns within distinct diseases, a better decision for assigning resources and improving the insurance policy can be made.
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Using interpretable survival analysis to assess hospital length of stay
Abstract Accurate in-hospital length of stay prediction is a vital quality metric for hospital leaders and health policy decision-makers. It assists with decision-making and informs hospital operations involving factors such as patient flow, elective cases, and human resources allocation, while also informing quality of care and risk considerations. The aim of the research reported in this paper is to use survival analysis to model General Internal Medicine (GIM) length of stay, and to use Shapley value to support interpretation of the resulting model. Survival analysis aims to predict the time until a specific event occurs. In our study, we predict the duration from patient admission to discharge to home, i.e., in-hospital length of stay. In addition to discussing the modeling results, we also talk about how survival analysis of hospital length of stay can be used to guide improvements in the efficiency of hospital operations and support the development of quality metrics.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2437784
- PAR ID:
- 10592477
- Publisher / Repository:
- Springer Science + Business Media
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- BMC Health Services Research
- Volume:
- 25
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 1472-6963
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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