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Abstract Land surface processes are vital to the performance of regional climate models in dynamic downscaling application. In this study, we investigate the sensitivity of the simulation by using the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model at 10-km resolution to the land surface schemes over Central Asia. The WRF model was run for 19 summers from 2000 to 2018 configured with four different land surface schemes including CLM4, Noah-MP, Pleim-Xiu and SSiB, hereafter referred as Exp-CLM4, Exp-Noah-MP, Exp-PX and Exp-SSiB respectively. The initial and boundary conditions for the WRF model simulations were provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Final (NCEP-FNL) Operational Global Analysis data. The ERA-Interim reanalysis (ERAI), the GHCN-CAMS and the CRU gridded data were used to comprehensively evaluate the WRF simulations. Compared with the reanalysis and observational data, the WRF model can reasonably reproduce the spatial patterns of summer mean 2-m temperature, precipitation, and large- scale atmospheric circulation. The simulations, however, are sensitive to the option of land surface scheme. The performance of Exp-CLM4 and Exp-SSiB are better than that of Exp-Noah-MP and Exp-PX assessed by Multivariable Integrated Evaluation (MVIE) method. To comprehensively understand the dynamic and physical mechanisms for the WRF model’s sensitivity to land surface schemes, the differences in the surface energy balance between Ave-CLM4-SSiB (the ensemble average of Exp-CLM4 and Exp-SSiB) and Ave-NoanMP-PX (the ensemble average of Exp-Noah-MP and Exp-PX) are analyzed in detail. The results demonstrate that the sensible and latent heat fluxes are respectively lower by 30.42 W·m −2 and higher by 14.86 W·m −2 in Ave-CLM4-SSiB than that in Ave-NoahMP-PX. As a result, large differences in geopotential height occur over the simulation domain. The simulated wind fields are subsequently influenced by the geostrophic adjustment process, thus the simulations of 2-m temperature, surface skin temperature and precipitation are respectively lower by about 2.08 ℃, 2.23 ℃ and 18.56 mm·month −1 in Ave-CLM4-SSiB than that in Ave-NoahMP-PX over Central Asia continent.
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Assessment of the WRF model configuration optimization in predicting the heavy rainfall over urban city Bhubaneswar, India
Abstract Bhubaneswar, Odisha, experiences an increasing trend of heavy rainfall events (HREs). This study aims to configure the WRF mesoscale model configuration at a hectometre scale and undertakes numerical experiments at a 0.5 km grid spacing. The experiments simulate HREs and assess the various physical parameterization schemes to identify suitable combinations for the region. Sensitivity experiments with various physical parametrization options identified the top eight combinations based on rainfall statistics. Their performance was further evaluated by simulating an additional four HREs over Bhubaneswar. A novel rank analysis approach based on statistical techniques to determine the rank of each configuration. The Noah-MP; Ferrier; Multi-Scale Kain-Fritsch (MFS), Noah-MP;Ferrier; Kain-Fritsch (MFK), as well as Noah; Lin;No cumulus (NLN), and Noah; Ferrier; No cumulus (NFN) emerged as the top performers in simulating precipitation. The study also tested eight parameterization combinations for simulating air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed. The top configurations change when a different variable is used as a reference. However, a broad choice of MFS, MFK, and Noah-MP; Ferrier; No cumulus (MFN) merged as the top configurations in simulating HRE characteristics. These model configurations were independently tested and yielded good performance in simulating the atmospheric pre-storm environment and storm characteristics. Broadly stated the choice of Noah-MP instead of the Noah land model, with Ferrier and Multi-Scale Kain-Fritsch schemes could yield good results- though there is no singular best potential. These findings help establish the computational framework for studying and improving the understanding of heavy rainfall, enhance weather hazard preparedness, and offer an optimized WRF model for forecasting HRE in cities.
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- PAR ID:
- 10610764
- Publisher / Repository:
- Springer
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Computational Urban Science
- Volume:
- 5
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2730-6852
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- WUDAPT
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s43762-025-00180-2
