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Problem definition: We study a feature-based pricing problem with demand censoring in an offline, data-driven setting. In this problem, a firm is endowed with a finite amount of inventory and faces a random demand that is dependent on the offered price and the features (from products, customers, or both). Any unsatisfied demand that exceeds the inventory level is lost and unobservable. The firm does not know the demand function but has access to an offline data set consisting of quadruplets of historical features, inventory, price, and potentially censored sales quantity. Our objective is to use the offline data set to find the optimal feature-based pricing rule so as to maximize the expected profit. Methodology/results: Through the lens of causal inference, we propose a novel data-driven algorithm that is motivated by survival analysis and doubly robust estimation. We derive a finite sample regret bound to justify the proposed offline learning algorithm and prove its robustness. Numerical experiments demonstrate the robust performance of our proposed algorithm in accurately estimating optimal prices on both training and testing data. Managerial implications: The work provides practitioners with an innovative modeling and algorithmic framework for the feature-based pricing problem with demand censoring through the lens of causal inference. Our numerical experiments underscore the value of considering demand censoring in the context of feature-based pricing. Funding: The research of E. Fang is partially supported by the National Science Foundation [Grants NSF DMS-2346292, NSF DMS-2434666] and the Whitehead Scholarship. The research of C. Shi is partially supported by the Amazon Research Award. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2024.1061 .
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Private Optimal Inventory Policy Learning for Feature-Based Newsvendor with Unknown Demand
The data-driven newsvendor problem with features has recently emerged as a significant area of research, driven by the proliferation of data across various sectors such as retail, supply chains, e-commerce, and healthcare. Given the sensitive nature of customer or organizational data often used in feature-based analysis, it is crucial to ensure individual privacy to uphold trust and confidence. Despite its importance, privacy preservation in the context of inventory planning remains unexplored. A key challenge is the nonsmoothness of the newsvendor loss function, which sets it apart from existing work on privacy-preserving algorithms in other settings. This paper introduces a novel approach to estimating a privacy-preserving optimal inventory policy within the f-differential privacy framework, an extension of the classical [Formula: see text]-differential privacy with several appealing properties. We develop a clipped noisy gradient descent algorithm based on convolution smoothing for optimal inventory estimation to simultaneously address three main challenges: (i) unknown demand distribution and nonsmooth loss function, (ii) provable privacy guarantees for individual-level data, and (iii) desirable statistical precision. We derive finite-sample high-probability bounds for optimal policy parameter estimation and regret analysis. By leveraging the structure of the newsvendor problem, we attain a faster excess population risk bound compared with that obtained from an indiscriminate application of existing results for general nonsmooth convex loss. Our bound aligns with that for strongly convex and smooth loss function. Our numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed new method can achieve desirable privacy protection with a marginal increase in cost. This paper was accepted by J. George Shanthikumar, data science. Funding: This work was supported by the National Science Foundation [Grants DMS-2113409 and DMS 2401268 to W.-X. Zhou, and FRGMS-1952373 to L. Wang]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01268 .
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- Award ID(s):
- 2401268
- PAR ID:
- 10612057
- Publisher / Repository:
- https://pubsonline.informs.org/journal/mnsc
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Management Science
- ISSN:
- 0025-1909
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01268
