skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


This content will become publicly available on January 1, 2026

Title: The value of visualization in improving compound flood hazard communication: a complementary perspective through a Euclidean geometry lens
Abstract. Compound flooding, caused by the sequence and/or co-occurrence of flood drivers (i.e., river discharge and elevated sea level), can lead to devastating consequences for society. Weak and insufficient progress toward sustainable development and disaster risk reduction is likely to exacerbate the catastrophic impacts of these events on vulnerable communities. For this reason, it is indispensable to develop new perspectives on evaluating compound-flooding dependence and communicating the associated hazards to meet UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) related to climate action, sustainable cities, and sustainable coastal communities. The first step in examining bivariate dependence is to plot the data in the variable space, i.e., visualizing a scatterplot, where each axis represents a variable of interest, and then computing a form of correlation between them. This paper introduces the Angles method, based on Euclidean geometry of the so-called “subject space”, as a complementary visualization approach specifically designed for communicating the dependence structure of compound-flooding drivers to diverse end-users. Here, we evaluate, for the first time, the utility of this geometric space in computing and visualizing the dependence structure of compound-flooding drivers. To assess the effectiveness of this method as a hazard communication tool, we conducted a survey with a diverse group of end-users, including academic and non-academic respondents. The survey results provide insights into the perceptions regarding the applicability of the Angles method and highlight its potential as an intuitive alternative to scatterplots in depicting the evolution of dependence in the non-stationary environment. This study emphasizes the importance of innovative visualization techniques in bridging the gap between scientific insights and practical applications, supporting more effective compound flood hazard communication.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2238000 2223893
PAR ID:
10640503
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
European Geophysical Union
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Geoscience Communication
Volume:
8
Issue:
4
ISSN:
2569-7110
Page Range / eLocation ID:
237 to 250
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Compound flooding, caused by the sequence/co-occurrence of flood drivers (i.e. river discharge and elevated sea level ) can lead to devastating consequences for society. Weak and insufficient progress toward sustainable development and disaster risk reduction are likely to exacerbate the catastrophic impacts of these events on vulnerable communities. For this reason, it is indispensable to develop new perspectives on evaluating compound flooding dependence and communicating the associated risks to meet UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) related to climate action, sustainable cities, and sustainable coastal communities. An indispensable first step for studies examining the dependence between these bivariate extremes is plotting the data in the variable space, i.e., visualizing a scatterplot, where each axis represents a variable of interest, then computing a form of correlation between them. This paper introduces the Angles method, based on Euclidean geometry of the so-called “subject space,” for visualizing the dependence structure of compound flooding drivers. Here, we evaluate, for the first time, the utility of this geometric space in computing and visualizing the dependence structure of compound flooding drivers. To assess the effectiveness of this method as a risk communication tool, we conducted a survey with a diverse group of end-users, including academic and non-academic respondents. The survey results provide insights into the perceptions of applicability of the Angles method and highlight its potential as an intuitive alternative to scatterplots in depicting the evolution of dependence in the non-stationary environment. This study emphasizes the importance of innovative visualization techniques in bridging the gap between scientific insights and practical applications, supporting more effective compound flood hazard communication in a warming climate. 
    more » « less
  2. null (Ed.)
    Abstract. Miami-Dade County (south-east Florida) is among the most vulnerable regions to sea level rise in the United States, due to a variety of natural andhuman factors. The co-occurrence of multiple, often statistically dependent flooding drivers – termed compound events – typically exacerbatesimpacts compared with their isolated occurrence. Ignoring dependencies between the drivers will potentially lead to underestimation of flood riskand under-design of flood defence structures. In Miami-Dade County water control structures were designed assuming full dependence between rainfalland Ocean-side Water Level (O-sWL), a conservative assumption inducing large safety factors. Here, an analysis of the dependence between theprincipal flooding drivers over a range of lags at three locations across the county is carried out. A two-dimensional analysis of rainfall andO-sWL showed that the magnitude of the conservative assumption in the original design is highly sensitive to the regional sea level rise projectionconsidered. Finally, the vine copula and Heffernan and Tawn (2004) models are shown to outperform five standard higher-dimensional copulas incapturing the dependence between the principal drivers of compound flooding: rainfall, O-sWL, and groundwater level. The work represents a firststep towards the development of a new framework capable of capturing dependencies between different flood drivers that could potentially beincorporated into future Flood Protection Level of Service (FPLOS) assessments for coastal water control structures. 
    more » « less
  3. null (Ed.)
    Earthen levees protecting coastal regions can be exposed to compound flooding induced by multiple drivers such as coastal water level, river discharge, and precipitation. However, the majority of flood hazard analyses consider only one flood driver at a time. This study numerically investigates the performance of an earthen levee in Sherman Island, Sacramento, CA, under compound flooding induced by fluvial and pluvial flooding. A finite element model is built for fully coupled 3D stress-flow simulations of the levee. The finite element model is then used to simulate the hydro-mechanical response of the levee under different flood scenarios. Fluvial flood hydrographs for different scenarios are obtained using a bivariate extreme analysis of peak river discharge and peak ocean level while accounting for the significance of correlation between these two variables. Pluvial flooding is characterized using intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves of extreme precipitations for the study area. The fluvial and pluvial flood patterns for different recurrence intervals are used in the finite element model to simulate the hydro-mechanical response of the levee. Results show that considering compound flooding leads to 8.7% and 18.6% reduction in the factor of safety for 2 and 50-year recurrence intervals, respectively. 
    more » « less
  4. River flooding is one of the most widespread natural disasters. Projections indicate that climate change will increase flood hazard in many areas around the world. In this study, we investigate the individual and combined effects of sea level rise, flow increase and riparian vegetation encroachment on flood hazard in the lower Biobío River, Chile. Results show that each has the potential to individually increase flood hazard in certain areas, and that individual effects can compound. Encroachment of riparian vegetation onto previously sparsely vegetated areas of the floodplain, likely a result of the Chilean megadrought, causes higher flow resistance and increased flooding during large events. Somewhat counterintuitively, drought has therefore led to an increase in flood hazard in the study area. Drought risk for most land areas across the globe is expected to increase with climate change. Potential future vegetation encroachment should therefore be included as a key variable in riverine flood hazard studies. 
    more » « less
  5. Compound flooding events are a threat to many coastal regions and can have widespread socio-economic implications. However, their frequency of occurrence, underlying flood drivers, and direct link to past socio-economic losses are largely unknown despite being key to supporting risk and adaptation assessments. Here, we present an impact-based analysis of compound flooding for 203 coastal counties along the U.S. Gulf and East coasts by combining data from multiple flood drivers and socio-economic loss information from 1980 to 2018. We find that ~80% of all flood events recorded in our study area were compound rather than univariate. In addition, we show that historical compound flooding events in most counties were driven by more than two flood drivers (hydrological, meteorological, and/or oceanographic) and distinct spatial clusters exist that exhibit variability in the underlying driver of compound flood events. Furthermore, we find that in more than 80% of the counties, over 80% of recorded property and crop losses were linked to compound flooding. Nearly 80% of counties have a higher median loss from compound than univariate events. For these counties, the median property loss is over 26 times greater, and the median crop loss is over 76 times greater for compound events on average. Our analysis overcomes some of the limitations of previous compound-event studies based on pre-defined flood drivers and offers new insights into the complex relationship between hazards and associated socio-economic impacts. 
    more » « less